Mallow Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 89/67/9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 87/67/8/0 would've gone higher had I seen the 86F max Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted November 11, 2015 Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 Since the 0z METAR didn't have a 6-hour max and min temp included for some unknown reason, the 86 hasn't shown up for yesterday's high yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 WTF...the min is listed as -10F Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 something might be up with the thermometer at KTPA? 6 hr max / min is listed as 86 / -44 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted November 11, 2015 Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 Oh gosh lol. Let's just move on to the next city Least they hit 86 before the sea breeze kicked in. Even the 86 seems a bit off but I can kind of believe it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 KTPA 111753Z 24006KT 10SM CLR 27/20 A3005 RMK AO2 SLP174 T02720200 10300 21422 58022 $ METAR agrees that something needs maintenance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 so WTF is going to happen? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 Oh gosh lol. Let's just move on to the next city Least they hit 86 before the sea breeze kicked in. Even the 86 seems a bit off but I can kind of believe it. ASOS stations to northeast and southeast are reporting 86. Interesting... But yeah, something's off about this station. so WTF is going to happen? There were issues at KMGM last year, so WxChallenge chose to erase a couple days from our scores. They did this by giving everybody zero error point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted November 11, 2015 Author Share Posted November 11, 2015 so WTF is going to happen?It's not impossible they completely throw out temps for the day. Something similar happened in MGM last year, WxChallenge "consulted" the NWS to determine which data may be questionable and they ended up throwing out winds and precip for a couple of days IIRC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 ahh ok thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 Yep, lets just forecast for Green Bay now! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 Well i did 86/67/11/0 for today. That low should be right around 67/68 given temp readings around that time Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nje310 Posted November 11, 2015 Share Posted November 11, 2015 It's not impossible they completely throw out temps for the day. Something similar happened in MGM last year, WxChallenge "consulted" the NWS to determine which data may be questionable and they ended up throwing out winds and precip for a couple of days IIRC. The climate report has 86/68/9/0.00 so I'm sure they'll use that. One of these many days when you just copy the USL (which had 86/68/7/0.00 today), maybe raise the wind speed a knot or two because that's the USL way, and don't spend time trying to have any skill to beat the models. That's why I say move on to Green Bay, lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 88/66/9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ma blizzard Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 88/67/9 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 89/70/6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 89/70/6 They have never had a verification below 7kts (and very few 7kt verifications) during the period we're forecasting for. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 They have never had a verification below 7kts (and very few 7kt verifications) during the period we're forecasting for. yeah I sort of realized that well after I submitted haha. The lowest I found dating back to Oct. 15th was 8.7 knots. I actually have no clue why I went with 6 too be honest. As for the low though...MOS seems to have been forecasting the lows too low so I went with 70F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 87/69/9 BUFKIT was rendered completely useless here so I'm basically just drifting along with MOS/USL because I don't understand the microclimatic nuances of this place. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted November 12, 2015 Author Share Posted November 12, 2015 Take the USL and run kind of day for me 87/67/10 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 87/68/9/0 The past two forecasts have been awesome. Very straightforward. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted November 12, 2015 Share Posted November 12, 2015 Climo has 86/67/10/0. Didn't lose any ground vs. consensus today, which was nice. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 86/68/13 Riding the 86 train. Three days in a row, can we make it four? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 85/66/11 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted November 13, 2015 Author Share Posted November 13, 2015 86/68/17 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 84/67/12/0 gotta ride the USL train Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MegaMike Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 84/68/14 USL all the way. Except for the winds which may mix down according to the GFS. The NAM isn't as strong, though. I can't wait to see how this verifies. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 86/68/13 Riding the 86 train. Three days in a row, can we make it four? Here's my "reasoning". The USL forecasts for days 1-3 have been 83, 86, 88. Actual has been 86, 86, 86. USL for tomorrow is 84. Maybe the 86's aren't a fluke. Maybe synoptic northerlies and the bay to the west (with current SSTs there) of the ASOS make the sea breeze kick in in just such a way that 86 is the favored afternoon high. There's my physical argument. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted November 13, 2015 Share Posted November 13, 2015 85/67/10/0 We will see how they react to a change in airmass tomorrow. Drier cooler may bring out some higher winds but that is yet to be seen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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