WxBlue Posted December 4, 2015 Share Posted December 4, 2015 43/28/13/0 as well. Models are doing absolutely terrible with low temperatures so it's ride the USL time. A couple models had GRB dropping all the way into the low 20s(!) tonight, but I can't see it. We'll see how they can warm up although they'll be trapped under the inversion. Even with the strong inversion, there are some 12-15kt winds below it and BUFKIT suggests about 12-14kts will make it to the surface. I was watching last couple of nights closely. I know tonight's sky is much more clear, but GRB doesn't seem to drop as hard as models want it to. I actually thought about going 30 since some high-res models were still above 29 through the night, but clear sky scared me away. GRB is still 35 so I guess we'll see! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 4, 2015 Share Posted December 4, 2015 Dew points upstream are generally around 28-31, so it's tough to imagine it cooling much below 28F. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted December 4, 2015 Author Share Posted December 4, 2015 44/28/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 4, 2015 Share Posted December 4, 2015 Low got down to 29 and it's already back up to 41. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted December 4, 2015 Share Posted December 4, 2015 At this rate i dont see why we cant reach 45 today. I say we are starting our decline in how quickly it warms up but steady at 44 with an intra hour at 45 seems pretty good at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 45/37/12/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted December 8, 2015 Author Share Posted December 8, 2015 45/37/14/0.03" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 44/35/11/0 Conservative forecast. I actually forgot to put in precip (0.03), but it's also not unreasonable either. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 44/38/11/0.02 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 Down to 36 already with dewpoint at 33. Actually, when I did the forecast, I was wondering about going sub-35 because a couple high-res models had this cooler blob in SE Wisconsin in low-30s and winds were going through that area on the way to GRB. EDIT: Amazingly, GRB held at 36 the whole night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 We'll see if the 18z OBS has 36F too but it should be 36. I had 45/36/11/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted December 8, 2015 Share Posted December 8, 2015 44/36/13/0.03 didnt get a chance to post last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 45/38/16/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 43/37/13/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted December 9, 2015 Author Share Posted December 9, 2015 42/37/14/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 43/39/14/0.01" in a rushed forecasting. Hoping the fog/low clouds keep things fairly warm similar to last night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 43/38/15 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 Clouds broke up at GRB earlier than I thought Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 This city is weird. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 Wow now we are pushing 50. Ehh it moves me back a little but was hoping to score big today. Go figure the one day i dont actually look at a model and just go based off the USL and MOS. Oh well Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted December 9, 2015 Author Share Posted December 9, 2015 I really didn't have time to look at anything Monday or yesterday (and today isn't much better), but from what I looked at I'm surprised they mixed out the low clouds so quickly today. The whole region has been very socked in for several days so I sort of leaned persistence too which didn't work. On to tomorrow... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 9, 2015 Share Posted December 9, 2015 Made it all the way to 50 this afternoon, and we still may fall back below the morning low of 38F before 06z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 Sitting at 38F for the past two hours. At least I got the winds right as of now (14kts)! During my 15 minute rush-cast I decided to go pretty much all out: 54/41/25/0.00 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 56/39/25/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 53/39/23 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 51/38/22/0 Thought winds would hold temps down a bit I could see how they get up to 53 maybe 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 And wow that drop down to 37 helped tremendously today even with going to 50. Sitting at 18th right now Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted December 10, 2015 Author Share Posted December 10, 2015 54/38/23/0 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 We'll see if there's another drop tonight, but as it stands now the min should be 41. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
so_whats_happening Posted December 10, 2015 Share Posted December 10, 2015 I say we mihgt manage 39 later we should be at about peak for temps Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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