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Let's Talk Winter


Steve

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Nada here in Powell. It snowed for like 10-15 mins a little while ago but nothing to show for it. 

 

that's crazy.  It's dark almost like during a tstorm, snowing like hell and I keep waiting to hear a clap of thunder lol.  Too bad it's only gonna last a few more minutes.   Has to be easily over 2 inch an hour rate.

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Enjoy it for a few minutes. I got almost 2 earlier and as soon as the band passed every bit of it melted within an hour. Crazy.

 

I wouldn't expect any staying power on these until night fall, along with the temp drop off.   Pretty much mid to upper 30's over most of the state right now.   

Almost looks like the sun is trying to pop right now.

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I wouldn't expect any staying power on these until night fall, along with the temp drop off.   Pretty much mid to upper 30's over most of the state right now.   

Almost looks like the sun is trying to pop right now.

 

Good call.  Sun is out right now.  Good luck predicting where these lollipops setup.

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I'm starting to feel this one for me. Steep lapse rates through a very steep layer, good low level frontogenesis and forcing for quite a while tonight into tomorrow morning, and a vort max swinging through. My call for here is 2-4" but I think there are local lollis to 6". The best may just be to my north but it'll be close.

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This is funny, here's Greene Co. at 3:36pm today out of ILN (4-6" total in 36hrs):

OHZ062-091000-
GREENE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEAVERCREEK...FAIRBORN...XENIA
336 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016

.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. ADDITIONAL SNOW
ACCUMULATION AROUND AN INCH. COLDER WITH LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 3 TO 5 INCHES. COLDER WITH HIGHS
AROUND 30. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER WITH
LOWS AROUND 15. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW
40 PERCENT.

 

Now an update at 5:39pm, LOL, dropped a whole inch to 3-5" total, really?  It's not going to snow at winter storm levels here tomorrow!!!

OHZ062-091000-
GREENE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...BEAVERCREEK...FAIRBORN...XENIA
539 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016

.TONIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY. ADDITIONAL SNOW
ACCUMULATION AROUND AN INCH. COLDER WITH LOWS IN THE MID 20S.
WEST WINDS 5 TO 10 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. SNOW SHOWERS LIKELY...MAINLY IN THE AFTERNOON.
TOTAL SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES. COLDER WITH HIGHS
AROUND 30. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW 60 PERCENT.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...CLOUDY WITH SCATTERED SNOW SHOWERS. COLDER WITH
LOWS AROUND 15. WEST WINDS 10 TO 15 MPH. CHANCE OF SNOW
40 PERCENT.    :poster_oops: 

 

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If that little squall I got is any indication, it may be a fun night here. Poured silver dollar sized flakes for about 10 minutes and quickly coated everything...bigger squalls moving in from the west. I'm mildly concerned the best sets up just north of me but it will be close, lots of snow to the west.

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Yep. Everything is setting up one county south. What a shocker. Not at all impressed with anything about this, but that is par for the course this winter.

In fairness, this is really not a storm. This is winter's version of the Powerball lottery. And just like those who buy lotto tickets, if you're expecting to win, you're just asking for disappointment.

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In fairness, this is really not a storm. This is winter's version of the Powerball lottery. And just like those who buy lotto tickets, if you're expecting to win, you're just asking for disappointment.

 

Of course the setup is not exactly traditional.  You just have to laugh because it really doesn't matter what the setup has been.  Certain winters are like this, where you can't buy snow, but locations all around are doing better.  It's worse because this isn't like some years, 2001-2002 or 2011-2012 come to mind, where just about everyone did badly.  This is not one of those years. 

 

And no, I would not bet on the 2-4" forecast tomorrow. 

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ILN pulls the trigger.

 

 

URGENT - WINTER WEATHER MESSAGE
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE WILMINGTON OH
1040 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016

OHZ063>065-072>074-080-082-091145-
/O.UPG.KILN.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160210T1100Z/
/O.NEW.KILN.WS.W.0002.160209T0340Z-160209T1700Z/
/O.NEW.KILN.WW.Y.0006.160209T1700Z-160210T1100Z/
FAYETTE-PICKAWAY-FAIRFIELD-CLINTON-ROSS-HOCKING-HIGHLAND-PIKE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...JEFFERSONVILLE...BLOOMINGBURG...
CIRCLEVILLE...LANCASTER...PICKERINGTON...WILMINGTON...
BLANCHESTER...CHILLICOTHE...LOGAN...HILLSBORO...GREENFIELD...
PIKETON
1040 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016

...WINTER STORM WARNING IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST TUESDAY...
...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM NOON TUESDAY TO 6 AM
EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
STORM WARNING FOR HEAVY SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL NOON EST
TUESDAY. A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW IS IN EFFECT FROM NOON
TUESDAY TO 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 4 TO 7 INCHES.

* TIMING...SNOW WILL CONTINUE THROUGH THE NIGHT AND INTO TUESDAY
  MORNING. ACCUMULATIONS OF 3 TO 6 INCHES WILL OCCUR THROUGH
  MIDDAY TUESDAY. OCCASIONAL SNOW SHOWERS WILL THEN CONTINUE
  THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH ANOTHER INCH OR TWO POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...HAZARDOUS TRAVEL CONDITIONS ARE EXPECTED DUE TO
  REDUCED VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A WINTER STORM WARNING MEANS SEVERE WINTER WEATHER
CONDITIONS ARE IMMINENT OR HIGHLY LIKELY. STAY TUNED TO NOAA
WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE SOURCE OF INFORMATION FOR THE
LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT
WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILN AS WELL AS ON OUR FACEBOOK AND TWITTER PAGES.

&&

$$

INZ058-059-OHZ053-054-060>062-091145-
/O.EXA.KILN.WW.Y.0005.000000T0000Z-160210T1100Z/
FAYETTE-UNION-CLARK-MADISON-PREBLE-MONTGOMERY-GREENE-
INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...CONNERSVILLE...LIBERTY...SPRINGFIELD...
LONDON...JEFFERSON...PLAIN CITY...EATON...CAMDEN...DAYTON...
KETTERING...BEAVERCREEK...FAIRBORN...XENIA
1040 PM EST MON FEB 8 2016

...WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST WEDNESDAY...

THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN WILMINGTON HAS ISSUED A WINTER
WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW...WHICH IS IN EFFECT UNTIL 6 AM EST
WEDNESDAY.

* HAZARD TYPES...SNOW.

* ACCUMULATIONS...SNOW ACCUMULATION OF 2 TO 4 INCHES.

* TIMING...OCCASIONAL SNOW WILL OCCUR THROUGH THE NIGHT INTO
  TUESDAY MORNING WITH ACCUMULATIONS OF 1 TO 3 INCHES. OCCASIONAL
  SNOW SHOWERS WILL THEN CONTINUE THROUGH TUESDAY NIGHT WITH
  ANOTHER INCH OR TWO POSSIBLE.

* IMPACTS...TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES ARE EXPECTED DUE TO REDUCED
  VISIBILITIES AND SNOW ACCUMULATIONS.

PRECAUTIONARY/PREPAREDNESS ACTIONS...

REMEMBER...A WINTER WEATHER ADVISORY FOR SNOW MEANS THAT PERIODS
OF SNOW WILL CAUSE PRIMARILY TRAVEL DIFFICULTIES. BE PREPARED FOR
SNOW COVERED ROADS AND LIMITED VISIBILITIES...AND USE CAUTION
WHILE DRIVING. STAY TUNED TO NOAA WEATHER RADIO OR YOUR FAVORITE
SOURCE OF INFORMATION FOR THE LATEST UPDATES. ADDITIONAL DETAILS
CAN ALSO BE FOUND AT WWW.WEATHER.GOV/ILN AS WELL AS ON OUR
FACEBOOK AND TWITTER PAGES.

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Of course the setup is not exactly traditional.  You just have to laugh because it really doesn't matter what the setup has been.  Certain winters are like this, where you can't buy snow, but locations all around are doing better.  It's worse because this isn't like some years, 2001-2002 or 2011-2012 come to mind, where just about everyone did badly.  This is not one of those years. 

 

And no, I would not bet on the 2-4" forecast tomorrow. 

 

when you look at the larger picture, everything is kind of starting to pin wheel.  http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/centgrtlakes_loop.php

 

not ready to write off a slow shift north yet.   But yea, if it doesn't work out, about all you can do is laugh at this point at how cruel this winter has been to the I-70 corridor....save the small clipper awhile back.

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when you look at the larger picture, everything is kind of starting to pin wheel.  http://radar.weather.gov/ridge/Conus/centgrtlakes_loop.php

 

not ready to write off a slow shift north yet.   But yea, if it doesn't work out, about all you can do is laugh at this point at how cruel this winter has been to the I-70 corridor....save the small clipper awhile back.

Just 15 min south of me it is snowing hard. Not a flake here. Unbelievable.

 

Someone can turn off the snowshield anytime.

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