Burghblizz Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I honestly cant see an open wave system dropping a foot on us... That said, with a little luck it would seem that a 6-8" snowfall is likely to happen somewhere from the city and points south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Noaa says warm wet gulf will be juicing it up... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 If we get into the red on the map below withing 48 hours I will feel confident. Until then we are still on the fringe. If the GFS and Canadian move North tonight then we should. Until then................................ Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 If we get into the red on the map below withing 48 hours I will feel confident. Until then we are still on the fringe. If the GFS and Canadian move North tonight then we should. Until then................................ Gfs stinks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Gfs stinks.What else is new. We have the SREF, NAM, and RGEM on our side for the 0z guidance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 GFS is right where I want it to be 48 hours out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 What else is new. We have the SREF, NAM, and RGEM on our side for the 0z guidance. GFS is not bad. It held steady. 4 inches or so but still too close for comfort. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 GFS is right where I want it to be 48 hours out. exactly. Lets see what the CMC, UK and Euro say before hitting the big red button Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Verszyla caling for no accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 Verszyla caling for no accumulation. Did he even say there is potential? That's ridiculous. I certainly don't want him being a weenie about it and starting a panic, but at least inform people that there's is potential for something. Potential doesn't mean it's going to happen. It just means there's a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Did he even say there is potential? That's ridiculous. I certainly don't want him being a weenie about it and starting a panic, but at least inform people that there's is potential for something. I won't lie.. I wasn't paying close attention. I think he just mentioned snow showers. Wish I could go back and re-watch that. Edit: Just watched it online.. Rain/snow mix. No accumulation into Thursday. Just polar air coming in by Wednesday night into Thursday. "Flurries in the afternoon" for Wednesday. Cold/Cloudy for Thursday in the 5-day. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Verszyla caling for no accumulation. What else is new. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Just sitting here waiting for this to trend away. We've all been through this so many times we just expect the worse. It's terrible. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Hearing UKmet trended south. Well it was fun while it lasted for 3 hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blackngoldrules Posted March 3, 2015 Author Share Posted March 3, 2015 Just sitting here waiting for this to trend away. We've all been through this so many times we just expect the worse. It's terrible. My expectations are low for this one, and not just because we've been disappointed so many times. A lot has to do with timing on this one. A lot has to go right for us to be in just the right spot to get something significant. Still a lot of uncertainty in that regard. We usually don't get lucky with these types of setups. Weren't we in a good spot at the beginning of February and it ended up trending too far north? This one will probably end up being too far south, knowing our luck. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Hearing UKmet trended south. Well it was fun while it lasted for 3 hours. That didn't take long lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NortheastPAWx Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Just sitting here waiting for this to trend away. We've all been through this so many times we just expect the worse. It's terrible. You and me both (and how about that awful trade today by JR ) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 My expectations are low for this one, and not just because we've been disappointed so many times. A lot has to do with timing on this one. A lot has to go right for us to be in just the right spot to get something significant. Still a lot of uncertainty in that regard. That's about the only good thing about these past couple years. I've really learned how to temper my expectations. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 You and me both (and how about that awful trade today by JR ) Don't even get me started on that...Unreal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 You and me both (and how about that awful trade today by JR ) This storm missing would be the icing on the cake for me. Terrible terrible trade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On anoher note, the heatwave this weekend is going to feel amazing.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Per central thread, Euro is north. Map shows 6-9 inches through AGC. And 12-18 inches as you go further south. Looks like the GFS is really on it's own right now. If this bumps slightly north, we are going to get blasted. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Euro looks fine and dandy to me. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 If we get into the red on the map below withing 48 hours I will feel confident. Until then we are still on the fringe. If the GFS and Canadian move North tonight then we should. Until then................................ Yes. We are in. For now. Looking good. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Per central thread, Euro is north. Map shows 6-9 inches through AGC. And 12-18 inches as you go further south. Looks like the GFS is really on it's own right now. If this bumps slightly north, we are going to get blasted. Yep, map just for visual aid (from central thread) 00Z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 On anoher note, the heatwave this weekend is going to feel amazing.. Even more reason to cash in now I think. After this snow chances looks pretty slim in the long range, Still a shot at something sneaky popping up out of nowhere at anytime in March though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 Verszyla caling for no accumulation. I mean he may be right, but a bold call I think at this point. Last storm he called for all \ mostly rain, and it was probably the second biggest storm, at least imby of the year. Really I think he just plays the odds in these situations and those always favor a low or no impact outcome. That being said I think its a disservice to not mention that some accumulation is possible especially SE of the city but forecast will be fine tuned as we get closer. Honestly I quit watching the local forecasts since early February and just use NWS and the models to get an idea of whats going to happen. Much less frustrating. Anyways, I don't want to start a TV Met bashing rant but I find it almost as irresponsible as a weenie forecaster calling for a blizzard vs something like this totally dismissing any impact. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 I mean he may be right, but a bold call I think at this point. Last storm he called for all \ mostly rain, and it was probably the second biggest storm, at least imby of the year. Really I think he just plays the odds in these situations and those always favor a low or no impact outcome. That being said I think its a disservice to not mention that some accumulation is possible especially SE of the city but forecast will be fine tuned as we get closer. Honestly I quit watching the local forecasts since early February and just use NWS and the models to get an idea of whats going to happen. Much less frustrating. Anyways, I don't want to start a TV Met bashing rant but I find it almost as irresponsible as a weenie forecaster calling for a blizzard vs something like this totally dismissing any impact. There is still bust potential with this storm but he should at least mention the possibility. WPXI showed 3-5 inches for all of AGC with possible adjustments with the track. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted March 3, 2015 Share Posted March 3, 2015 What time will possible changeovers happen Tommrow ?? I guess the earlier the better like in all cases? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.