Syrmax Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 When the lake effect is low top KTYX and KBM radar beams are shooting over the top. Don't you know that "Closer is better" from 9WSYR? I forgot! . Was too close to the monitor. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Just took a measurement, we are a hair under 6" WOW! You did well with that line. Hopefully it keeps rolling. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 WOW! You did well with that line. Hopefully it keeps rolling.. We've actually had 3 lines move through, the main one and two thinner but similarly intense lines. Now just a more steady but less intense snow the past couple hours. Hopefully this keeps going overnight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Revracer800 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Gotta be close to or maybe a little more than 6" here also. My driveway on the other hand well has about a foot in a half in it the full length from the wind blowing lol. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 George/LEK may be right about large portions of CNY outperforming SNE. I'd expect a lot of 6-12" totals centered along I-81 from SYR to UCA to BGM...and we know how WNY has already done. If I were down there I'd be afraid I just got what I'm going to from a shot of WAA, next the slp Bombs out and pounds Maine. CT is done as well as most of Mass it appears. Unless the energy moving off the mid Atl results in an additional round down there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 You guys see the little synoptic swirl up on the northern edge of lake ontario? Going to be some moisture added soon to the LES. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=BUF-N0Q-1-6 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 its unbelieveable, every time the radar shows a thickening of precip over northern monroe, it then backs off. very frustrating. Even the local mets seem to be frustrated. But they love talking about the low temps etc- which i don't care about. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Well, so far, in perusing official reporting station data, CNY and WNY have "out blizzarded" the KBOX Blizzard Warning area, as usual. In addition, temps here have been a solid 10-20 degrees colder than the BW area, which I know is no longer part of the criteria but worth mentioning for those of us that are old school. Now, to be fair, the worst conditions there are expected Sunday morning, but at this juncture, the snow has shut down and moved out...they are looking at 3-5" at most (excluding Maine) and high winds. If the SN+ doesn't materialize, the high winds won't be enough to generate true blizzard conditions in a wide area...maybe on the open immediate shoreline only. New England is not the wide open treeless plains where ground blizzard conditions really can happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 You guys see the little synoptic swirl up on the northern edge of lake ontario? Going to be some moisture added soon to the LES. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=BUF-N0Q-1-6 I have dibs on that. Maybe all these little squall lines and swirling vortices are robbing the main system? Or buggering its development? I would love to believe that conditions up here, and my personal voodoo doll, are contributing to yet another KBOX Psudo Blizzard. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Was just outside, letting one of my Huskys out. Snowing 1"/hr at least...viz is about 1/4 mile. Temp is down to 15. Its breezy but nothing "blizzardy" Looking at WSYR9 radar, we have what appears to be a pretty strong single band developed now, looks like about 290 flow, which is perfect for several of us here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 BUF was at 4 deg at 11 PM. I was hoping the temp would drop below zero by midnight so we could register a sub zero high tomorrow, which is exceptionally rare for BUF. Looks like it won't happen. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 We might be in scenario where Monroe county gets 2-3" and Niagara gets a foot. Very interesting meso scale setting up. Shows no sings of changing soon. Any other input? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Buffalo Bumble Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Was just outside, letting one of my Huskys out. Snowing 1"/hr at least...viz is about 1/4 mile. Temp is down to 15. Its breezy but nothing "blizzardy" Looking at WSYR9 radar, we have what appears to be a pretty strong single band developed now, looks like about 290 flow, which is perfect for several of us here. Noticed that. Sterling to Pennelville to Clay special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 a meso low swirl at the west 1/2 of Lake Ontario, as some of you have noticed. I wonder what will happen when the trough gets absorbed into it. That, in my opinion, is Monroe counties last hope. But I never had high expectations for this low confidence forecast. but i still hold out hope. What the hell happened to the KING? havent seen a post for a while. we need his input. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Noticed that. Sterling to Pennelville to Clay special. Nice radar site, forgot about that one...here's the KTYX animation...look at the spin, looks like one band setting up after another and rotating SE. http://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/index.php?type=TYX-N0Q-1-24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
coh Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Snow rate has definitely picked up here in western Monroe. Not heavy, flake size not large (but also not tiny), but if it keeps up all night we should pile on a couple of inches. Will be interesting to see what happens when the slug of moisture/enhanced radar echoes that has been moving south across Lake Ontario reaches the area. Still 6.7 deg so we technically won't have the full sub-zero day on Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Just got back from a whirlwind trip to Gore mountain today. 7 1/2 hour drive back to the roc right through that band. It was a little dodgey at times. Anyway, wasn't able to see much of how this storm evolved but I had hoped we would have done better. We just didn't luck out on the placement of the those Initial frontal squall lines. Some people won, some lost. I still think a solid 3-6 of grainy lake effect will pretty much broadbush the whole south shore with a local Max somewhere between route 31 and 104. 3am-9am is my best guess for when the lake really puts out. Once the surface low begins its explosive deepening things will begin to align. And I just peaked at the radar and things will certainly be getting interesting. Relatively deeper moisture is pinwheeling back over the lake. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DeltaT13 Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Also to note, the high today is already 7. So there goes that record. Blarg. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 yeah, we are at 13 here in SYR, so no shot at a gaudy max temp for Sunday. I had a feeling that if lake snow was going, we would stay above 0 and we certainly have. I'll take the tradeoff. I'm not a cold whore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Random thought: If anyone uses the term "death band" in this forum...i support their immediate banishment. I hate that term. Not sure why but i do. Its so uber stupid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Random thought: If anyone uses the term "death band" in this forum...i support their immediate banishment. I hate that term. Not sure why but i do. Its so uber stupid. What! Death band is my favorite term. I used it several times during the LES event in November. What other terms would you suggest? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 What! Death band is my favorite term. I used it several times during the LES event in November. What other terms would you suggest? Ugh!! I missed that. I see it a lot in some of the more retard laden forums (apologies for the insensitive wording) and it makes me want to puke like a billy goat. I was just funnin. I suppose if you must, you must! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Ugh!! I missed that. I see it a lot in some of the more retard laden forums (apologies for the insensitive wording) and it makes me want to puke like a billy goat. I was just funnin. I suppose if you must, you must! How about, "SUPER DUPER KILLER BAND OF DOOM"? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 How about, "SUPER DUPER KILLER BAND OF DOOM"? I just get tired of the overuse of the term...every lousy banded structure in some forums is a "death band". Its just stupid. Of course, in Buffalo's case in November, it was one of the few instances I've seen where it was appropriate. The other being the one from the big non-blizzard snowstorm in CT two years ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rochesterdave Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 MICRO LOW killing, JUST KILLING US!!!!!! Snow rates of 3" +/hr, I've never seen it snow like this. Video coming! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Totally true - a 1.5"/hr deformation band sets up in one of these coastal storms and suddenly it's the "death band." What a joke. I see that things are finally going further east along the Ontario shore. Hoping Dave's house is finally catching up. I've felt for him, he has been watching everyone else get SN+ today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WNash Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 Cross-post! Good to hear it, Dave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Syrmax Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 MICRO LOW killing, JUST KILLING US!!!!!! Snow rates of 3" +/hr, I've never seen it snow like this. Video coming! Thank god! Hope you get drilled overnight. ROC can be a tough area at times... And you just stole my snow! That micro low has pulled the band that was rocking us near SYR. LOL. I'll gladly give it up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 visibility is 3/4 of a mile here. Radar must be overshooting it doesn't as even look like it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BuffaloWeather Posted February 15, 2015 Share Posted February 15, 2015 MICRO LOW killing, JUST KILLING US!!!!!! Snow rates of 3" +/hr, I've never seen it snow like this. Video coming! Grats! We all cashed in on this one. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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