Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 27, 2015 Share Posted February 27, 2015 I had to go pee after watching Jeff v Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 That would be sweet. ?? What models are showing all snow. ?? well I stand corrected. Hope it holds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I'd still be cautious and see what the Canadian does tonight. It has been spot on with these systems. It has AC in the jackpot. If it moves North then we will mix and switch to rain. If it stays south look for the Nam and GFS to follow suit.Yeah, it is a bit unusual to see the Canadian south of the gfs with this type of storm.I agree caution for now is the way to go, tonight and tomorrow could bring more suprises. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Well Jeff V thinks its all rain for us no snow at all. He did say 1-2 inches possible as it gets colder overnight into Monday. His graphic showed rain right to the south of Cleveland, That matches up with the warm air on this map. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 He did say 1-2 inches possible as it gets colder overnight into Monday. His graphic showed rain right to the south of Cleveland, That matches up with the warm air on this map. That must be based off gfs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 He did say 1-2 inches possible as it gets colder overnight into Monday. His graphic showed rain right to the south of Cleveland, That matches up with the warm air on this map. I was pretty sleepy but I swear I didn't hear him mention accumulation. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Bernies latest video has us for 3-6 fwiw He owes us more snow than the Euro... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Bleh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tsteel Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 OZ GFS is a little south tonight. Detour doing it's job. Brings better snowfall about 50 miles south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 It's really close... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Canadian has all snow for everyone here (including myself and jwilson, it seems). Although it's close in Morgantown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Canadian has all snow for everyone here (including myself and jwilson, it seems). Although it's close in Morgantown. We in bullseye 40 hrs away. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Canadian has all snow for everyone here (including myself and jwilson, it seems). Although it's close in Morgantown. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 We in bullseye 40 hrs away. precip breaking out saturday night wouldnt be 40hrs. It looks like it will roll in late saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I wouldn't be surprised if WSW drops down and includes Allegheny County tomorrow morning. All models pretty much giving us 4-5 inches Sunday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rd9108 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Awesome. Looks like a 6-8 inch hit there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Funny how the NCEP map really isnt aligned with our NWS forecast. Not sayin the NWS is wrong. Bordeline temps and in what will be early March without heavy rates will make this tough for makor accumulations Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoraopolisWx Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Funny how the NCEP map really isnt aligned with our NWS forecast. Not sayin the NWS is wrong. Bordeline temps and in what will be early March without heavy rates will make this tough for makor accumulations Imo PBZ has seen this setup so many times, their thinking is to go warm until proven wrong.Yeah, the rates will make or break us on this one. If we end up with broken precip like last week, its gonna be tough for most of us to get advisory snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Imo PBZ has seen this setup so many times, their thinking is to go warm until proven wrong. Yeah, the rates will make or break us on this one. If we end up with broken precip like last week, its gonna be tough for most of us to get advisory snow. Agree - it might be rate driven because of time of year. But this also doesnt look like SLP passing west like last week. More of a wave that stays south Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 NAM looks colder and wetter. But thats just a quick weenie check - didnt look real closely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 Well, much like last time, it looks like the models are keying on a 4-8 inch event. I won't go that far, but I would say this will be more than a 1-3 event and at least advisory level around 3-5. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 I go 3-6 I think trend is our freind and some higher lollipops ..we are due for something to come toghether rather than fall apart. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 The more i look at this, the more i dont like it. I think that its a relatively weak wave that actually winds up near Cleveland as it fizzles out. Then it looks like redevelopment in the NYC area and some wraparound snow. I guess it depends on where that primary winds up, but again it's not optimal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 GFS again cold and wet. Gives what looks like nearly .75 QPF in our area. Not sure on the precip types though, and if there are any boundary layer issues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Burghblizz Posted February 28, 2015 Share Posted February 28, 2015 GFS again cold and wet. Gives what looks like nearly .75 QPF in our area. Not sure on the precip types though, and if there are any boundary layer issues. Starting to remind me of last week - the output looks better than the setup Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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