colonel717 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Hour 108 Run Total: Hour 108: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 My sister just reported a quick inch of snow in Wexford in about 15 minutes. This line means business Silver dollar flakes here now. Wow!. Wow! Sounds incredible, I hope it turns back to snow here. Just plain rain right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KPITSnow Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Ripping downtown with big huge flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Lol ripping here in Oakland. Love the the size of the flakes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
meatwad Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 big flakes falling now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Awesome run and looks like there is a wide swath of significant snow. Hopefully this is the start of some consensus between euro and GFS. Yeah, near perfect, to bad its Thursday not Sunday! I think by tomorrow at 00z we should start getting this nailed down pretty well, then from there just minor adjustments to track. I would think this has significantly less bust potential than those in NY had for the blizzard needing the storm to get pulled back West to verify. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Polar Vortex 2014 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Yeah, near perfect, to bad its Thursday not Sunday! I think by tomorrow at 00z we should start getting this nailed down pretty well, then from there just minor adjustments to track. I would think this has significantly less bust potential than those in NY had for the blizzard needing the storm to get pulled back West to verify. Not quite perfect. I'd like to see a low bomb out near Richmond, VA, then crawl north-northwest to near Buffalo, NY. Now that would be perfect IMO. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dj3 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Yeah, near perfect, to bad its Thursday not Sunday! I think by tomorrow at 00z we should start getting this nailed down pretty well, then from there just minor adjustments to track. I would think this has significantly less bust potential than those in NY had for the blizzard needing the storm to get pulled back West to verify. Yea I agree. The GFS, NAM, and now euro have a nice strip of snow along I-70 which looks to be overrunning before the main low actually gets going. The euro leaving the suppression idea for this latest run is pretty big IMO. Still a lot of time to go but I would have been pretty pessimistic had it continued with the strung out weak look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
north pgh Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Back to now casting. Snow has stopped here. A little light rain now. Picked up a quick coating to 1/2 inch. Another batch per Hrrr to move through around 5 or 6:00. Wonder what the precip type will be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Not quite perfect. I'd like to see a low bomb out near Richmond, VA, then crawl north-northwest to near Buffalo, NY. Now that would be perfect IMO. True, I meant near perfect for the pattern we have in place now. The other thing to consider is the surface temps look to be in the 20s. 8-10 inches of cold snow followed by arctic air after is perfect. Really hoping this plays out similar to the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Yeah, near perfect, to bad its Thursday not Sunday! I think by tomorrow at 00z we should start getting this nailed down pretty well, then from there just minor adjustments to track. I would think this has significantly less bust potential than those in NY had for the blizzard needing the storm to get pulled back West to verify. Not to jinx Anything. But. These are comming in order we under 3 days now till the so called start of system,,knock on wood. The models may be having a easier time getting it right this time bdcailuse it seems less complicated of a system. Hopefully they wobble they we need em too. I'm happy about these models. Gfs wobble lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Part 2. Isn't funny. Evreyone was complaining about no snow 2 weeks ago. Now look after next week u might be ready for 70 degree days. ,,, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Never switched back to snow here. just had a moderate rain shower. At least I got the salt washed off my car lol. Hoping mby got hit and I can see some of the effects on the ground when I get home. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Euro mean and control look much like the operational. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Reduced 20% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Rdd9108 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Forget the snow for a sec. Have any of you looked at the European temperatures all next week. There are three arctic outbreaks and one of them could be record setting. Wow thats a cold look. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 NAM looks good at 84h. Hope it continues. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Looking at snow rates as high as 19:1 possible Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Attached thumbnail(s) Reduced 20% Reduced: 81% of original size [ 785 x 541 ] - Click to view full image Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Attached thumbnail(s) Reduced 20% Reduced: 81% of original size [ 785 x 541 ] - Click to view full image Is this including ratios? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mailman Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 I believe IWM does include ratios. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 So what models do we need to come into fruition ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stinkbugspecialist Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Knock on wood. It would be xtra gradifying if all people in our western pa /wv. Forum. All cash in on 6-12. With no slop and no super cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SteelCity08 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Good to know. The bulk of the precip seemed a bit south for those totals. Hard to rely on good ratios for big snows, lot of factors in play there. Regardless, seems like it would be a solid 3-6 even at 10:1. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 So what models do we need to come into fruition ? I'd day the Euro would be the best, but the GFS isn't bad. Either way, I'm still worried about suppression and would be happy to see it trend a bit stronger and a bit further north. Right now, it looks like I-80 is the cutoff of the more decent snows. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
colonel717 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Jeff Verszyla made no mention of any storm. Has snow shower pm Sunday and nothing Monday, The other 2 stations mention accumulating snow, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
psunate1977 Posted January 29, 2015 Share Posted January 29, 2015 Jeff Verszyla made no mention of any storm. Has snow shower pm Sunday and nothing Monday, The other 2 stations mention accumulating snow, Jeff Verszyla probably too busy doing his Super Bowl polls. Good guy, but not interested in the weather. I think you see him in sports soon. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Yuck, hope this rain changes over to snow sooner rather than later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RitualOfTheTrout Posted January 30, 2015 Share Posted January 30, 2015 Is this including ratios? It's likely overdone imo. cobb output has kagc at .44qpf for the storm per 18z GFS. That would take ratios of like 25:1 which I doubt will happen. Euro on the other hand looks like it had about .9 at kagc based on a map I saw in the Ohio thread. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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