OHweather Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Any reason that the WxChallenge site is showing the final wind at 17kts? The climo report had 19kts but it looks like it's not being used?They have to put in the final wind manually and as of this post it is 8AM central time and the final climo came out in the middle of the night Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Already 64 jesus christ wish I thought about going a tad warmer than 63F now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Crap, Im screwed. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Winds already 18 knots too. My 64 of course ends up being too cool in all likelihood...this is more fun than ILM though Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 I'm okay with 64 and winds being high early on, but I really need some rain in order to get a good day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SWOhioWX Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Can't believe it is already up to 64... Also any idea why yesterday hasn't been updated to climo yet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 No clue hopefully it will. Does anyone remember what the 12z gfs and Nam were going for a high today? The wxchallenge site is incorrect. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 No clue hopefully it will. Does anyone remember what the 12z gfs and Nam were going for a high today? The wxchallenge site is incorrect. 12z and 18z GFS had 66. Ohio State page only go back to 0z for NAM, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 12z and 18z GFS had 66. Ohio State page only go back to 0z for NAM, though.The 12z NAM MOS had 57 I want to say Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 The 12z NAM MOS had 57 I want to say Use the Iowa st page to get all the MOS dating back a couple years. 12z and 18z GFS had 66. Ohio State page only go back to 0z for NAM, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 The 12z NAM MOS had 57 I want to say Yeah, I think that's right. Use the Iowa st page to get all the MOS dating back a couple years. Interesting. Thanks! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
H2Otown_WX Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 The 12z NAM MOS had 57 I want to say NAM BUFKIT totally botched the h7 temps. It had them being <2C when in reality (if the RAP has any clue) they were up near 5C. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wi_fl_wx Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 I nailed the high if it stays 65, but my 34 low was idiotic. Would be nice to get the wind up to the mid-20s. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
AppsRunner Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 As long as it doesn't rain I'll beat consensus which is about all I have going for me today. Butte is gonna be fun Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 65.....what the eff happened? lol This is fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WxBlue Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 We'll see if we get any liquid out of this... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Up to 67 now. Winds are out of the south at 18 knots gusting to 25 knots. A wind advisory kicks in at 3PM MDT and the models showed the best wind potential after 21z as they go more WSW, so we'll see what happens then. And then we'll see how low temps get by 6z. I agree, this is fun. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Max Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Up to 67 now. Winds are out of the south at 18 knots gusting to 25 knots. A wind advisory kicks in at 3PM MDT and the models showed the best wind potential after 21z as they go more WSW, so we'll see what happens then. And then we'll see how low temps get by 6z. I agree, this is fun. I had a feeling it would get this high but after not hitting 70F yesterday I was a bit deterred to go as high as I thought it might get. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 I had a feeling it would get this high but after not hitting 70F yesterday I was a bit deterred to go as high as I thought it might get.I figured that deeper mixing might offset cooler mid level temps, but didn't think we'd get temps about as warm as yesterday. I don't think a single piece of guidance had 67+ but correct me if I'm wrong on that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 I figured that deeper mixing might offset cooler mid level temps, but didn't think we'd get temps about as warm as yesterday. I don't think a single piece of guidance had 67+ but correct me if I'm wrong on that. I don't think anything did either Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 The last observation is awesome! 51 F winds of 32 mph gusting to 45. with a trace of rain Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Is the ob for real? It seems ridiculous but also seems probable. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Is the ob for real? It seems ridiculous but also seems probable. 99% sure it's real. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 99% sure it's real. So your sayin' there's a chance Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OHweather Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Glad I went 30 knots. Effectively erases my day 1 mistakes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The 4 Seasons Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 When is yesterdays going to be changed to 19 knts And I noticed today is all backwards so far its giving me 75 error points cum. As well as saying I have 1 abs, same with other students in the mtr program at my school Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mallow Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Yeah, the WxChallenge site is royally messed up right now for everyone. One of the Penn State forecasters actually disappeared from their database entirely and wasn't able to submit a forecast yesterday. I'm guessing they know. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 My forecast tomorrow is turning out very USL-ish....not sure I like it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chrisrotary12 Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Yeah, the WxChallenge site is royally messed up right now for everyone. One of the Penn State forecasters actually disappeared from their database entirely and wasn't able to submit a forecast yesterday. I'm guessing they know. I have been participating for half a dozen years now and this is the first time I can remember a major computer glitch.....so all in all not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thunder Road Posted October 15, 2014 Share Posted October 15, 2014 Yeah I'm in the 1400s right now, but I have 10 error points (1 absence) for no reason. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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