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Upstate NY/North Country + adjacent ON, QC, VT: End of Winter/Spring


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If those came through for us, I know some people who will kill me at even the slightest hint of excitement.

 

This winter is creeping up there for one of my favorites...for multiple reasons.

 

I'm not a big fan of the cold, but love the snow. There was 2 epic LES events for MBY and another 4-6 smaller events in addition to 4-5 synoptic systems and 10+ arctic fronts/lake enhancement. Probably one of my favorite winners ever. 00-01, 01-02 were pretty awesome.

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Nearly 10 hours straight of Heavy Snow at KBUF. I might be in the minority but I don't think blizzard warnings were needed with this storm. Wind forecast were underwhelming except close to the lakeshores. This should of been a high end WSW.

 

12    18:54    N 20 G 26    0.25    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow    
12    17:54    N 16 G 30    0.25    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow    
12    14:54    NE 23 G 33    0.25    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow and Breezy        
12    13:54    NE 23 G 38    0.06    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow and Breezy        
12    12:54    NE 20 G 33    0.13    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow            
12    11:54    NE 25 G 33    0.50    Snow Blowing Snow and Breezy            
12    10:54    NE 20 G 31    0.25    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow        
12    09:54    NE 22 G 31    0.13    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow and Breezy            
12    08:54    NE 24 G 32    0.25    Heavy Snow Freezing Fog and Breezy  

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I was waiting on the deform band to swing through....but I think I'll go get my bibs on and head out before the winds get cranking...Whatever falls tonight will be melted by Friday anyway.

Same here. Def band looks awful for CNY. I keep my storm grade at a B+ here. I don't hand out A's easily.... ;)

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Nearly 10 hours straight of Heavy Snow at KBUF. I might be in the minority but I don't think blizzard warnings were needed with this storm. Wind forecast were underwhelming except close to the lakeshores. This should of been a high end WSW.

12 18:54 N 20 G 26 0.25 Heavy Snow Blowing Snow

12 17:54 N 16 G 30 0.25 Heavy Snow Blowing Snow

12 14:54 NE 23 G 33 0.25 Heavy Snow Blowing Snow and Breezy

12 13:54 NE 23 G 38 0.06 Heavy Snow Blowing Snow and Breezy

12 12:54 NE 20 G 33 0.13 Heavy Snow Blowing Snow

12 11:54 NE 25 G 33 0.50 Snow Blowing Snow and Breezy

12 10:54 NE 20 G 31 0.25 Heavy Snow Blowing Snow

12 09:54 NE 22 G 31 0.13 Heavy Snow Blowing Snow and Breezy

12 08:54 NE 24 G 32 0.25 Heavy Snow Freezing Fog and Breezy

Thank you, I've even saying all along that NWS pulled the plug with that blizzard warning.. I'm pretty sure areas along the Lake Ontario shoreline justified the blizzard criteria but not the city nor the southern burbs..

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Nearly 10 hours straight of Heavy Snow at KBUF. I might be in the minority but I don't think blizzard warnings were needed with this storm. Wind forecast were underwhelming except close to the lakeshores. This should of been a high end WSW.

 

12    18:54    N 20 G 26    0.25    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow    

12    17:54    N 16 G 30    0.25    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow    

12    14:54    NE 23 G 33    0.25    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow and Breezy        

12    13:54    NE 23 G 38    0.06    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow and Breezy        

12    12:54    NE 20 G 33    0.13    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow            

12    11:54    NE 25 G 33    0.50    Snow Blowing Snow and Breezy            

12    10:54    NE 20 G 31    0.25    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow        

12    09:54    NE 22 G 31    0.13    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow and Breezy            

12    08:54    NE 24 G 32    0.25    Heavy Snow Freezing Fog and Breezy  

 

 

Rochester appeared to be quite a bit more intense during the peak of the storm.  With much higher sustained winds for long portion of the afternoon.  Perhaps that explains my higher rating of this event.  Plus I didnt have the super blizzard Buffalo had in January to compare to.

 

Rochester, NY

12    18:54    N 20 G 32    0.13    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow   

12    17:54    N 23 G 37    0.13    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow and Breezy   

12    14:54    NE 37 G 49    0.13    Heavy Snow Freezing Fog Blowing Snow and Windy       

12    13:54    NE 37 G 47    0..13    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow Freezing Fog and Windy       

12    12:54    NE 35 G 47    0.13    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow Freezing Fog and Windy           

12    11:54    NE 30 G 44    0..13    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow Freezing Fog and Windy       

12    10:54    NE 30 G 37    0.25    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow Freezing Fog and Windy     

12    09:54    NE 29 G 35    0.25    Heavy Snow Blowing Snow Freezing Fog and Windy           

12    08:54    NE 22 G 32    0.25    Heavy Snow  and Breezy

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Impressive wind and cold, but the precip shield was pretty unimpressive for such a strong storm. The heaviest returns were either rain or mix, and even the "heavy" snow never approached whiteout conditions here(and the returns were brighter over southern CNY than any other part of the region). With only 2-3 inches I'd say this qualifies as a major bust now that the back end is falling apart(snow was supposed to last until at least 2 AM). No model run in the past 72 hours had so little snow here, with the possible exception of one NAM run on Monday.

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Huge bust here.  At one point yesterday the locals were predicting as much as 18" here.  As late as 8pm tonight, the NWS updated their forecast and has me for 6" to 12".  We don't have an inch yet and this thing is falling apart. Big disappointment. But we've had more than our share this winter, so I won't hold a grudge.  :lol:

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Huge bust here.  At one point yesterday the locals were predicting as much as 18" here.  As late as 8pm tonight, the NWS updated their forecast and has me for 6" to 12".  We don't have an inch yet and this thing is falling apart. Big disappointment. But we've had more than our share this winter, so I won't hold a grudge.  :lol:

 

The 12z NAM ended up having the right idea, being much stronger with the warm nose aloft and yet one of the coldest models in the surface layer. That left us with more ZR and IP than snow.

 

I'm not too disappointed since this event hadn't been looking too solid in the immediate Albany area (Hudson valley locations) for the last couple days.

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Been measuring every 6 hours....total for storm 10.5....9" OTG from storm.  Gonna wait until morning to do driveway....it's gonna just drift in anyway.

I am agreeing w/ 10"...just measured. Just finished driveway. What a pain. Because the ground was warm pre storm, the bottom layer of snow is like hard slush...snowblower was riding up over it. I shoveled the bottom layer because it was annoying me. Wiped out.  

 

Looks like the remnants of the def band are handing tough for a bit here in CNY. Maybe a little lake assist going on. 

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I just saw someone post a tweet with some sort of effed up WRF-ARW Euro initialization for this saturday. It shows over a foot of snow in the same areas that were hit today? Is this real or am I missing something?  

 

edit: nevermind. i was misunderstanding something.

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000

NOUS41 KBUF 130225

PNSBUF

NYZ001>008-010>014-019>021-085-131425-

PUBLIC INFORMATION STATEMENT

SPOTTER REPORTS

NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY

1025 PM EDT WED MAR 12 2014

**********************24 HOUR SNOWFALL**********************

LOCATION 24 HOUR TIME/DATE COMMENTS

SNOWFALL OF

/INCHES/ MEASUREMENT

NEW YORK

...CATTARAUGUS COUNTY...

PERRYSBURG 11.0 640 PM 3/12 CO-OP OBSERVER

...CHAUTAUQUA COUNTY...

DUNKIRK 6.0 400 PM 3/12 PUBLIC

...ERIE COUNTY...

BUFFALO 13.4 900 PM 3/12 NWS OFFICE

BOSTON 12.0 900 PM 3/12 BROADCAST MEDIA

2 NE BOSTON 12.0 920 PM 3/12 COCORAHS

LANCASTER 12.0 900 PM 3/12 PUBLIC

GRAND ISLAND 12.0 946 PM 3/12 TRAINED SPOTTER

DEPEW 11.5 900 PM 3/12 PUBLIC

2 S AKRON 11.5 750 PM 3/12 COCORAHS

ORCHARD PARK 11.5 900 PM 3/12 PUBLIC

WEST SENECA 11.0 900 PM 3/12 PUBLIC

WILLIAMSVILLE 10.8 600 PM 3/12 PUBLIC

MARILLA 10.5 900 PM 3/12 PUBLIC

6 W HAMBURG 10.5 900 PM 3/12 BROADCAST MEDIA

KENMORE 9.3 425 PM 3/12 TRAINED SPOTTER

EAST AURORA 9.0 900 PM 3/12 NWS EMPLOYEE

2 SSW BLASDELL 8.0 900 PM 3/12 COCORAHS

1 W LAKE VIEW 8.0 930 PM 3/12 TRAINED SPOTTER

3 WSW ELMA 8.0 500 PM 3/12 COCORAHS

BLASDELL 7.0 551 PM 3/12 COCORAHS

...GENESEE COUNTY...

CORFU 9.0 900 PM 3/12 PUBLIC

2 NE STAFFORD 8.7 800 PM 3/12 NWS EMPLOYEE

...JEFFERSON COUNTY...

WATERTOWN 5.9 645 PM 3/12 PUBLIC

3 NW ADAMS CENTER 2.6 446 PM 3/12 TRAINED SPOTTER

...LEWIS COUNTY...

BEAVER FALLS 9.0 552 PM 3/12 TRAINED SPOTTER

LOWVILLE 9.0 600 PM 3/12 CO-OP OBSERVER

...LIVINGSTON COUNTY...

8 S LIVONIA 10.0 600 PM 3/12 TRAINED SPOTTER

GENESEO 10.0 730 PM 3/12 PUBLIC

...MONROE COUNTY...

ROCHESTER INTL ARPT 15.5 900 PM 3/12 ASOS

EAST ROCHESTER 13.5 1000 PM 3/12 PUBLIC

...NIAGARA COUNTY...

SANBORN 17.0 900 PM 3/12 TRAINED SPOTTER

NORTH TONAWANDA 16.5 900 PM 3/12 PUBLIC

LOCKPORT 13.0 900 PM 3/12 BROADCAST MEDIA

1 NNE NORTH TONAWAND 12.1 700 PM 3/12 COCORAHS

1 NE PENDLETON 9.5 830 PM 3/12 COCORAHS

YOUNGSTOWN 8.0 500 PM 3/12 CO-OP OBSERVER

...ONTARIO COUNTY...

GENEVA 7.5 400 PM 3/12 TRAINED SPOTTER

...OSWEGO COUNTY...

PARISH 14.5 600 PM 3/12 PUBLIC

...WAYNE COUNTY...

3 ESE MACEDON 8.8 743 PM 3/12 COCORAHS

...WYOMING COUNTY...

7 SW WARSAW 10.0 400 PM 3/12 TRAINED SPOTTER

$$

JAM

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000

SXUS71 KBUF 130522
RERBUF

RECORD EVENT REPORT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BUFFALO NY
0122 AM EDT THU MAR 13 2014

...RECORD DAILY MAXIMUM SNOWFALL SET AT BUFFALO NY...

A RECORD SNOWFALL OF 13.8 INCHES WAS SET AT BUFFALO NY YESTERDAY.
THIS BREAKS THE OLD RECORD OF 7.3 SET IN 1959.

THIS DAILY SNOWFALL IS THE 6TH GREATEST ON RECORD FOR THE MONTH OF
MARCH. IT IS ALSO THE 4TH GREATEST DAILY SNOWFALL FOR THIS LATE IN
THE WINTER SEASON.

$

TMA

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