Storm At Sea Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 It looks terrible for your area..sorry dude. Guys, help me out. No one is posting in the Philly thread. How does it look in SEPA 25 miles west of Philly? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Thanks for the pbp here guys. Any qpf totals for the area? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
VAsnowlvr82 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Can you please give qpf numbers from DC to Boston? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Cough Cough...1993 hmm..not 2001? and im not saying the bust but the setup similiar, no? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 South Jersey actually goes to rain on this run, verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 It's a inch plus from Dca to Bos. 2+ around NYC and central nj. Keep in mine that it might not be all snow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I'll post some QPF numbers in a few minutes. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I haven't seen the Euro QPF maps yet, but looking at the 700mb images, the precip shield might be quite massive...maybe from WVA to CT at 144 Hr. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Just seeing 2 qpf for nyc tells me this wont verify. But its good to look at ..hopefully we get a 3-6inch at least to close end winter. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Thanks, for being a pal. thanks for ruining a discussion thread with great pbp with your "how much for (25 miles west of) philly" post. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Just seeing 2 qpf for nyc tells me this wont verify. But its good to look at ..hopefully we get a 3-6inch at least to close end winter. Moisture Influence from the Atlantic from the Block+SE Ridge tells me that this may not be far fetched. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Okay, the first image is 24-hour total QPF from 120-144 hours. The 2nd image is 24-hour total QPF from 144-168 hours. Enjoy. EDIT: I posted the scale below as well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Okay, the first image is 24-hour total QPF from 120-144 hours. The 2nd image is 24-hour total QPF from 144-168 hours. Enjoy. http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=91980'>Euro QPF 1.png http://www.americanwx.com/bb/index.php?app=core&module=attach§ion=attach&attach_rel_module=post&attach_id=91981'>Euro QPF 2.png The lighter orange surrounding LI and NYC is what qpf? And wht about the dark orange? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Appreciate it Dsnow and thanks all for the pbp in here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
user13 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Just seeing 2 qpf for nyc tells me this wont verify. But its good to look at ..hopefully we get a 3-6inch at least to close end winter. The QPF will be there, it may not be over us but someone will get over 2" with this storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I edited my original post with an image for the scale. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I also want to note that it is still snowing moderately at 168. So, those images are not the full QPF. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cast4 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Wow looks almost exactly the same as the gem. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JSantanaNYC Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Thanks dsnow. Lets keep it this way for 6 more days Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 I also want to note that it is still snowing moderately at 168. So, those images are not the full QPF. I was wondering about that, I'm pretty sure this thing is moving very slowly if it's truly cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 There is about another tenth in NYC and LI... and maybe two tenths as you approach Boston at 174 hours, but I'm not cropping/uploading that image Most of SE Jersey turns to rain on this run, verbatim. I'm not going to over analyze how much is rain vs snow for the borderline areas 6 days from the event, though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Here's the thing...it does NOT move NE and out. It gets to above ACY and then drifts east slowly. CCB is still over NJ/ NYC/LI at 168 hr. I was wondering about that, I'm pretty sure this thing is moving very slowly if it's truly cutoff. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 You know, the H5 pattern at 144 with the trough/ULL itself reminded me not of 1993, but something else... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 The reason why this came so far north is because there was less blocking up north. I have noticed in the past that the models overdo the blocking 7+ days out. All the models came north at 0z. You know, the H5 pattern at 144 with the trough/ULL itself reminded me not of 1993, but something else... 2001? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 This was a massive shift of 500 miles at least....one has to be a bit nervous as I noted hours ago...the NYC metro might get too much of what it asked for....north shift The reason why this came so far north is because there was less blocking up north. I have noticed in the past that the models overdo the blocking 7+ days out. All the models came north at 0z. 2001? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoSki14 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Here's the thing...it does NOT move NE and out. It gets to above ACY and then drifts east slowly. CCB is still over NJ/ NYC/LI at 168 hr. Ultimately this will be the deciding factor for this storm, how far north it gets and how close to the coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ji Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Euro sure is consistent. Jumped only 500 miles in one run Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 The reason why this came so far north is because there was less blocking up north. I have noticed in the past that the models overdo the blocking 7+ days out. All the models came north at 0z. 2001? true...but lets see if this is a trend. because the past couple days the trend was to develop a stonger block each run and now all of the sudden it reverses. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 There's a bit of similarities, but mostly differences. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted March 1, 2013 Share Posted March 1, 2013 Yeah, I'll be honest: if these current trends continue, there could be p-type issues at the coast. But I'm not worried about that yet. The overall look tremendously improved with the 00z suite. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.