SnoSki14 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Might be better off if we didn't have that first vort, seems to be really screwing things up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Storm At Sea Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I highlighted confluence and diffluence on this image. conf.bmp Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 When does ukmet and Cmc come out? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 When does ukmet and Cmc come out? 11:30 ish I think. -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 11:30 ish I think. -skisheep UKIE is around 10:30. GGEM around 11:30. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 SREF plumes went from 7" to 2.5", more than I thought it would be (JFK) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sferic Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 So basically for Saturday in NYC/LI the range is what 0 inches to 6inches? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I highlighted confluence and diffluence on this image. conf.bmp I highlighted confluence and diffluence on this image. conf.bmp thanks man...appreciate it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 This could potentially evolve into a major snow event for parts of the SE in SC/Ga/NC and dare I say even some light snow falling NRN FL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 I highlighted confluence and diffluence on this image. conf.bmp I highlighted confluence and diffluence on this image. conf.bmp if that is weak diffluence, what would strong diffluence be? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 This could potentially evolve into a major snow event for parts of the SE in SC/Ga/NC and dare I say even some light snow falling NRN FL its getting folks down here excited thats for sure..though i havent been down here long enough nor have i ever payed attention to what classic snowstorms look like for the SE. my bad for being off topic but what one area of the east coast loses out on, is another areas gain. i do know though that its highly unlikely for the SE and NE to get major snows from the same system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 its getting folks down here excited thats for sure..though i havent been down here long enough nor have i ever payed attention to what classic snowstorms look like for the SE. my bad for being off topic but what one area of the east coast loses out on, is another areas gain. i do know though that its highly unlikely for the SE and NE to get major snows from the same system. True, unless, its March '93 all over. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnowGoose69 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 its getting folks down here excited thats for sure..though i havent been down here long enough nor have i ever payed attention to what classic snowstorms look like for the SE. my bad for being off topic but what one area of the east coast loses out on, is another areas gain. i do know though that its highly unlikely for the SE and NE to get major snows from the same system. The coastal areas yes, sometimes ATL/RDU/BHM can get big snows from the same storms we do, its pretty rare though for CHS/HAT to do so though, sort of the same for Virginia Beach Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 True, unless, its March '93 all over. ha...yea, ill donate an organ for one of those this decade. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Anything on gfs yet? I don't really see anything through hour 24 that is different from 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
leemhoc Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Actually, compared it side by side, trough is wider and more negatively tilted at same timeframe as 12z Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 15, 2013 Author Share Posted February 15, 2013 GFS is trying really hard with that second vort now at 42 hours. A lot more amplified than 18z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 15, 2013 Author Share Posted February 15, 2013 This run is dangerously close to bringing that last piece of energy up the coast at 48 hours Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Hmmmm....Very close at HR 48. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 15, 2013 Author Share Posted February 15, 2013 Unbelievable...this thing is loaded now at H5...it might back this thing right up into Long Island/New England Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Unbelievable...this thing is loaded now at H5...it might back this thing right up into Long Island/New England This is very interesting. A Major Retrograde in the works. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Dsnowx53 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 The trough was A LOT sharper at 33 hours on this run than 45 hours on 12z. Wow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 15, 2013 Author Share Posted February 15, 2013 Borderline significant snows for Eastern LI at 60 hours. The surface low hooks just around the 40/70 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 991 mB SLP 270 miles east of the Delmarva at HR 54. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted February 15, 2013 Author Share Posted February 15, 2013 Over 1" QPF for Montauk by 66 hrs...this thing is a beast just offshore Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Weathergun Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Seems to be more focus on the second vort on models tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ace0927 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Borderline significant snows for Eastern LI at 60 hours. The surface low hooks just around the 40/70 Borderline significant snows for Eastern LI at 60 hours. The surface low hooks just around the 40/70 holy crap - just caught up on the run...what the NAM hinted at, the GFS took (almost) full advantage of...with a quicker neg tilt we are in business Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IntenseBlizzard2014 Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 Everyone at Eastern New England will be pretty happy about this run. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SR Airglow Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 WAY better than 18z, this thing has major potential to go BOOM! -skisheep Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
green tube Posted February 15, 2013 Share Posted February 15, 2013 JB: "GFS coastal Blizzard Norfolk to Newton ( Mass) and pts beyond. Usual correction west, puts big cities DC to NYC in game" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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