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blizzard of 2013 discussion


forkyfork

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Hr 21 everyone getting pounded with heavy preciep. But it's rain city-south. This run is warmer

I'm still not buying that the main CCB related stuff would be rain for anybody. The NAM is also by far the warmest of all the models and is likely overdone with that. That said, I can certainly buy a period of mixing or rain for shore areas and possibly the city. But no one should freak out and panic that it will cut down tremendously on final totals.

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I think by dark just about everybody should be snow. Most of these systems that bomb out near us change back to snow sooner than predicted. 2/25/10 is one big example, where Nassau County changed to snow hours before predicted, but the snow shut off for a time as the low re-organized. That's probably what stopped western Long island from getting the 20"+ that Manhattan got. :(

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