andyhb Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 The Euro is pretty big... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted December 3, 2012 Author Share Posted December 3, 2012 Euro should be interesting. not sure I buy the op gfs 2 part deal.. So far, so good. HR 120 HR 144 HR 168 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 In between 144 and 168 is a pretty impressive severe verbatim. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 still no weenie part 2 on the euro like the gfs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 So far, so good. HR 168 Tease. Your last map is tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted December 3, 2012 Author Share Posted December 3, 2012 Tease. Your last map is tomorrow. I corrected it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Never mind, thanks for fixing it. Pretty nice looking storm for parts of the region...still well out there in time though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted December 3, 2012 Author Share Posted December 3, 2012 Correct me if I'm wrong, but from the Euro, it looks like an upper level low is phasing in with a surface low, thus the bomb. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 euro is still on the quicker side...wouldn't be shocked to see it slow down and dig into the southwest a bit more. Either way, it's nice not to see a hyper suppressed gulf coast solution anywhere on the table. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 In between 144 and 168 is a pretty impressive severe verbatim. I like how the low rapidly deepens Sunday into Monday though the moisture return is questionable north of the OH River. Give me snow or legit tstorms...the worst is getting caught in between. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted December 3, 2012 Author Share Posted December 3, 2012 euro is still on the quicker side...wouldn't be shocked to see it slow down and dig into the southwest a bit more. Either way, it's nice not to see a hyper suppressed gulf coast solution anywhere on the table. The model consensus this far out is shocking. Every thing I've looked at has a bombed out storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted December 3, 2012 Author Share Posted December 3, 2012 I like how the low rapidly deepens Sunday into Monday though the moisture return is questionable north of the OH River. Give me snow or legit tstorms...the worst is getting caught in between. Yeah, it goes negative tilt as it moves north. Which isn't a good sign if we don't want convective activity to our south disrupting the flow of moisture. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 The model consensus this far out is shocking. Every thing I've looked at has a bombed out storm. I wouldn't say everything is bombed out...there are a few GFS members that have the look and the Euro is right there but general track idea is pretty good. Again, I like to lean towards slower solutions at this range...especially when a pattern is breaking down like we'll see in the pacific. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 euro is still on the quicker side...wouldn't be shocked to see it slow down and dig into the southwest a bit more. Either way, it's nice not to see a hyper suppressed gulf coast solution anywhere on the table. Agree with this. GFS drags a cold front through before the second piece follows, Euro is a day ahead and isn't buying that scenario. I'd argue slower too. Either way though, some sort of storm happens. Just need to keep that theme going for another 20+ runs. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BowMeHunter Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Ukie Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
isnice Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 still no weenie part 2 on the euro like the gfs. Correct me I I'm wrong, but I believe the Euro consolidates the energy with this system whereas the GFS keeps it separate, hence the second system. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Looks like a pretty similar track as the GGEM this morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Agree with this. GFS drags a cold front through before the second piece follows, Euro is a day ahead and isn't buying that scenario. I'd argue slower too. Either way though, some sort of storm happens. Just need to keep that theme going for another 20+ runs. I think that's a lock....subforum meltdown watch if this one evaporates into a total non-event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 "barb of death" makes an appearance late Sunday into Monday. This can be more of a general storm thread for now and will split the severe disco off in the next day or two barring any wild shift in the setup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted December 3, 2012 Author Share Posted December 3, 2012 I think that's a lock....subforum meltdown watch if this one evaporates into a total non-event. Let's hope if there's going to be no storm that we know it sooner than later. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
magoos0728 Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 I think that's a lock....subforum meltdown watch if this one evaporates into a total non-event. While it would suck if this evaporates to nothing, it would be just as entertaining to watch the thread as it is to listen to Buffone and OBradovich after a Bears loss. Cheering for someone to get in on something big, but will enjoy the mass hysteria and calls for January to be cancelled before it begins. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Guru Of Reason Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Mid 70s to accumulating snow in one week. I love it! So far, so good. HR 168 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 There are a couple real whoppers on the 12z GEFS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathergy Posted December 3, 2012 Author Share Posted December 3, 2012 There are a couple real whoppers on the 12z GEFS. Care to share? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Care to share? *weenie alert* Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 Care to share? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
on_wx Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 The Weather Network is forecasting 45cm/18" for my location from Dec 9-12... Well hot digity! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 *weenie alert* holy cow, can you link me to the page with each run image? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hoosier Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 holy cow, can you link me to the page with each run image? http://raleighwx.americanwx.com/models/Members.html Obviously pure entertainment value on that one I posted. The low deepens like 23 mb in 12 hours...not impossible but extraordinarily difficult in this part of the country. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted December 3, 2012 Share Posted December 3, 2012 When you look at it, actually somg big differences within the last two runs of the Euro. I'd take the 12z run but with everything a bit further south. The main upper level system is over Sioux Falls with the srn wave rotating around the srn plains. The 0z run has the main ULL much further north but the srn wave responsible for the big system on the 0z run is stronger. This is going to be fun to follow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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