CT Rain Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 i don't like when guidance throws up virtually nothing for QPF. the late afternoon soundings from the NAM at BDL are impressive. Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 OT in a way...does anyone have good software for modifying forecast soundings? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 If you want to get smoked by 3" per hour snowfall or smoked by baseballs, that's the corridor to go. Yup, Draw a line,Fryeburg, Bethal, Andover, Rumford, Bingham along the foothills, Winter wonderland and Severe outbreaks in the summer Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 OT in a way...does anyone have good software for modifying forecast soundings? I used to use RAOB but I think you have to pay for it. I actually don't even know if they still make it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 I used to use RAOB but I think you have to pay for it. I actually don't even know if they still make it. yeah i've seen that one around in google searches in the past. it's not a big deal but sometimes i just wish i had an easy go-to tool. almost more just for fun actually. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 yeah i've seen that one around in google searches in the past. it's not a big deal but sometimes i just wish i had an easy go-to tool. almost more just for fun actually. Nothing's more fun than seeing how much CAPE a 40c dew point will give. Great way to spend a Saturday night. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 yeah i've seen that one around in google searches in the past. it's not a big deal but sometimes i just wish i had an easy go-to tool. almost more just for fun actually. You want to know what a dork I am... I asked for that program for christmas when I was in middle school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 You want to know what a dork I am... I asked for that program for christmas when I was in middle school. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 You want to know what a dork I am... I asked for that program for christmas when I was in middle school. no worse than asking for a laminated map of the U.S., dry-erase markers and then making stick on "H"s and "L"s Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 no worse than asking for a laminated map of the U.S., dry-erase markers and then making stick on "H"s and "L"s Or mapping out exactly where highways, stare roads, and your location is to make sure you know where you are when Dick Albert or Harvey threw up a snow map. Our poor parents must have thought we were special. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Or mapping out exactly where highways, stare roads, and your location is to make sure you know where you are when Dick Albert or Harvey threw up a snow map. Our poor parents must have thought we were special. lol no kidding. How is it that I could read a sounding at the age of 12 and Kevin can't at the age of 40????????? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 lol no kidding. How is it that I could read a sounding at the age of 12 and Kevin can't at the age of 40????????? LOL Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 lol no kidding. How is it that I could read a sounding at the age of 12 and Kevin can't at the age of 40????????? Rachel > You Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 This thread Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 15Z SREFs do have a small window in eastern...especially NE MA during the afternoon tomorrow. The better height falls and thunder chances continue in ME. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 15Z SREFs do have a small window in eastern...especially NE MA during the afternoon tomorrow. The better height falls and thunder chances continue in ME. Yup. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 If overnight MCS fails to form... what ramifications does that have on tomorrow's threat? Less drying and subsidence in wake of phantom-MCS? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 If overnight MCS fails to form... what ramifications does that have on tomorrow's threat? Less drying and subsidence in wake of phantom-MCS? Deeper Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 If overnight MCS fails to form... what ramifications does that have on tomorrow's threat? Less drying and subsidence in wake of phantom-MCS? MCS formation would limit the northward transport of deeper moisture (as it is forced into updrafts instead). If you could get that moisture at 925 and 850 farther north, that might limit the mix out potential of dew points down your way. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 AWT, The foothills stand the best chance up here, But i would not rule out some stronger storms closer to the coast Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 MCS formation would limit the northward transport of deeper moisture (as it is forced into updrafts instead). If you could get that moisture at 925 and 850 farther north, that might limit the mix out potential of dew points down your way. Yeah it would make tomorrow a bit more interesting I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Yeah it would make tomorrow a bit more interesting I think. That DTX sounding will be pretty interesting tonight. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 That DTX sounding will be pretty interesting tonight. I'm surprised SPC doesn't have slight risk out for Maine. I'd probably paint in 30% probs too. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 BOX thinks morning might be fun for some EXPECT DRY WEATHER MUCH OF THE NIGHT IN RESPONSE TO HEIGHT RISES WITH DEPARTING MARITIME TROUGH. HOWEVER MONITORING A JET IMPULSE CLIMBING OVER THE RIDGE ACROSS THE NORTHERN GREAT LAKES AT THE MOMENT. THIS MAY EVOLVE INTO A CONVECTIVE COMPLEX OVERNIGHT AND TRAVERSE INTO NY STATE AND TOWARD WESTERN NEW ENGLAND BY DAYBREAK. THEREFORE EXPECTING INCREASING CLOUDS AFT MIDNGT ALONG WITH A RISK OF SHOWERS/TSTMS WESTERN NEW ENGLAND TOWARD MORNING. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 I'm surprised SPC doesn't have slight risk out for Maine. I'd probably paint in 30% probs too. It's tough being such a conditional risk. I think our day and evening shifts for tomorrow pretty well know the threat, so it's in a few products. Besides, our "see text" days are usually the biggest. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 NAM has a nasty cap tomorrow over most of SNE. Impressive instability but also a very stout cap at base of EML. Stick a fork in tomorrow PM I'm afraid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
OceanStWx Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 NAM has a nasty cap tomorrow over most of SNE. Impressive instability but also a very stout cap at base of EML. Stick a fork in tomorrow PM I'm afraid. Back to looking pretty nasty for KRUM though, 2700 CAPE and winds out of 200o. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 Waste of a good EML day tomorrow. Soundings look beautiful. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 June 95 looked capped too.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CT Rain Posted June 28, 2012 Share Posted June 28, 2012 June 95 looked capped too.... It did? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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