Nikolai Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Loving this weather. +/- 10 degrees of this through October would be ideal. Dreading the summer... although if it isn't scorching I would bet it'll be below normal temp-wise. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted April 9, 2012 Author Share Posted April 9, 2012 Upton only going as high as low 70's early next week http://kamala.cod.edu/nj/latest.fpus51.KOKX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 Upton only going as high as low 70's early next week http://kamala.cod.ed...pus51.KOKX.html Still above normal, and they never go high with temps this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Stormlover74 Posted April 9, 2012 Share Posted April 9, 2012 They're going upper 70s for NE NJ. And yes you'll never see them be that bullish 7 days out. Still above normal, and they never go high with temps this far out. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted April 10, 2012 Author Share Posted April 10, 2012 Looking ahead to another NYC record in danger of being broken - Seasonal Heating Degree Days - July 1st to June 30th. The current record is from 2001-2002 for fewest degree days 3887 we currently have 3420 through April 9 - going to be close.... Seasonal Totals Link http://www.erh.noaa....ingdegdays.html Current NYC Climate Report http://kamala.cod.ed...1.NYC.KOKX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 Oil companies must use this information in figuring out how much heat people use and what rates they are going to charge for their product.. Since we had such a warm winter, you'd think that since demand is down, oil prices would eventually drop some.. However, we know- there are external factors, like IRAN that we have to worry about etc.. Looking ahead to another NYC record in danger of being broken - Seasonal Heating Degree Days - July 1st to June 30th. The current record is from 2001-2002 for fewest degree days 3887 we currently have 3420 through April 9 - going to be close.... Seasonal Totals Link http://www.erh.noaa....ingdegdays.html Current NYC Climate Report http://kamala.cod.ed...1.NYC.KOKX.html Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 Oil companies must use this information in figuring out how much heat people use and what rates they are going to charge for their product.. Since we had such a warm winter, you'd think that since demand is down, oil prices would eventually drop some.. However, we know- there are external factors, like IRAN that we have to worry about etc.. A reason will always be found to keep oil prices up. Even if not one location in the northern hemisphere recorded a temp below 60 ever again, something would be found as an excuse to keep the price high. I live my days assuming that 4 dollar gas is a good deal. Because I know down the road 5 dollar gas is around the corner. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 we're going to go from brilliant sunshine to ovc with showers as soon as the convective temp is reached Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 we're going to go from brilliant sunshine to ovc with showers as soon as the convective temp is reached At what temp do we go from stable to unstable? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 according to the 00z nam, mid 50's... we'll be clouding up soon Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 big time cutoff block on the 6z gfs, good timing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 12z NAM has 60F at 18z as the high...we might survive another few hours. But I agree that clouds are going to get in here as soon as the convective temp is reached...and we could also see some showers/weak storms. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 12z NAM has 60F at 18z as the high...we might survive another few hours. But I agree that clouds are going to get in here as soon as the convective temp is reached...and we could also see some showers/weak storms. Soundings off regular NAM shows 54 degrees for NYC at 18z. Is your number based off the higher res NAM or is it a 21z number? I'm waiting for the 3 hour soundings to update to see 21z temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
earthlight Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 Soundings off regular NAM shows 54 degrees for NYC at 18z. Is your number based off the higher res NAM or is it a 21z number? I'm waiting for the 3 hour soundings to update to see 21z temps. Higher resolution NAM off E-Wall ... 60 F contour gets into Newark and S shore of LI..looks like it just misses NYC. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 Higher resolution NAM off E-Wall ... 60 F contour gets into Newark and S shore of LI..looks like it just misses NYC. Looks the same to me. 55 degrees for NYC and 60's from south of Sandy Hook and south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 Showers already popping in NW Jersey and eastern PA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 Any chance of snow? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
supermeh Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 Any chance of snow? next winter Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 next winter Thank you Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Diego Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 Thank you But only a chance. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
forkyfork Posted April 10, 2012 Share Posted April 10, 2012 http://climate.cod.edu/flanis/1km.php?loop=1&type=vis®ion=LongIsland&numimages=24 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted April 11, 2012 Share Posted April 11, 2012 Turn out to be a nice afternoon imby....no rain....just dry for this time of year Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted April 11, 2012 Author Share Posted April 11, 2012 Turn out to be a nice afternoon imby....no rain....just dry for this time of year We are in a Very DRY pattern since January in NYC - in fact a top 5 so far with only 6.11 inches the other 4 years where it was as dry or dryer were 1957, 1985 ,2002 and 2009 . The way guidance is looking there is no end in site to this dry weather and by the end of April we could be very close to the number 1 so far stay tuned ...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted April 11, 2012 Share Posted April 11, 2012 Hows the warm weather forecast for monday shaping up? Still game for it or no? Wanna finally have a nice day off for once Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NEG NAO Posted April 11, 2012 Author Share Posted April 11, 2012 Hows the warm weather forecast for monday shaping up? Still game for it or no? Wanna finally have a nice day off for once guidance is showing some areas could approach 80 but looks mainly 70's in NYC Metro then another cool down to near normal - 90 degree temps this April looks unlikely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Jefflaw77 Posted April 11, 2012 Share Posted April 11, 2012 guidance is showing some areas could approach 80 but looks mainly 70's in NYC Metro then another cool down to near normal - 90 degree temps this April looks unlikely Sounds AWESOME to me... 65-75 - Best weather! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 11, 2012 Share Posted April 11, 2012 0z euro has a high of 68-70 on Saturday, 76-78 on Sunday and 83-85 for Monday. Monday has potential to be even warmer and a pretty humid day as well. Depends on how far north the front can go. Looks like a 3 day torch with well above normal temps. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted April 11, 2012 Share Posted April 11, 2012 Dgex now also catching on to the euro's warmth..80's for Sunday: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blizzardof09 Posted April 11, 2012 Share Posted April 11, 2012 Dgex now also catching on to the euro's warmth..80's for Sunday: Bring on the warmth cant wait for the warm weather to finally be here for my days offs. Its like a god sent gift lol. Does there look to be any marine influence? Looks like from that much it would be kept to a minimum Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
bluewave Posted April 11, 2012 Share Posted April 11, 2012 Bring on the warmth cant wait for the warm weather to finally be here for my days offs. Its like a god sent gift lol. Does there look to be any marine influence? Looks like from that much it would be kept to a minimum The Euro is going with a really warm downslope flow for Monday which would probably dry out the front as it comes through. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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