daddylonglegs Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 April sitting at 49.7F... March finished 50.4F getting very close, but with some cold weather coming Thurs/Fri/Sat/Sun...should keep avg from climbing anymore. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Remember when weenies were talking about the last week of April being very warm and erasing any minor departures? remember when I said Illinois would have good season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Alek was essentially correct there. Not too far to his west there is a massive heat dome. Placement was just off. nah, I was wrong. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Typical April weather is all we've had this month around here... Isn't it normal for the heat dome to build south and west this time of year and tease us with warm fronts that stall out just south of the area? I know Saukville loves it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chicago WX Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 remember when I said Illinois would have good season Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 I did well on the 2 or 3 snow events we had this year...every other call of mine has sucked. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 nah, I was wrong. Honesty & Integrity are a rare commodity in the business world. You are hired! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Having quite the deluge in Madison, rivers running down the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Having quite the deluge in Madison, rivers running down the street. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Another typical April day, cool and wet. Picked up over 0.10" of rain so far. About 48°. Needs to rain in central IL more, where they really do need it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropical Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Another typical April day, cool and wet. Picked up over 0.10" of rain so far. About 48°. Needs to rain in central IL more, where they really do need it. No! It needs to rain a bit up here, stay bone dry down there which will allow the heat ridge to build up here nicely. The moisture up here will allow dews to climb into the wonderful 70s easily. :) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SpartyOn Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 No! It needs to rain a bit up here, stay bone dry down there which will allow the heat ridge to build up here nicely. The moisture up here will allow dews to climb into the wonderful 70s easily. :) This Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Clear blue skies and the temp is rocketing upward behind that rain shield... I bet we climb above 70F pretty easily. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NW Storm Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Typical April weather is all we've had this month around here... Isn't it normal for the heat dome to build south and west this time of year and tease us with warm fronts that stall out just south of the area? I know Saukville loves it LOL! That's how I feel right now seeing the 80's sit right to the west and south while it's in the low 50s outside here. I should have known that March warmth came with a catch. Now it's time to pay up. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 No! It needs to rain a bit up here, stay bone dry down there which will allow the heat ridge to build up here nicely. The moisture up here will allow dews to climb into the wonderful 70s easily. :) Well it's staying pretty dry another 75-100 miles south of here. I guess we both will endure high dewpoints then! Picked up 0.25" of rain this morning. Getting a break now. --- 12z GFS back to showing snow accumulations for far N IL/S WI, lower MI. Not going to buy it quite yet. Skilling did mention snow could mix in S WI Saturday. http://www.twisterdata.com/index.php?prog=forecast&model=GFS&grid=3&model_yyyy=2012&model_mm=04&model_dd=25&model_init_hh=12&fhour=78¶meter=SNOWIN&level=SURFACE&unit=none&maximize=n&mode=singlemap&sounding=n&output=image&view=large&archive=false Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxman1952 Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 I heard mention of snow. I hope not. What is shown is below me here in lower mi, as of now anyway. lol Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 I heard mention of snow. I hope not. What is shown is below me here in lower mi, as of now anyway. lol Under the link in my last post above, the GFS shows the snow a little further south from Saginaw. More towards Kalamazoo. You wouldn't have liked the last 12z run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
A-L-E-K Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 euro says, not even close snow weenies Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 euro says, not even close snow weenies Yeah, on another board I said I'm not buying it, it was just meant to tantalize us anyway. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
BeastFromTheEast Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 MKX THERE IS SOME SNOW THREAT WITH EVAPORATIVE COOLING ON NAM SOUNDINGS. HOWEVER BOUNDARY LAYERTEMPERATURES ARE STILL WARM ENOUGH SO ONLY A RAIN/SNOW MIXPOSSIBILITY FOR NOW LATE FRIDAY NIGHT. http://forecast.weat...on=1&glossary=1 Skilling also mentioned that someone might be seeing some flakes this weekend FWIW... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wisconsinwx Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 MKX http://forecast.weat...on=1&glossary=1 Please don't take the bait...yet. If the models are still showing this tomorrow night, then it might be time to take it seriously. Still great to see MKX mention the very outside possibility. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Clear blue skies and the temp is rocketing upward behind that rain shield... I bet we climb above 70F pretty easily. Sounds nice! Here: 48-50° with light rain on and off. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
IWXwx Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Even an IWX met mentioned snow in his long term disco yesterday.........I lol'd. LONG TERM... TROF ANCHORED OVER THE GREAT LAKES THROUGHT THE PERIOD. COLD ADVECTION WILL KEEP TEMPERATURES BELOW NORMAL. MODELS ALL HAVE SIMILAR PATTERNS...WITH TIMING DIFFERENCES FOR EACH WAVE/BUCKLE/RIPPLE. THIS IS MORE REMINISCENT OF WINTER-LIKE PATTERN WITH HIGHLY AMPLIFIED PATTERN. GIVEN THE UNCERTAINTY OF THE TIMING...FEEL A BLEND OF MODELS AND PREVIOUS FORECAST THE BEST SOLUTION. WITH ABUNDANCE OF CLOUD COVER AND EFFICIENT MIXING...SUSPECT THAT THE RISK OF FROST WILL BE MINIMAL DURING THE EXTENDED. THAT BEING SAID...COULD NOT RULE OUT A CONVECTIVELY DRIVEN SNOW SHOWER DURING THE WEEKEND AS THE COLD FRONT PUSHES ACROSS THE GREAT LAKES...INTO NORTHERN INDIANA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Can't catch a break from freezing temperatures; IWX & GRR issue Hard freeze watches. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
daddylonglegs Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 La Crosse mentioning the S word this afternoon... Rain/Snow in the forecast here... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
turtlehurricane Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 12z GFS would be a snow/rain mix in the heaviest precip in Madison. Things often change quite a bit between T+72 hours and T+0, so who knows what's gonna happen at this point. The energy that will drive this event is currently over a poorly sampled area of the North Pacific south of Alaska, and is starting to have a complex interaction with a trough to the west of California. Complex events + poor sampling = likely forecast failure. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Geos Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 12z GFS would be a snow/rain mix in the heaviest precip in Madison. Things often change quite a bit between T+72 hours and T+0, so who knows what's gonna happen at this point. The energy that will drive this event is currently over a poorly sampled area of the North Pacific south of Alaska, and is starting to have a complex interaction with a trough to the west of California. Complex events + poor sampling = likely forecast failure. Probably won't know anything for sure until late tomorrow. It'll come down to the strength of the wave and strength of the high to north, I think. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 Incredible dryline in central Iowa. Dews drop from 66 at Des Moines to 10 at Carroll. Temps as warm as 93 behind the dryline. 80 here and getting more humid. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Thundersnow12 Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 90 and DSM and 50 near the lake in northeast IL. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
cyclone77 Posted April 25, 2012 Share Posted April 25, 2012 90 and DSM and 50 near the lake in northeast IL. Very impressive. Dew in DSM dropped from 66 to 48 in the last hour. Temp also jumped up 7 degrees in that time. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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