Solak Posted February 3, 2012 Share Posted February 3, 2012 I'll be glad to take whatever rain the weekend is going to bring. Forecast is trying to look good for a decent rain event.... REGARDING RAINFALL... THE NEW ECMWF HAS COME INTO FAIRLY GOOD AGREEMENT WITH THE WET NAM... INCREASING CONFIDENCE IN RAISING RAIN CHANCES. THESE SUPPORT THREE PERIODS OF FOCUSED RAINFALL: FIRST ON SATURDAY AFTERNOON ASSOCIATED WITH A RAMPING UP OF LOW LEVEL MOISTURE CONVERGENCE AND STRONG UPGLIDE... THE SECOND AFTER MIDNIGHT SATURDAY NIGHT AS A SURFACE LOW TRACKS EAST ACROSS SOUTHERN NC ACCOMPANIED BY ENHANCED UPPER DIVERGENCE WITH THE AFOREMENTIONED UPPER JET (THIS IS WHEN THE LIFT SHOULD BE DEEPEST AND STRONGEST WITH THE HEAVIEST RAIN)... AND THE THIRD SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS A SECOND WEAK LOW MOVES EAST ALONG THE FRONT ACCOMPANIED BY MID LEVEL DPVA WITH THE NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH SWEEPING BY TO THE NORTH. WILL TREND POPS UP SATURDAY AFTERNOON TO CATEGORICAL NW TO CHANCE SE... THEN LIKELY SOUTH/CATEGORICAL NORTH SATURDAY NIGHT... WHEN THE SREF RAIN PROBABILITIES APPROACH 100 PERCENT ACROSS THE NORTH HALF OF THE CWA. WILL TREND POPS DOWN NW TO SE LATE SUNDAY AFTERNOON AS THE NORTHERN STREAM TROUGH PUSHES A COOLER DRIER SURFACE AIR MASS SOUTHWARD TOWARD NC... PUSHING THE FRONT TO OUR SOUTH. BUT LINGERING MOISTURE AT 925-850 MB SHOULD KEEP CONSIDERABLE CLOUD COVER OVER MUCH OF THE AREA THROUGH SUNSET. EXPECT UP TO AN INCH OF RAIN... HIGHEST ACROSS THE NORTHERN CWA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hugo Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Had to post an ob just because I'm a big enough nerd that I bring weather equipment with me on business trips: It's overcast and wet in Athens, but a beautiful morning with a nearly calm wind and 50. Cool but very comfortable. Actually ate breakfast outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
SnoJoe Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 We've had some people visiting this last week and they love to ski so we've been to Sugar, Beech, and Cat and can honestly say it's the worst conditions I have ever seen in Feb. Snow quality is horrible, a frozen grandular that's like skiing on peanut butter. I feel for the resorts because, of course, they can't help it but the word must be getting out because we had the slopes basically to ourselves. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 We've had some people visiting this last week and they love to ski so we've been to Sugar, Beech, and Cat and can honestly say it's the worst conditions I have ever seen in Feb. Snow quality is horrible, a frozen grandular that's like skiing on peanut butter. I feel for the resorts because, of course, they can't help it but the word must be getting out because we had the slopes basically to ourselves. Finding out that you don't create the snow, in your mountain fastness, has been as psyche shattering to me, as finding out the truth about Santa. Even worse is the realization that there must be some vindictive old man, way up north somewhere, that creates the cold and sends it south, on a whim. And I was so sure it was you that had amazing powers to create snow!! Ah, how painful the loss of innocence T Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
FoothillsNC Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 NAM and GFS have a sharp small trough going across eastern Ky, Tn and NC Monday. Right now the cold aloft would favor snow in the mountains and higher elevations, would be hard to get flakes to reach the ground in the lower elevations, esp. during the day. Its something to watch. Its basically a shearing wave that crosses the Apps. Sometimes they can spark more development than shown, sometimes just pass by with almost nothing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaffneyPeach Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 My most favorite weather...EVER!! ((((sarcasm)))) Rainy 46 Miserable Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 4, 2012 Author Share Posted February 4, 2012 My most favorite weather...EVER!! ((((sarcasm)))) Rainy 46 Miserable At least you have rain. still dry here Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
GaffneyPeach Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 At least you have rain. still dry here You would think I'd have bucket-loads. Honestly, .4 for the last 2 weeks. It isn't raining, really, just damp and mucky. It's a waste of wet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 4, 2012 Author Share Posted February 4, 2012 You would think I'd have bucket-loads. Honestly, .4 for the last 2 weeks. It isn't raining, really, just damp and mucky. It's a waste of wet. very moist-like but only 0.01" in my gauge Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 very moist-like but only 0.01" in my gauge Not the first drop has fallen here after a high of 74 deg Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
calculus1 Posted February 4, 2012 Share Posted February 4, 2012 Not the first drop has fallen here after a high of 74 deg Crazy difference up here in the lee of the Apps. Nice wedge of cool, damp air. I picked up 0.11 inches of precip and had a high of 49.0 this afternoon at 4:36. Temperature has been pretty steady all day long, simply holding in the upper 40s. Nice day for a book by the fire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Crazy difference up here in the lee of the Apps. Nice wedge of cool, damp air. I picked up 0.11 inches of precip and had a high of 49.0 this afternoon at 4:36. Temperature has been pretty steady all day long, simply holding in the upper 40s. Nice day for a book by the fire. That sounds wonderful My Son commented today that winter is almost over and he hasn't enjoyed a fire but a few times this year and not once was the fire going all day long Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 A cloudy and dreary day despite the small breaks in the clouds earlier in the evening with 51 for a high. Quite a difference in temperature compared to a high of 68 on Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 5, 2012 Author Share Posted February 5, 2012 Almost at 0.09" now... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Almost at 0.09" now... i came to your subforum to say " Hi Seanus! " Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 5, 2012 Author Share Posted February 5, 2012 i came to your subforum to say " Hi Seanus! " hi diane. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dsaur Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Well, I'm back adding up rain in .1 increments again. Two events now with rain under .3 for Feb. Looks like tonight will be around a tenth. Tony Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Grabbed a birdbath-filling 1.10" overnight!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 5, 2012 Author Share Posted February 5, 2012 Almost at 0.09" now... storm total so far, 0.22". Now I see small puddles in the usual places! Looling at cocohrahs, southern/central alamance and Orance counties have the typical precip lull. After years and years of seeing this I wonder what causes this lull... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 5, 2012 Author Share Posted February 5, 2012 Grabbed a birdbath-filling 1.10" overnight!! Nice! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Solak Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Awww heck, someone else here in Clayton beat me out with 1.21" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NC_hailstorm Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 0.48'' Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 5, 2012 Author Share Posted February 5, 2012 Invest 90L forms in the Yucatan channel this morning... Shades of 1952? http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/1952_Groundhog_Day_Tropical_Storm Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 .40" to finish with the rain event. A little less than I expected but will take it. Sun's finally beginning to break out and so should shape up to be a nice afternoon. Currently 56. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
buckeyefan1 Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Invest 90L forms in the Yucatan channel this morning... Shades of 1952? http://en.wikipedia...._Tropical_Storm No rain again and the projected high for today was 70. I'm now at 74 and climbing Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NCSNOW Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 Invest 90L forms in the Yucatan channel this morning... Shades of 1952? http://en.wikipedia...._Tropical_Storm Pretty impressive: Sitting here in the fog and 40 degrees at high noon: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isopycnic Posted February 5, 2012 Author Share Posted February 5, 2012 Pretty impressive: Sitting here in the fog and 40 degrees at high noon: http://hurricanetrack.com/?p=169 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 No rain again and the projected high for today was 70. I'm now at 74 and climbing Boo, sorry Michelle. It's 67 here right now looks to be headed towards 70+ again today here. I picked up a measly .14" last night from the event. Atlanta is 12.6 above normal for the month through four days with another seasonably hot day today. Invest 90L forms in the Yucatan channel this morning... Shades of 1952? http://en.wikipedia...._Tropical_Storm Very interesting. Seems to fit out winter pretty well. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nchighcountrywx Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 We are watching what's left of this anemic winter closely here in the NC High Country. So far, there has not been any snow whatsoever that is associated with a genuine storm. All we have gotten is weak upslope snow behind frontal passages. Will this winter break the record books for a total non-performer? It sure stands a good chance. At this time, it still appears that solid cold air will be limited to areas north of here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
sctvman Posted February 5, 2012 Share Posted February 5, 2012 80 degrees in Charleston. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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