franklin NCwx Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 144 deep east coast trough. 999 low off nj coast. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Wish we had in between hours to see the track of that low Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
DopplerWx Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Euro should be fun. Hopefully it stays in line with 12z and we continue to see the GFS and others come into line in the next few days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
LithiaWx Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 CMC 144 - not bad. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 So far it looks like the 0z Euro is following its 12z in regard to the ridging out west and what appears to be the beginning of the trough. Let's see if it keeps this up during the next few frames... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Trough not as sharp through Day 5. Looking like it's going to be a frontal passage unless the western ridge sharpens. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted December 28, 2011 Author Share Posted December 28, 2011 Euro not as extreme, as I expected. Still will be quite cold, but the big snow? Sorry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 1050mb sfc high in Wyoming Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 My thinking all along has been that we need to get the cold air in here first, then keep the +PNA ridge, then look for additional waves to dive in for storminess....it looks like at least a decent cold shot is about all we can count on at this point. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Does the euro show any hope? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Big eastern trough carved out at Day 6, with additional energy on the backside of the trough in Missouri. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Cheeznado Posted December 28, 2011 Author Share Posted December 28, 2011 Does the euro show any hope? Of cold yes, snow no, although the mountains will do well, and we could get a flurry. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Does the euro show any hope? Snow?.......No. Cold and dry?......Yes Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 I've seen this movie before. Thinking another s/w dives into the base, sparks weak cyclogenisis off NC coast and moves OTS. Light snows in NE NC/SE VA Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
rduwx Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Big eastern trough carved out at Day 6, with additional energy on the backside of the trough in Missouri. Yeah I noticed that additional energy also but the trough is too far to the east and it ends up a fish storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WilkesboroDude Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 im cliff diving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Yeah I noticed that additional energy also but the trough is too far to the east and it ends up a fish storm. Yep, it's an App mtn upslope storm...flakes likely in TN too Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
lilj4425 Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 im cliff diving Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NGA WINTER Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 It's just one bad run, 2 weeks ago we would be so happy to see cold air! Now let's get It, and wait for tommorows run! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Snowless in Carrollton Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Well, as long as the cold stays entrenched for a long period of time, we are bound to see some wintry precip eventually right ? Or is the cold just expected to last a few days ? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Maybe Cheez can comment with the detailed Euro maps, but the Euro sends a 2nd wave deep into the south and closes it off somewhere in the vicinity of Greenbo, Alabama, before it continues on to Miami....yikes! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MillzPirate Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Maybe Cheez can comment with the detailed Euro maps, but the Euro sends a 2nd wave deep into the south and closes it off somewhere in the vicinity of Greenbo, Alabama, before it continues on to Miami....yikes! Forrest ran with it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 It's something to watch for in future runs anyway. Verbatim, the 2nd wave doesn't likely amount to much. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ajaronw10 Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Still a long ways out yet.. A lot can change!.. Don't give up hope yet! As crazy as the last year has been weather wise, there's no telling what's in store Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Well at least it looks good for the mountains. Get the cold air in and then get some good upslope. I have seen some very good totals from upslope. At least it will be cold. Still a lot could change for the better down east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 So, from the 00z runs, it looks like the Euro/CMC/UKMet/NOGAPS are rather similar, with the GFS farther north and east with the trough. There are a few GFS Ens members that drop a 2nd wave into the SE like the Euro. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Met1985 Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 So, from the 00z runs, it looks like the Euro/CMC/UKMet/NOGAPS are rather similar, with the GFS farther north and east with the trough. There are a few GFS Ens members that drop a 2nd wave into the SE like the Euro. So they keep the cold but no big time storm down east. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
iceman Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Central NC rarely gets a good snow from the north. Has to come in from the south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Gastonwxman Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 If there is one thing we can certainly agree on, it's that this is only another solution to be laid out onto the table. This may be the period where the storm shows up, is lost for a day or two, and then brought back (in this case the Euro). Obviously it's something that one simply cannot bet on, especially when you consider the fact that this can easily remain as a cold and dry scenario, but I'd like to see if this continues during future runs or if it comes back. I suppose it is also good news that the GFS was not as zonal compared to the previous runs and had it not developed the trough and our storm so far east, I would imagine a solution similar to the Euro but perhaps not as extreme or maybe something like the CMC. It may further cave in to the either of the other models previously mentioned or continue to advertise its own solution but this is still interesting to watch nonetheless. Snow or no snow, at least it is looking cold to start out the month and would be happy with that alone. I'd give it 2-3 more days before considering what ends up occurring at the end (it the threat has not been eliminated altogether by then). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
griteater Posted December 28, 2011 Share Posted December 28, 2011 Central NC rarely gets a good snow from the north. Has to come in from the south. Generally speaking, I would agree...but there have been exceptions. All of the following snows featured a western U.S. / western Canadian ridge with a strong wave / closed upper low diving into the Tenn Valley / Carolinas from the NW. Snow totals are for CLT (inches): 1/16/65 - 10.2 2/6/84 - 5.9 2/23/89 - 3.5 1/23/03 - 8.5 Another one: 1/20/09 - 5 to 7 inches east and south sides of Raleigh Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.