MoWeatherguy Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Monett IMBY Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NavarreDon Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 My Mom is out and about in Joplin, she was on Rangeline Rd about a 1/2 hr ago & said it has gone from flurries to nice dime sized flakes. Good luck with round 2 guys! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Afternoon Tulsa AFD: ROUND TWO IS FORECAST BY THE MODELS TO BEGIN LATER THISEVENING...WITH THE BULK OF THE ACTIVITY AFTER MIDNIGHT. THIS WILLBE IN RESPONSE TO THE APPROACHING SHORTWAVE TROUGH OVER THESOUTHWEST CONUS. A NICE BAND OF PRECIP WILL SET UP ALONG THE MIDLVL DEFORMATION ZONE FROM EAST CENTRAL-NORTHEAST OK UP INTONORTHWEST AR. GENERALLY...3 TO 6 INCHES OF SNOW/SLEET ACCUMULATIONIS EXPECTED BY FRIDAY MORNING...WITH SOME LOCALLY HIGHER AMOUNTSIN NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THUS...A WINTER STORM WARNING WILL REMAININ EFFECT FOR NORTHEAST OKLAHOMA AND NORTHWEST ARKANSAS. THEHEAVIEST BAND OF PRECIP WILL CONTINUE TO FOCUS FROM NORTHERN TX UPACROSS SOUTHEAST OK AND INTO WEST CENTRAL AR. TEMP PROFILES STILLSUGGEST THAT THE WARM LAYER WILL BE DEEP ENOUGH AND THE SURFACECOLD LAYER WILL NOT BE DEEP ENOUGH TO PREVENT LIQUID FROM REACHINGTHE GROUND FOR MUCH OF THE NIGHT. AS A RESULT...SIGNIFICANT ICEACCUMULATION IS STILL EXPECTED...WITH A GOOD HALF INCHPOSSIBLE...WITH SOME LOCALLY HEAVIER AMOUNTS NEAR THE RED RIVERAND HIGHER TERRAIN. SIGNIFICANT IMPACTS TO TRAVEL AND THE POWERGRID ARE LIKELY IN THIS AREA...AND FOR THAT REASON AN ICE STORMWARNING WILL REMAIN IN EFFECT. ANOTHER COUPLE INCHES OF SLEET ANDSNOW COULD ALSO FALL IN THE ICE STORM WARNING AREA FRIDAY MORNING.THE PRECIP WILL COME TO A RAPID END FROM WEST TO EAST DURING THEDAY FRIDAY AS THE WAVE MOVES ACROSS. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Moderate to heavy snow in northern Adair Co. Oklahoma! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Are you getting big flakes, Mo? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Are you getting big flakes, Mo? Small now. For about 2 hrs they were at least half dollar size. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 If HRRR and RAP (even 18z GFS) is to be believed, we should do very well in total snowfall across many areas along and SE of I-44. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 If HRRR and RAP (even 18z GFS) is to be believed, we should do very well in total snowfall across many areas along and SE of I-44. Hope so. Changed back to sleet again here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Round 2 forming over SW TX now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Spot Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 IMBY: 25 F Wind 10mph Mod Sleet Covered ground sleet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 5, 2013 Share Posted December 5, 2013 Latest HRRR snowfall through 5 am (10:1 ratio) Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Springfield is reporting a ratio of 15:1 there. "As of 6 PM, our official snowfall total was 2.4". The liquid equivalent was 0.16" which gives us a snow to liquid ratio of 15 to 1." Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 MESOSCALE DISCUSSION 2060NWS STORM PREDICTION CENTER NORMAN OK0625 PM CST THU DEC 05 2013AREAS AFFECTED...SRN OZARKS NEWD INTO THE LOWER OH VALLEYCONCERNING...WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATIONVALID 060025Z - 060500ZSUMMARY...A SW-NE ORIENTED SWATH OF WINTER MIXED PRECIPITATION WILLPERSIST OVER THE NEXT SEVERAL HRS...WITH A NARROW TRANSITION ZONEFROM FZRA TO SLEET AND SNOW LIKELY TO BE MAINTAINED. PRECIPITATIONRATES MAY INCREASE NEWD OVER THE NEXT FEW HRS...PARTICULARLY INTOTHE LOWER OH VALLEY.DISCUSSION...A PERSISTENT BAND OF LIGHT TO MODERATEPRECIP...CONTAINING MIXED P-TYPES...REMAINS CENTERED OVER NWRNAR/SRN MO AND INTO SRN IL...OCCURRING WITHIN A CORRIDOR OF ENHANCEDMIDLEVEL MOISTURE AND NEAR A LOW-LEVEL FRONTOGENETIC ZONE. AS OF00Z...THE SFC FREEZING LINE WAS LOCATED FROM NEAR FSM NEWD TO POF TOEVV. PREDOMINANT P-TYPE NEAR AND IN THE IMMEDIATE WAKE OF THE SFCFREEZING LINE SHOULD CONTINUE TO BE FREEZING RAIN...AS WARM NOSELOCATED NEAR/ABOVE 850 MB IS MAINTAINED BY 40-50 KT OF SWLY FLOW/PER LZK AND HPX VWP/ ATOP A LOW-LEVEL COLD DOME. A SHARPTEMPERATURE GRADIENT IN THE LOWEST 3 KM AGL IS SUPPORTING ATRANSITION TO MAINLY SNOW AND/OR SLEET TOWARDS THE NRN EDGE OF THEPRECIP SWATH. OBSERVED LIQUID EQUIVALENT PRECIP RATES HAVE LARGELYBEEN ON THE ORDER OF .05-0.1 INCH PER HR.A SUBTLE IMPULSE IS CURRENTLY PROGRESSING NEWD OUT OF OK AND SHOULDAID IN MAINTAINING LIGHT TO MODERATE PRECIP RATES IN THE NEAR-TERM.LOW-LEVEL FRONTOGENESIS MAY INCREASE SLIGHTLY AHEAD OF THIS FEATUREINTO SERN MO AND SRN IL/IND...SUPPORTING INCREASING PRECIPITATIONRATES ACROSS THESE AREAS THROUGH 05Z. BOTH OBSERVATIONAL AND MODELTRENDS SUGGEST THE SFC FREEZING LINE SHOULD REMAIN NEARLY STATIONARYOR JOG SLIGHTLY SWD...MAINTAINING A RELATIVELY NARROW P-TYPETRANSITION ZONE.A MORE SIGNIFICANT IMPULSE ROUNDING THE BASE OF THE WRN CONUSLARGE-SCALE TROUGH IS FORECAST TO EJECT NEWD ACROSS THE SOUTHWESTAND SRN HIGH PLAINS TONIGHT INTO EARLY FRI MORNING...AND COULDSUPPORT INCREASING RATES OVER THE SRN OZARKS BEYOND 05Z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Southern Barry County (down around Seligman) down through Bentonville is just getting clobbered right now. I wonder if that is all snow or if there is sleet mixed in?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 This is huge heavy snow in Adair county. Probably same as bentonville. Getting absolutely nailed right now and loving it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ouamber Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 I just NOW got home!!! Took 3 hours to get home!!!! Snow coming down in huge flakes right now..very pretty now that I'm home! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Just measured 4" here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
The Waterboy Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Southern Barry County (down around Seligman) down through Bentonville is just getting clobbered right now. I wonder if that is all snow or if there is sleet mixed in?? I'm in Lowell which is just south of Rogers/Bentonville. We've been getting huge flakes for the last 1/2 hour or so. No sleet mixed in here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Wx 24/7 Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Just measured 4" here. I am going to go out and measure again at 7:30. I have been impressed by this wave. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 I am going to go out and measure again at 7:30. I have been impressed by this wave. For sure it has been nice, Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
JoMo Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 This is huge heavy snow in Adair county. Probably same as bentonville. Getting absolutely nailed right now and loving it. You are going to get dumped on for awhile. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 You are going to get dumped on for awhile. Yeah. It looks like it. The sleet line is halfway through the county. North snow sleet south. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Man I can only imagine if this had been all snow! Its sleeting so hard here and has been for awhile now....local mets say 4-8" of snow overnight into noon tomorrow, we will see. Roads are horrible and in a state of emergency here now as well I believe Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Man I can only imagine if this had been all snow! Its sleeting so hard here and has been for awhile now....local mets say 4-8" of snow overnight into noon tomorrow, we will see. Roads are horrible and in a state of emergency here now as well I believe So Whiteout most of those impressive radar returns around Fayetteville are sleet? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 So Whiteout most of those impressive radar returns around Fayetteville are sleet? Yep its been sleet all day here, started out mixed with a lil zr early this morning though. I can hear it pinging loudly off the windows! Last time I was outside(about 10 minutes ago) it was all sleet, really heavy too. Local mets said the snow/sleet line is up in benton county, right through the middle of it right now. North of that line its snow, south its all predominately sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MoWeatherguy Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Yep its been sleet all day here, started out mixed with a lil zr early this morning though. I can hear it pinging loudly off the windows! Last time I was outside(about 10 minutes ago) it was all sleet, really heavy too. Local mets said the snow/sleet line is up in benton county, right through the middle of it right now. North of that line its snow, south its all predominately sleet. Man its gotta be getting bad there on roads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Yep its been sleet all day here, started out mixed with a lil zr early this morning though. I can hear it pinging loudly off the windows! Last time I was outside(about 10 minutes ago) it was all sleet, really heavy too. Local mets said the snow/sleet line is up in benton county, right through the middle of it right now. North of that line its snow, south its all predominately sleet. Yeah. Same in Adair county. Must be an elevation thing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NwWhiteOut Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Man its gotta be getting bad there on roads. Yea man its horrible now, it wasnt so bad all day just mainly the bridges and overpasses. The ground was still warm I guess from the previous few days in the upper 60's lol. People are panicking bad here, I guess this isnt a normal thing in this area idk and all the past ice storms I guess I can see why. Whats your thinking for this to change over to snow down my way later on tonight? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wildweatherman179 Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Back edge just passed me. Unless there's something I don't know about coming west of that. Its over for me. :-( Very unhappy with it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
snowisgood Posted December 6, 2013 Share Posted December 6, 2013 Yea man its horrible now, it wasnt so bad all day just mainly the bridges and overpasses. The ground was still warm I guess from the previous few days in the upper 60's lol. People are panicking bad here, I guess this isnt a normal thing in this area idk and all the past ice storms I guess I can see why. Whats your thinking for this to change over to snow down my way later on tonight? I sure hope so, this sleet is crazy. I think we have about half inch-inch of sleet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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