MJO812 Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 12/6 looks to be the next real shot of anything substantial, but getting a quick 1-3 is always nice. We have been spoiled over the years with big snowstorms. I remember when 1-3,2-4 inches were common for the area. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 12z GEFS are cooler than the op in the long range. It still shows a +NAO. A -NAO is essential to have if you want a big snowstorm but we can manage getting some snow in the pattern that the GFS shows. The pattern coming up will be induced by the +PNA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 25, 2011 Author Share Posted November 25, 2011 Light snow next weeked on Euro Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
ag3 Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 1322246461[/url]' post='1142499']Light snow next weeked on Euro Same as GFS and GGEM. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 GFS,GEFS,Euro,GGEM all agree on a light snow event next weekend. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 GFS,GEFS,Euro,GGEM all agree on a light snow event next weekend. Euro 7-10 look nice with a big +PNA..without a doubt a change in the pattern Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 Euro 7-10 look nice with a big +PNA..without a doubt a change in the pattern It also shows a -EPO developing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 25, 2011 Author Share Posted November 25, 2011 Euro 7-10 look nice with a big +PNA..without a doubt a change in the pattern that storm at 240 verbatim is going to cut with HP off the SE coast and no blocking. Maybe a front end thing but thats a cutter/swfe without a block. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
KEITH L.I Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 It also shows a -EPO developing. saw saw that..not a bad pattern at all for early December! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 saw saw that..not a bad pattern at all for early December! All the guidance is now developing a -EPO in the long range. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NaoPos Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 hows the blocking looking from the ATL perspective on the Euro? still nill? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
MJO812 Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 hows the blocking looking from the ATL perspective on the Euro? still nill? Doesn't look like any blocking. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Hailstorm Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 Ugh, that's an ugly Aleutian ridge showing up on the Euro and all of Europe is baking. We need that ridge to retrograde to the East more. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Brian5671 Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 Blowtorch continues in the short term... was out side for awhile today-no coat needed at all. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
atownwxwatcher Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 Next weekend saturday the ECM shows high temps in NYC in the 30-35 range (colder in land) and a light snow event..Pattern change is coming..Let it be warm now. ECM ensembles look good for early december with the potential for at least one SWFE.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 25, 2011 Author Share Posted November 25, 2011 Next weekend saturday the ECM shows high temps in NYC in the 30-35 range (colder in land) and a light snow event..Pattern change is coming..Let it be warm now. ECM ensembles look good for early december with the potential for at least one SWFE.... looking forward to the 5 minutes of snow, 2 hours of sleet, and then a thunderstorm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 25, 2011 Author Share Posted November 25, 2011 the only good thing about a SWFE is that earthlight switches over to rain before most of us so we don't have to read his reports of thundersnow and mega banding. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sundog Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 the only good thing about a SWFE is that earthlight switches over to rain before most of us so we don't have to read his reports of thundersnow and mega banding. Lol I love it Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
RUNNAWAYICEBERG Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 lol @ thetrials... ...but dont count out earthlight county's severe CAD signature for SWFEs.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CooL Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
gkrangers Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 Wondrous storm. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
nzucker Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 Ugh, that's an ugly Aleutian ridge showing up on the Euro and all of Europe is baking. We need that ridge to retrograde to the East more. That's actually a great Pacific pattern with a huge -EPO signal. It's the progressive Atlantic/+NAO that's problematic. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 25, 2011 Author Share Posted November 25, 2011 18z gfs fantasy storm at 276 hours. Not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Alpha5 Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 the only good thing about a SWFE is that earthlight switches over to rain before most of us so we don't have to read his reports of thundersnow and mega banding. Yeah but he makes up for it during the MECS's when you and I are looking at flurries and he's under a 3"/ hour deform Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Chris L Posted November 25, 2011 Share Posted November 25, 2011 Let's compare with JAN 7, 1996. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TheTrials Posted November 26, 2011 Author Share Posted November 26, 2011 not likeing the fact that even with the pna ridge out west, really not getting a true cold air dump, no doubt related more the the +AO than the NAO. Baby steps I guess. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
WeatherX Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 not likeing the fact that even with the pna ridge out west, really not getting a true cold air dump, no doubt related more the the +AO than the NAO. Baby steps I guess. Yeah thats good.... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 Wondrous storm. Best storm ever Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Isotherm Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 You had to go and do this to me didn't you... That 25 in Monmouth County is mine, and I loved every second of it. Best storm of my lifetime. If I was old enough for 96, that would've been better, but at age 6, it's hard to have much appreciation for meteorology if you know what I mean Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Allsnow Posted November 26, 2011 Share Posted November 26, 2011 You had to go and do this to me didn't you... That 25 in Monmouth County is mine, and I loved every second of it. Best storm of my lifetime. If I was old enough for 96, that would've been better, but at age 6, it's hard to have much appreciation for meteorology if you know what I mean I feel bad for the people that missed out on the mega totals.......probably wont see that type of storm in another 20 years...... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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