mitchnick Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 They should be out, but away from my comp right now. k, thanks let us know Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 I have to say..I am putting little stock in the Euro weeklies/monthlies, yearlies, decadlies..whatever...they were pretty bad last winter and so far have proved even worse this autumn. it wasn't long ago when they showed a cold ,promising pattern setting up for Thanksgiving week and beyond..I used to think they were decent..but in reality they're not Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
easternsnowman Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 I have to say..I am putting little stock in the Euro weeklies/monthlies, yearlies, decadlies..whatever...they were pretty bad last winter and so far have proved even worse this autumn. it wasn't long ago when they showed a cold ,promising pattern setting up for Thanksgiving week and beyond..I used to think they were decent..but in reality they're not euro is very overrated and definitely has a warm bias. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2011 Author Share Posted November 15, 2011 euro is very overrated and definitely has a warm bias. What? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2011 Author Share Posted November 15, 2011 I have to say..I am putting little stock in the Euro weeklies/monthlies, yearlies, decadlies..whatever...they were pretty bad last winter and so far have proved even worse this autumn. it wasn't long ago when they showed a cold ,promising pattern setting up for Thanksgiving week and beyond..I used to think they were decent..but in reality they're not And so have model ensembles. The fact that they all have lost blocking in the last few weeks tells us that the pattern is very hostile right now. Hopefully that changes in a few weeks. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 And so have model ensembles. The fact that they all have lost blocking in the last few weeks tells us that the pattern is very hostile right now. Hopefully that changes in a few weeks. All we're left to rely on now is op runs Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2011 Author Share Posted November 15, 2011 All we're left to rely on now is op runs Those will be about as stable as Afghanistan. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 Those will be about as stable as a lot of posters on here I agree 100% Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2011 Author Share Posted November 15, 2011 Right now the euro isn't on board, but the GFS and UKMO sort of hint at a poss flip to -SN at the end for higher elevations on Thursday. However seems like a low prob right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 12z GFS right where we want it at this time frame for early next week Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 Right now the euro isn't on board, but the GFS and UKMO sort of hint at a poss flip to -SN at the end for higher elevations mon Thursday. However seems like a low prob right now. 00z EURO had a deck destroyer for Blizz. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2011 Author Share Posted November 15, 2011 GFS tries to develop a weak low well se, but only thing it does is give Phil some OES. This is on Tuesday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
tamarack Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 Snow in one week On which continent? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2011 Author Share Posted November 15, 2011 12z GFS right where we want it at this time frame for early next week LOL better than showing it hitting. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2011 Author Share Posted November 15, 2011 00z EURO had a deck destroyer for Blizz. This is on Thursday...in 2 days. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 00z EURO had a deck destroyer for Blizz. That might be why he said Thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 LOL better than showing it hitting. absolutely Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 Right now the euro isn't on board, but the GFS and UKMO sort of hint at a poss flip to -SN at the end for higher elevations on Thursday. However seems like a low prob right now. LOL for this week?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2011 Author Share Posted November 15, 2011 That might be why he said Thursday. They both are pretty sharp with that s/w and create an anafrontal type deal., but so far..euro isn't really buying it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 They both are pretty sharp with that s/w and create an anafrontal type deal., but so far..euro isn't really buying it. Sounds like maybe a rain to wet snow scenario with a slushy accum on the grass. Nothing to get naked over Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 I think some are getting confused as to whats what because we have 3 threats this thurs next tues and next thurs on the models Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted November 15, 2011 Author Share Posted November 15, 2011 Sounds like maybe a rain to wet snow scenario with a slushy accum on the grass. Nothing to get naked over Yeah I wouldn't really buy it until other guidance agrees. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 They both are pretty sharp with that s/w and create an anafrontal type deal., but so far..euro isn't really buying it. Those never work out here so i take no stock in it for this area anyways Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 Yeah I wouldn't really buy it until other guidance agrees. NAm have it? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 62 and overcast at the lunch hour, I thought there was a snowstorm on the way with all the posts and new threads. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Organizing Low Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 LOL for this week?? thursday. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dryslot Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 62 and overcast at the lunch hour, I thought there was a snowstorm on the way with all the posts and new threads. really? I did not get that impression........... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weathafella Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 As DT used to say when he didn't agree with a model depiction...."It's carp" Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
NorEastermass128 Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 As DT used to say when he didn't agree with a model depiction...."It's carp" Haha It's been said a couple times in this thread, but you really can't get too nit picky in November when it comes to viable snow threats for the area. We've already had one major snowstorm (pre-November for that matter!) The fact that we can even discuss potential snow threats at this early stage in a hostile pattern is uplifting. 12z GFS kind of lost the more interesting threat for Tuesday of next week. We'll have to see what the 12z EURO does, but I wouldn't get too ancy over it seeing that its 180 hours out in la-la land. Give this threat another couple days and get inside 120hr, then we can talk. Many have already had a white Halloween...can we make it 2-2 with Tday? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr Torchey Posted November 15, 2011 Share Posted November 15, 2011 67 at Logan under Overcast skies on 11/15..............thats IMPRESSIVE Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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