HurricaneJosh Posted October 28, 2011 Author Share Posted October 28, 2011 Cool to see this scorecard. I'm glad you were able to chase Jova since that made up for the otherwise mediocre crap you encountered. For Don you should have included "landfall circulation only detectable by clear-air mode radar and pressure changes of 4 millibars". The craptastic-ness of Don was truly novel. It was borderline bizarre. P.S. Thanks. Yeah, Jova saved 2011. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Floydbuster Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 The craptastic-ness of Don was truly novel. It was borderline bizarre. P.S. Thanks. Yeah, Jova saved 2011. Josh, I was curious as to how you would handle a double-trouble chase scenario. Hurricane "Alberto" is a Cat-3 headed for Texas... ...the same day that Cat-4 Hurricane "Beryl" is headed for Florida. What do you do? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 29, 2011 Author Share Posted October 29, 2011 Josh, I was curious as to how you would handle a double-trouble chase scenario. Hurricane "Alberto" is a Cat-3 headed for Texas... ...the same day that Cat-4 Hurricane "Beryl" is headed for Florida. What do you do? Wow-- that would be crazy! I don't think it would be reasonable to try to chase both, so I'd probably pick Beryl, since it's stronger. It would suck to have to choose between two majors after such a long (6-year) drought for the USA. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted October 29, 2011 Share Posted October 29, 2011 Wow-- that would be crazy! I don't think it would be reasonable to try to chase both, so I'd probably pick Beryl, since it's stronger. It would suck to have to choose between two majors after such a long (6-year) drought for the USA. The GOM storm seemed to fizzle prior to landfall, so FL would be the hindsight choice? I would imagine you would choose the Carib/gulf one 8 out of 10 times. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted October 29, 2011 Author Share Posted October 29, 2011 The GOM storm seemed to fizzle prior to landfall, so FL would be the hindsight choice? I would imagine you would choose the Carib/gulf one 8 out of 10 times. W-moving Gulf storms don't have that problem as much. I would choose the FL 'cane just because it's stronger leading up to landfall. And all things being equal, I wouldn't necessarily choose a Gulf storm over a W-moving storm approaching the E coast of FL, as the latter can be extremely severe (a la Miami 1926, Fort Lauderdale 1947, Andrew 1992, etc.). Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted October 30, 2011 Share Posted October 30, 2011 W-moving Gulf storms don't have that problem as much. I would choose the FL 'cane just because it's stronger leading up to landfall. And all things being equal, I wouldn't necessarily choose a Gulf storm over a W-moving storm approaching the E coast of FL, as the latter can be extremely severe (a la Miami 1926, Fort Lauderdale 1947, Andrew 1992, etc.). Better near ocean road access would seem to make Florida the preferable place, everything else equal. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted May 13, 2012 Author Share Posted May 13, 2012 Slight tingles-- the first of the season. This won't pan out, but it's exciting that we're now at the time of year when the models will begin flirting and teasing. Can't wait to be in a good cyclone. It's been too long. Not since getting pounded by sexy Jova have I heard that beautiful shriek of violent hurricane winds. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
andyhb Posted May 13, 2012 Share Posted May 13, 2012 And let the model watching resume... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted May 15, 2012 Author Share Posted May 15, 2012 It's 15 May... The EPAC season has started. It's game on. Yeah, this is only the official start-- and there probably won't be any good chase specimens in either basin for a couple of months or more-- but it's just nice that the crappy half of the year has officially ended. I'm hoping for something special this year-- a real gamechanger. More than the same old same old. Not that I don't love all of the other cyclones I've chased-- I love 'em all like children, each in its own, unique way-- but this year I want something a cut above. My last 10 chases-- in 6 concentrated minutes: And here's an old favorite: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted May 21, 2012 Author Share Posted May 21, 2012 A Specialist at the NHC actually messaged me about this-- telling me to start thinking about it. And Adam's had it on his radar all week. Seems insane to be discussing this in May, but... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 Caleta de Campos. 80 kts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Supercane Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 Only one East Pacific hurricane on record has made landfall in May: Agatha in 1971. So we *could* be looking at quite an unusual event. If it were to somehow make landfall as a major, that would be unprecedented. Just thought I'd throw in some historical context here as this storm gets going. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scott747 Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 Wasn't to far off.... FORECAST POSITIONS AND MAX WINDS INIT 21/0300Z 9.3N 99.6W 30 KT 35 MPH 12H 21/1200Z 9.5N 100.1W 35 KT 40 MPH 24H 22/0000Z 10.2N 100.8W 45 KT 50 MPH 36H 22/1200Z 11.0N 101.5W 55 KT 65 MPH 48H 23/0000Z 12.0N 102.3W 65 KT 75 MPH 72H 24/0000Z 13.5N 103.0W 80 KT 90 MPH 96H 25/0000Z 15.5N 102.5W 80 KT 90 MPH 120H 26/0000Z 17.5N 101.5W 80 KT 90 MPH Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmx Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 Ixtapa...that would be a good place... west of that is not that touristic, specially in Michoacan... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted May 21, 2012 Share Posted May 21, 2012 i thought he was chasing Alberto? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted May 21, 2012 Author Share Posted May 21, 2012 Ixtapa...that would be a good place... west of that is not that touristic, specially in Michoacan... Yep. And what's interesting-- and really weird-- is that the flight options from LAX to ZIH are actually better than the options from LAX to ACA, which are surprisingly crappy. Definitely gettin' some tingles from this. I love the nice, clean angle of approach on the forecast track. That's pretty yummy. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted May 22, 2012 Author Share Posted May 22, 2012 Well... Bud looks like a flop. On the bright side... My 20th college reunion is in Boston this weekend-- I'm leaving tomorrow night-- and I was dreading having to choose between a cyclone and a college reunion. So I guess I'm just grateful that I don't have to do that. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
#NoPoles Posted May 22, 2012 Share Posted May 22, 2012 Well... Bud looks like a flop. On the bright side... My 20th college reunion is in Boston this weekend-- I'm leaving tomorrow night-- and I was dreading having to choose between a cyclone and a college reunion. So I guess I'm just grateful that I don't have to do that. hey!!!! you're gonna be so close to me!!!! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
blueheronNC Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Well... Bud looks like a flop. On the bright side... My 20th college reunion is in Boston this weekend-- I'm leaving tomorrow night-- and I was dreading having to choose between a cyclone and a college reunion. So I guess I'm just grateful that I don't have to do that. Oops... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted May 25, 2012 Author Share Posted May 25, 2012 Oops... Have you seen the latest advisory or the IR image? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted May 25, 2012 Author Share Posted May 25, 2012 Hardly worth missing my 20th college reunion for: Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
am19psu Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 You should check on flight availability to Iwo To Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted May 25, 2012 Author Share Posted May 25, 2012 You should check on flight availability to Iwo To You and them chinacanes lolz. Bud's disintegration reminds me of Rina's last October-- except, praise the Lord, I'm not actually there getting pissed about it. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ed Lizard Posted May 25, 2012 Share Posted May 25, 2012 Josh semi-OT, but if its U-Mass Boston, the last of my distant old country/spoke funny relatives (she was about 90 in the early 70s) lived in the public housing near the Columbia MTA station. I know as an adrenaline addict, you live for the big cane, but I'd personally enjoy nothing more locally that for a nice 50 knot tropical storm to come visit me. Even a non-major hurricane is way too inconvenient. Still hoping for a South Florida major chase this year. Daylight. Iniki (you don't like islands) and Charley are my favorite YouTube storms ever. Daytime landfall helps... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted May 26, 2012 Author Share Posted May 26, 2012 Still hoping for a South Florida major chase this year. Daylight. Iniki (you don't like islands) and Charley are my favorite YouTube storms ever. Daytime landfall helps... Iniki did produce some great footage. You can't beat some Cat-4 right-front quad by the light of day. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted May 26, 2012 Author Share Posted May 26, 2012 Man... Seriously, if I went all the way down there to chase this piece of crap-- and miss my 20th reunion for it-- I think I would just retire. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
free_man Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 what storm? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted May 26, 2012 Author Share Posted May 26, 2012 what storm? Bud. It was a major hurricane threatening the Pacific coast of MX just 24 hr ago. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Turtle Posted May 26, 2012 Share Posted May 26, 2012 Well... Bud looks like a flop. On the bright side... My 20th college reunion is in Boston this weekend-- I'm leaving tomorrow night-- and I was dreading having to choose between a cyclone and a college reunion. So I guess I'm just grateful that I don't have to do that. Up here?? WOW!!! hey!!!! you're gonna be so close to me!!!! Me too!! Where's you gonna to be?? --Turtle Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
HurricaneJosh Posted May 26, 2012 Author Share Posted May 26, 2012 Up here?? WOW!!! Me too!! Where's you gonna to be?? --Turtle Hey, Eleanor!! I'm actually in a dorm room on the Harvard campus in Cambridge as I type this. (Actually, we don't call 'em "dorms" in these parts-- we call 'em "houses". ) It's so nice being back here. Cambridge and Boston are gorgeous-- I forgot how much I liked it here. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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