Kmlwx Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 Something else maybe trying SE of Front Royal - meanwhile the W of Loudoun cell is growing/intensifying. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 Tops to 35k or so.. That should do it Little boundary moving westward out that way, I wonder if it will be able to sustain itself Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 Kickball is going to SUCK later... Yeah - I'd say. I checked in on the doggy daycare, they have the dogs inside today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 Initiation may occur over the next hour or two across the ridge tops out here towards the Shenandoah Valley. Towers suddenly looking better, as does the latest VIS image. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 HRRR continues to have the main thing going mainly north of the area but some messy stuff throughout the evening hours. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 Initiation may occur over the next hour or two across the ridge tops out here towards the Shenandoah Valley. Towers suddenly looking better, as does the latest VIS image. Thoughts for DC? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 To add on to what Kenny posted above: Left moving supercell composite grew in size in N VA to -8 The 3 in hail size is C MD/E WV panhandle/NW VA MLCAPE 3000-3500 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 Little boundary moving westward out that way, I wonder if it will be able to sustain itself looks like it might be collapsing already Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
wxmeddler Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 looks like it might be collapsing already GR2AE says that its still lofting a fair amount of liquid. No hail up top, yet.. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 It's the little storm that could. Not impressive thus far looking at GR2AE but still looks decent. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 I wanna know where that boundary came from? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
caviman2201 Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 Can anyone explain why on days like today there's so much 'clutter' on the radar scans? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 GR2AE says that its still lofting a fair amount of liquid. No hail up top, yet.. i guess it was temporary.. tho cant say im terribly impressed with it yet Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 Thoughts for DC? I doubt they will see anything soon as VIS continues to show Cu primarily along the higher elevations of the Blue Ridge. RUC soundings still show a descent amount of inhibition across the region as well as of 18z. As far as this evening goes, I think that we may see an isolated storm or two based on the latest RUC forecast soundings which show inhibition lessening through out the afternoon until it reaches a minimum around 21z. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
thunderman Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 I wanna know where that boundary came from? I was just wondering the same thing! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 Surrounded by watches to the west and north now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 18z Mesoanalysis SBCAPE ~ 4500 j/kg LI: -11 LL Lapse Rates: 8+ ML Lapse Rates: 7.5+ Hail: 3 (different area than last update) Derecho: 10 Craven SigSvr: 50-90 range MCS Maintenence: 90 PWATS: 1.3ish 19z Mesoanalysis SBCAPE ~ 4000 j/kg MLCAPE 3000-3500 LI: -10 to -12 LL Lapse Rates: 8 to 8.5 ML Lapse Rates: 7.5+ Hail: 3 (S PA/C MD/extreme N VA) Derecho: 10 (large area in N VA/MD/DC/S PA) Craven SigSvr: 50-90 range MCS Maintenence: 90 PWATS: 1.1ish Effective Bulk Shear 35-40 kts Left moving supercell -4 to -8 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 19z Mesoanalysis SBCAPE ~ 4000 j/kg MLCAPE 3000-3500 LI: -10 to -12 LL Lapse Rates: 8 to 8.5 ML Lapse Rates: 7.5+ Hail: 3 (S PA/C MD/extreme N VA) Derecho: 10 (large area in N VA/MD/DC/S PA) Craven SigSvr: 50-90 range MCS Maintenence: 90 PWATS: 1.1ish Effective Bulk Shear 35-40 kts Left moving supercell -4 to -8 Even a partridge in a pear tree won't help unless either the high or the upper low moves further east than expected. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 Even a partridge in a pear tree won't help unless either the high or the upper low moves further east than expected. you must not see the left moving derecho out your window Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 Even a partridge in a pear tree won't help unless either the high or the upper low moves further east than expected. I know... its really sad to see this all go to waste... one last chance tomorrow Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 BULLETIN - EAS ACTIVATION REQUESTED SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE BALTIMORE MD/WASHINGTON DC 340 PM EDT THU MAY 26 2011 THE NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE IN STERLING VIRGINIA HAS ISSUED A * SEVERE THUNDERSTORM WARNING FOR... GRANT COUNTY IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA... ALLEGANY COUNTY IN WESTERN MARYLAND... MINERAL COUNTY IN EASTERN WEST VIRGINIA... * UNTIL 445 PM EDT * AT 338 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR INDICATED A LINE OF SEVERE THUNDERSTORMS CAPABLE OF PRODUCING HAIL UP TO THE SIZE OF PING PONG BALLS AND DAMAGING WINDS IN EXCESS OF 60 MPH. THESE STORMS WERE LOCATED ALONG A LINE EXTENDING FROM 6 MILES SOUTHWEST OF KEYSER TO 7 MILES SOUTHEAST OF BAYARD...AND MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. * LOCATIONS IMPACTED INCLUDE... PIEDMONT... WESTERNPORT... KEYSER... LONACONING... FROSTBURG... RIDGELEY... CUMBERLAND... LA VALE... FORT ASHBY... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ian Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 I know... its really sad to see this all go to waste... one last chance tomorrow at least we'll actually have some chance for lift outside some random popup that dies within 20 minutes http://www.nco.ncep.noaa.gov/pmb/nwprod/analysis/namer/nam/12/images/nam_500_030m.gif Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mappy Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 we might as well shut this thread down... its not happening. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 But But the parameters... they look so good... just a few more hours... Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Scuddz Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 you must not see the left moving derecho out your window Oh HAI there. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 That stuff in southeast WV is over 35,000 ft. The one SE of Beckley has big hail. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CranberryWX Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 That stuff in southeast WV is over 35,000 ft. The one SE of Beckley has big hail. Here's the warning statement for it AT 348 PM EDT...NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE DOPPLER RADAR CONTINUED TO INDICATE A SEVERE THUNDERSTORM CAPABLE OF PRODUCING GOLF BALL SIZE HAIL...AND DESTRUCTIVE WINDS IN EXCESS OF 70 MPH. THIS STORM WAS LOCATED NEAR PIPESTEM...MOVING NORTHEAST AT 25 MPH. That stuff just popped up in the last hour. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
esullivan Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 One storm has ping pong ball sized hail and the other has golf ball sized hail. I'm guessing the ping pong ball hail causes less damage. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Kmlwx Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 Wow really blossoming out there now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
yoda Posted May 26, 2011 Share Posted May 26, 2011 Wow really blossoming out there now. Make it move more toward us kthnxbai Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Recommended Posts
Archived
This topic is now archived and is closed to further replies.