Mr Torchey Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Two wind maxima, frontal and pressure rise, good mixing but meh like Tuesday more or less. Not so sure about that should be some excellent mixing on Saturday, I think this is actually a damaging event. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 I agree, I think this will be quite the wind producer...excellent mixing, strong winds aloft, real steep LL lapse rates, inverted-V sounding look. Going to see qwuite a few 50-60 mph wind gusts. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Ginx snewx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Not so sure about that should be some excellent mixing on Saturday, I think this is actually a damaging event. Damage to? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Wind advisories out...wouldn't be surprised if we ended up seeing High wind warnings at some point...could see some gusts over 60 mph tomorrow in some spots...going to be a brutal day outside. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
dendrite Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Any squalls possible? There should be some squalls around. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 This is REALLY going to make the outdoor game fun tomorrow...first off is the Whalers vs. Bruins alumni...these guys might be too fragile to skate against the wind Then is the Providence Bruins vs. Connecticut Whale. I'll be wearing like 10 layers tomorrow. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2011 Author Share Posted February 18, 2011 They took the easy way out with wind advisories. No doubt they will be have to be upped to HWW late today or tonight Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2011 Author Share Posted February 18, 2011 Looks like a good event. 45 kts..maybe 50kts in some areas. I haven't looked all that hard, but I will tomorrow. What did your hard look determine? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 What did your hard look determine? I didn't look yet. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 They took the easy way out with wind advisories. No doubt they will be have to be upped to HWW late today or tonight I was disappointed the AFD didn't reference anything over 50mph. I like it when they give hints of things being more severe. To be sure, 50mph is nothing to sneeze at and enjoyable to sit through (glad much of it will be in the day) But unless it happens to take down a tree in your yard or knock out your power for a couple days, it's pretty forgettable. EDIT: ZFP reads better than AFD WESTERN FRANKLIN MA- INCLUDING THE CITIES OF...ASHFIELD...CHARLEMONT...COLRAIN... SHELBURNE 338 AM EST FRI FEB 18 2011 ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT FROM 8 AM SATURDAY TO 2 AM EST SUNDAY... .TONIGHT...MOSTLY CLEAR IN THE EVENING...THEN BECOMING PARTLY CLOUDY. BLUSTERY WITH LOWS IN THE MID 20S. WEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH. GUSTS UP TO 30 MPH...INCREASING TO 40 MPH AFTER MIDNIGHT. .SATURDAY...PARTLY SUNNY AND BLUSTERY. MUCH COOLER. NEAR STEADY TEMPERATURE IN THE UPPER 20S. NORTHWEST WINDS 20 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 55 MPH. .SATURDAY NIGHT...PARTLY CLOUDY AND BLUSTERY. MUCH COOLER WITH LOWS AROUND 11. NORTHWEST WINDS 15 TO 25 MPH WITH GUSTS UP TO 40 MPH. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 I like your hard look WTF? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 This looks like a bigger deal for CT. Good be gusts over 50 easily there., maybe even HWW stuff if we can mix well enough. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 This looks like a bigger deal for CT. Good be gusts over 50 easily there., maybe even HWW stuff if we can mix well enough. . Congrats, nutmeggars. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2011 Author Share Posted February 18, 2011 This looks like a bigger deal for CT. Good be gusts over 50 easily there., maybe even HWW stuff if we can mix well enough. Tighter gradient? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Tighter gradient? Stronger LLJ it seems. Combo of both, but all areas will have strong winds. We'll see what the runs today, show. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Stronger LLJ it seems. Combo of both, but all areas will have strong winds. We'll see what the runs today, show. Stronger LLJ, very good mixing, steep LL lapse rates...big winds coming. It's the big bad wolf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2011 Author Share Posted February 18, 2011 Stronger LLJ, very good mixing, steep LL lapse rates...big winds coming. It's the big bad wolf. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Stronger LLJ it seems. Combo of both, but all areas will have strong winds. We'll see what the runs today, show. yeah the core of the jet has been pegged over that way now for a few runs. YBY looks pretty good too though. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2011 Author Share Posted February 18, 2011 yeah the core of the jet has been pegged over that way now for a few runs. YBY looks pretty good too though. Do you expect Wiz's azz cheeks to be plastered to his leather chair as he's wildly calling in damag reports tomorrow in his dark blue, knee high socks with diamond designs? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Do you expect Wiz's azz cheeks to be plastered to his leather chair as he's wildly calling in damag reports tomorrow in his dark blue, knee high socks with diamond designs? I just burst out laughing. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
weatherwiz Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 Do you expect Wiz's azz cheeks to be plastered to his leather chair as he's wildly calling in damag reports tomorrow in his dark blue, knee high socks with diamond designs? I'll be outside ALL day tomorrow from about 10-11 AM to 10 PM...tomorrow is the outdoor hockey game at Rentschler (sp?)...It's the Whale bowl! Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
subdude Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 We want snow, not wind. NWS still has 40's here for Sat and Sun-add'l meltage likely to occur-wind will blow all the snow away... NWS has 31 with gusts to 50 for me. Drastic change from today. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 I'm not overly impressed with the winds. I mean yes, it will be windy...but I think strongest winds will be in sw New England and down in the Mid Atlantic. If we mix through the roof, it could get wild...but I'm just not sold on HWW stuff right now. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
moneypitmike Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 I'm not overly impressed with the winds. I mean yes, it will be windy...but I think strongest winds will be in sw New England and down in the Mid Atlantic. If we mix through the roof, it could get wild...but I'm just not sold on HWW stuff right now. That's a real buzz-kill, Scott. I had such high expectations. 49.7/39 Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CoastalWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 That's a real buzz-kill, Scott. I had such high expectations. 49.7/39 I think you guys still will get some strong winds for sure. If we can somehow mix really well then it may happen, but the Mid Atlantic has the best winds aloft. It will be very windy, but it's nothing I haven't seen before. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Tropopause_Fold Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 agree with scooter. guidance has backed off and/or repositioned the core of the good wind aloft but there's still some decent stuff in there. there was always signs the strongest core would be southwest of a good chunk of SNE but instead of seeing widespread 50 to 70 knot winds aloft we are now looking at more like 40 to 55 knot type stuff at the top of the mixing layer. my guess is it equates to a lot of 40 to 55 mph type gusts. could be windiest over some of the high terrain. the 12z NAM and GFS really hit spots like ORH hardest tomorrow morning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Mr. Windcredible! Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 My drive over the Tappan Zee tomorrow should be eventful Will probably avoid the Merritt...one of those days when a renegade gust could bring down a limb on the road with no warning. Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Damage In Tolland Posted February 18, 2011 Author Share Posted February 18, 2011 ALB upgraded to HWW Suspect BOX will have to do same with early AM package Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
TalcottWx Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 How much of a disaster is my midday flight tomorrow?? Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Arnold214 Posted February 18, 2011 Share Posted February 18, 2011 How much of a disaster is my midday flight tomorrow?? Pack a parachute. :-( Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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