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Found 29 results

  1. Not much to really say here. This winter was an abysmal wet mess, best to be forgotten. The grades (all items are equally weighted) Overall Seasonal Snowfall: F Well under average snow fell. This may have been my worst snowfall ever in any of the places I have lived (Albany, NY area, Lake George area, Bristol, R.I., Washington DC, Arlington, VA, Boston, Ma, Stoughton, MA, Brooklyn, CT) . I don't think I have ever had a winter season where the snow total was less than half of the average. Even the 2011/2012 had more snow. Snow vs. Rain: D+ Such an ongoing sh.itty set up for my area from January onward, and it seemed to just repeat itself all season. Cold rain was king. Staying power of the pack: F Pack? Local winter enjoyment: D- Limited hikes(w/ snow) hikes or snow, and zero snow shoeing hikes. Temperature: D Snow Storm Quality: C- Only one "memorable" event was the first event of the season, December 1-3. There were ZERO double digit events. Overall Grade: F The Vid took my mind off of the later part of the season, but even a late blooming April event couldn't save what was a complete and utter dead rat of a winter. On to the upcoming 2020/2021, Winter of Mask
  2. Ive been doing this 2003 on weather boards. In the boards hey day it was quite a popular post lol. I still like to do one every year. Winter 2019-20 saw 43.8" of snow imby. DTW had 43.7". After Detroit saw the largest November snowstorm on record, the earliest single digit temp on record, and the 13th coldest November on record, we followed with the 9th warmest winter on record, and then frequent snow and near record cold in mid-late April and again, of all things, in early-mid May. Overall a winter of frustration but not without several good snowstorms and in the end, average snowfall. Three decent storms hit (8.8", 7.0", and 5.7") and much of the seasons snow had a high water content, with the only true period of fluffy snow being in early Feb. October 2019 - Trace of snow Wind-driven rain turned to snow Halloween night, with no accumulation. November 2019 - 9.1" of snow The first half of Nov was the 2nd coldest on record, behind only 1880, and saw a 9.2" snowstorm on Nov 11-12 become the largest Nov snowstorm on record for Detroit (old record 9.0"). I saw 8.8" with that storm. The scenes were surreal with some trees clinging to late color. A record low of 7F on the 13th was the earliest single digit low on record, and a solid blanket of snow remained on the ground for 9 days, fully melting on the 12th day. 11-7-19 heavy snow squalls drop 0.2", the first measurable snow of the season 11-11-19 heavy snow drops an unprecedented amount of snow for so early in the season 11-12-19 - beautiful scenes and record cold follow snowstorm which dumped 8.8" of snow imby and 9.2" at Detroit, 11-14-19 a light dusting of snow falls but the deep winter wonderland is still in place with record mid-Nov cold 11-16-19 still plenty of snow in place for the Wyandotte Christmas parade. The ground would go bare Nov 21.
  3. Looking into getting a home weather station. I would like to have solar power too. thanks for any ideas.
  4. Virtually all current disco pertains to January at this point, so it's time to fire up the January pattern thread. The Euro weeklies say the potential is there. The cold Nov/cold January is a pretty consistent match. So game on as we move into the heart of winter in the valley. Which I consider our prime winter frame to be Jan 15th-Feb 15th. Our coldest temps and most snow will usually fall in that window. Let's hope the pattern gets right as we head towards prime time.
  5. Winter weather advisories are up for the Western Valley, from Eastern Arkansas, West Tennessee, Northern Miss and SW Kentucky. Ice should develop overnight in these areas and transition to snow by tomorrow night. 1-4 inches look likely across most of the Western Valley with isolated spots possibly going higher. Per Memphis NWS the area will spend 48 hours below freezing just above the surface with surface temps struggling to rise above freezing. Very impressive event for any month there, let alone mid-November. There is also a chance of some brief freezing precip in the far NE Valley, though that may be contained to Western North Carolina.
  6. As Wiz prepares himself for the ever-so-angry servere season here in Connecticut it is time to reflect on the winter that was. ...A winter that ended up giving much more bang for the buck than expected, and even though just about all of February was nonexistent for many with regard to decent snow. Remarkable is a pretty good way to describe how March and April played out for many. Some of us had more snow fall in April than February. I think my mid-winter grade was D/C as I prepared to chain the snow blower to my leg and drop myself into the ice jammed river. The grades (all items are equally weighted) Overall Seasonal Snowfall: A+ Well above average snow fell. Snow vs. Rain: B As soon as March and April rolled around it was easy to forget how ****ty February was, including the rain…But it was there and it can’t be discounted. I expect rain in April and March but not so much in January/ February. Staying power of the pack: C This was just not a long term pack kind of winter at least in my neck of the woods. Local winter enjoyment: B Many times this would go hand in hand with the snow pack, but due to the big freeze up in December/ January, there were some good days for ice walks as well as a few snow shoe days. Temperature: B+ Even though it seemed like the rain would never end at times, there were plenty of cold days on hand to make it feel like winter, especially the first and last 3rd of the season. Snow Storm Quality: A- There was some pretty good storms this year, including 2 double digit beauties. There were many storms timed just right for morning or evening rush hour as well, and overnight storms which I like to see. Plus a Christmas morning snow. Overall Grade: B+ A better February would have made this a champion winter. I know that people like to use either meteorological winter or calendar winter as their guide to the beginning and end of the season, but I let the season be more fluent than that. About 20” of my snow (yes, it was MY snow) fell before the calendar said it was winter and after spring began. The real question is...Is it over? Will some see a late...LATE season paste bomb over the coming weeks?
  7. So we are wrapping up a month that say many highs (Early month Blizzard) and lows (late month TORCH) but we have survived and are in the midst of our stormiest period of the season historically. The pattern looks to be quite active as we enter the month with the PAC reigning supreme. We have a small threat later this week to start the month that could be a refresher of sorts for some and wet for others. After that we look towards 5-7th for a more significant storm coming up the coast. Details still to be ironed out on that one. Lets see where we go from here.....
  8. What are some of the favorite paid subscription sites? Like weathermodels.com or weatherbell? I like pivotal weather for a free site. I would like to have more ECMWF models. thank you for all suggestions
  9. Since the pattern isn't offering much hope and it is likely the 2nd consecutive failed winter for the Champlain and Hudson Valleys and Southern New England has been skunked, it is time to regretfully pull the trigger on this thread.
  10. Since meteorological winter is just over three months away, it's probably about time to start a thread for winter predictions. It looks like we will be in a weak la nina. I've heard the PDO is returning closer to normal. I'm originally from the SE, do the AO and NAO have much effect on the climate of the lower Midwest?
  11. Last year's winter discussion thread was started July 28, so it's past time for this winter's thread to start. Here's what Accuweather said from a month ago. http://www.accuweather.com/en/weather-news/us-la-nina-forecast-fall-winter-2016-2017/58306249 Here are the NWS CPC forecast maps. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/predictions/long_range/seasonal.php?lead=5 Currently there is a 55-60% chance of la nina this winter. http://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/analysis_monitoring/lanina/enso_evolution-status-fcsts-web.pdf I've heard the PDO might return to a more neutral or cool phase and don't know much about the potential for Atlantic blocking this winter. Any ideas?
  12. Let's start a new Pittsburgh thread for Winter 2016-2017. If anyone posted recently about the early winter why don't we put them in here going forward.
  13. All the others have their threads, so we're late to the game. Will this be a Nina winter as advertised, and if so, what intensity? If we can achieve weak Nina, it can mean good times ahead for the Valley region. Some of our most epic winters have came during that pattern, including the legendary 1984-85 winter that crushed the entire Mid-South/Tennessee Valley with heavy snows and record shattering cold. As always, many factors go into making a winter though, as we saw in 2011-2012 when the weak Nina mattered not at all and the winter was hardly a winter at all. Looking at some of the analog years, even including the bad winters, almost all areas West of the Apps are below normal in the temps department during weak Nina years. Strong Ninas flip the script however and we are often very warm during intense Nina years. I will take a further look at some of the analogs and at real data across the Valley during these years later on.
  14. The BOS office was the one putting out the forecasts but the other 3 had a lot of tasks like upper air, radar, and full time observations. Eventually they all consolidated to Taunton except for the balloon launches still in CHH. A random fact about the Boston office was that they issued hurricane and tropical storm headlines for the region in the 1950s and 1960s before NHC took over.
  15. Since it is pretty much going to be among the most horrendous winters ever in VT, WNE through the Hudson Valley of NY (with all of the big tickets missing), we might as well start looking forward to next winter. It will be a long wait for redemption but it has to be better than this go around and is something to look forward to. Only 296 days until the start of the next meteorological winter as of this post.
  16. Gains today. yesterday vs today. In any case-we're close enough.
  17. ...I'm just throwing this out there to see if anyone wants to get the winter of our discontent out of their system, throw back a few drinks and look ahead to record breaking drought conditions on the horizon. How about April 16, or May 14 in Worcester? (trying to dodge school vacations and mother's day)
  18. All continues to be quiet on the western front.....as expected so far...Good luck to everyone this winter!
  19. We cant have a Spring thread with out Phil's official prediction: The Prognosticator of Prognosticators, Punxsutawney Phil, will once again appear at sunrise on February 2 at Gobbler's Knob in the Pennsylvania Wilds to make his annual prediction on the 130th anniversary of Groundhog Day - So my question to you... WILL he or won't he?
  20. What would your ideal climate look like? Imagine you could have it right where you are. This is the place to construct a get away from the disappointments of model failure, Great Lakes Cutters, and all that other stuff. Attached is fantasy suite year 20XX for ORH. What's yours Expect we may be distracted by the imminent/possible/hoped for 1/22-24 snowstorm 00FantasyYearInitialConstruct-1 (Autosaved).pdf
  21. I have written a piece on what I currently see occurring with the weather patterns and how they will transition into winter. The forecast needs some slight tweaks here and there, but overall I tried to keep it as simple as I could so that people could understand it. http://weather.st/blog/winter-of-2015-2016-whats-the-verdict/ Now I realize there are quite a few people out there who will scream and throw eggs in my general direction for even putting this up, but be rest assured it is not a panic cry, or a hype job. And for those who are going to ask, "Where did you get this data from?" I took the time to mention in the article where the sources were coming from, and that analogs plus climatology had quite a bit to do with formation of the projection, not to mention trends over the past few years in storm tracks. Thanks! Please post your own forecasts as well here, I would love to see them!
  22. Meteorological winter is two days away, and thus a new winter thread for Indiana. Everyone is welcome to post anything regarding winter in Indiana. I of course will fill this thread with an annoying amount of stats. I'm also going to throw out a winter guess for Indiana, hopefully by tomorrow at the latest. As for what I'm currently thinking...it may or may not be pretty. But, I have no real skill at long range forecasting. Anyways, we begin by taking a look back at last winter. DJF temperature, precipitation, and snowfall stats for EVV, FWA, IND, and SBN below. Departures based off averages of the prior 30 years (1983-84 to 2012-13).
  23. Hi everybody I’m new here. I live in The Netherlands, nearby Amsterdam. I’m a biologist, but I’ve always been interested in the weather and in climate change. I’ve made nice overviews (at least, I hope so) of the temperatures in the US, based on data of the NOAA National Climatic Data Center. Please click here for a PDF of one of the stations. There is a Fahrenheit version and a Celsius version. Therefore, all the data are double available. At the bottom of the PDF page you can see the highest and the lowest minimum and maximum temperature for each month, and the day and the year on witch this temperature was reached. It shows the history of the temperatures in 80 places in the US since 1976. The background colors show the daily mean temperature (Tmax + Tmin)/2; good enough for this purpose. Also the presence of a snow cover and the snow depth are shown. The monthly averages are also taken from the National Climatic Data Center. Based on that, I calculated the average annual temperature, and the 30-year average temperature. The data from the Data Center are given in Celsius. I converted it to Fahrenheit but maybe this can give small differences with official published values. Why this? Well, I started to do this with de Dutch data, then I took the German data and then the European data. And the data from the U.S. are easy to access, so… O.K., you can say I spend too much time doing this, but it’s kind of interesting. From a European point of view, the American data are interesting because we hear a lot of stories of very cold winters in the US, while here in this part of Europe we didn’t have a winter at all; nor did we have last year. With the 30-year average I want to show climate change (in fact not necessarily that; when there is no change, I want to show that as well) but I do realize that there can be all kind of bias in the data. In some stations in the US you can see a significant increase of the 30-year average, while on some other places there is not much of a change. I’ve been looking for official published normals of the main stations in the US. I only found these data of the period 1951-1980 and 1981-2010. More about that later.
  24. Total 2014-15 snowfall amounts with normals and departures for NWS eastern region Decided to start my first topic rather than put this in banter. I believe that this will make a good conversation thread by itself!
  25. Models are getting to be pretty insistent on an Apps runner happening the first week of March, the 00z GFS just levels the western 2/3rd of Tennessee with heavy snow and really buries Nashville. This has been showing up quite a few runs in a row now on both the GFS and GEM. The GEM looks like it has an icy solution on it's current run. GFS snowfall on top. GEM precip/radar on bottom.