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brooklynwx99

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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. brooklynwx99
    yeah, it’s tough for you guys… even for NYC’s latitude honestly. but at this point, looking at a potent southern stream wave in a blocky pattern, it’s something to watch
  2. brooklynwx99
    that’s the 12th. what’s your point? these are the weeklies at the same time… there is lots of agreement
  3. brooklynwx99
    big Nino stuff here
  4. brooklynwx99
    jesus
  5. brooklynwx99
    all good changes here
  6. brooklynwx99
    it’s kind of discouraging posting in here. i get that people are jaded and pessimistic, but just making stuff up to be negative is a different story. that’s just bittercasting there hasn’t been a delay. it’s been timed within a day for the last two weeks
  7. brooklynwx99
    no, they don’t
  8. brooklynwx99
    this is extremely consistent. 14 runs and the trough is almost in the exact same spot. differences in intensity are to be expected, but the placement of features has barely moved in two weeks
  9. brooklynwx99
    that ridging signal was always there on the weeklies
  10. brooklynwx99
    it’s always been around the 10-15th. how is there a can kick? if anything that stuff around the 6th went from an unabated torch to at least somewhat interesting
  11. brooklynwx99
    I'll take it at this range
  12. brooklynwx99
    i do think that the pattern initially is more MA favored with that omega block, but it should open up for you guys. 2003 and 1983 both smack BOS. as did 78 and 58, of course. i’d feel better around my latitude though, at least for the first 15 days of the month
  13. brooklynwx99
    i mean, you tell me… here’s the projected pattern for Feb compared to strong/super Ninos and weak/moderate Ninos. you tell me
  14. brooklynwx99
    Webb called me a biased weenie for using 2010 as an analog a couple months ago on another platform. i’ve been on it (as have other) since the summer. he assumed that i thought that the Nino was Modoki… i just said it could act like it at times, which seems to be true in Feb, given the warm WPAC and low MEI. he said that i picked it because it was one of the snowiest winters in the NE and MA and not much else and now he’s using it for MJO progression on twitter. you just have to laugh, no?
  15. brooklynwx99
    blah and boring? really? i wouldn’t call this boring
  16. brooklynwx99
    Tomer Burg. he’s on twitter
  17. brooklynwx99
    as postulated, the lingering WPAC warmth is helping make this Nino act more like a weak to moderate event rather than a super event. the difference is pretty obvious it wasn’t just weenie speculation saying that this wouldn’t act like a super Nino. it hasn’t, and it likely will stray further as we head into Feb. no wonder the MEI was moderate
  18. brooklynwx99
    LOL thanks for catching that
  19. brooklynwx99
    Tomer is the same way, really really smart guy. gifted with data. but forecasting is a different art
  20. brooklynwx99
    lord
  21. brooklynwx99
    we’re seeing it now. STJ is wide open and the Aleutian low is in a perfect spot. N ATL trough is stable
  22. brooklynwx99
    yeah, the wave breaking is wayyyyy stronger this run. nice to see it makes sense, that initial trough establishes the block or at least tries too, then it connects with the trough ejecting from the SW
  23. brooklynwx99
    perhaps. it's a flawed threat considering heights out west are low. I would rather have an amping southern stream wave running into confluence rather than a ridge overhead, that's for sure. southern stream wave into confluence is a good way to win for someone
  24. brooklynwx99
    also, this is interesting. GEFS is much stronger with the confluent ULL this run. STJ is roaring and a wave slips under the block
  25. brooklynwx99
    1958 was more mid-Feb into early March... the timeline itself matches more than 2010
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