brooklynwx99
-
Posts
5,651 -
Joined
-
Last visited
Content Type
Profiles
Blogs
Forums
American Weather
Media Demo
Store
Gallery
Everything posted by brooklynwx99
-
notice how nobody mentioned the CMC
-
that trend towards more of a +PNA as we creep into the more standard long range is also the exact opposite of what we saw last year. makes sense given that we're in a Nino now
-
changes are moving forward in time. if anything, the Canadian pattern has trended better as we've moved closer. don't see a can kick here
-
this pattern change is moving forward in time and becoming more favorable. exactly what we want to see
-
yup. this run has the works: Arctic ridge bridge, -NAO, -EPO, -AO, split flow, cross polar flow, 50/50 ULL, TPV in southern Canada, and a potent southern stream wave
-
the Pacific is night and day from last year. not even close. wave breaking near the Aleutians should periodically pump ridging into AK
-
what a weenie pattern. the -NAO is a game changer if it's real. goes from cold and active to bigger storms quickly the split flow with vorts undercutting the -EPO is also great to see. all around really nice stuff
-
contender for OP run of the year. my god
-
yeah, I mean workable with some actual potential, not anything crazy
-
also, a warm Canada doesn't mean that it can't be cold here. it's a silly argument. +10 up there can be -5 down here... the GEFS shows that well. this is often the case in El Nino winters. Feb 2010 is actually a glaring example. Canada was absolutely blowtorched and BWI got 50" that month
-
idk man, does this not look like a massive change? the pattern is fundamentally different in the Pacific. you go from an AK trough regime into a AK ridge regime
-
yeah, can’t complain at all. good pattern and cold pretty much everywhere to boot
-
how the fuck is January 1-4 mid-month? what is going on in here. do we need to redefine dates? @qg_omegaone of those is literally for Dec 28-Jan 2. explain to me how that isn’t around the end of December
-
that’s bullshit
-
yeah… like around the 30-31st and into the new year. that is the end of the month. like the last couple days
-
pattern still looks good towards the end of the month. don’t really see any cause for angst from any of this
-
lmao getting weenied for nothing. absolute man children
-
i don’t think people realize that when you LR forecast, you are going to be wrong more than you’re right. just the way it is a lot of the people that troll don’t even really make any calls, either. they just bump troll regardless the change to a better pattern is still moving up in time. don’t really see any changes there
-
quote where i said that setup for late month looked favorable for snow. that setup has been warm for a while now
-
yup, the anomalous ridge over central Canada forces confluence and leads to cold air crashing in. a rare setup, but it's viable if the GFS is correct with the amplitude. my bet is no, but it's worth watching for sure with an amped pattern like that better chances likely come afterwards
-
it's moving up in time and the jet is going to retract. it seems legit
-
might be able to pop some confluence out ahead of the S/W like the 18z GFS OP does. would make sense given that HP is favored downstream of a ridge like that afterwards, the GEFS seems to have pretty much caved to the EPS in the longer range. -EPO, neutral NAO, temps are cold enough, and there's also split flow. nice pattern there
-
i mean, this is a gorgeous look on the GEFS still. strong ridge into northern Canada, -EPO forming, NAO trending neutral, and split flow. very active and more than cold enough
-
that's not Pacific air. the source region is out of northern Canada
-
just for funsies, this is heading into Feb. god damn
