brooklynwx99
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99
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yeah, you’re probably correct there. those years usually don’t have amazing Pacific patterns
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i can pretty much guarantee that if we see a strong -NAO there could be a prolific period as long as the Pacific isn’t absolute garbage. we are seeing a strong STJ and zero indication of any persistent SE ridging
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what’s interesting is that the central Canadian ridge actually leads to HP in a good spot since it leads to NVA aloft. so, it can provide confluence even if it’s in an unorthodox way
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GEFS looks interesting after Christmas. nice western ridge, strong central Canadian ridge, and a potent SS vort
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first larger storm signal this year? looks potent
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nice seeing a deep SE trough showing up on ENS for the end of the month
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not yet, but still a pretty big shift nonetheless
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amwx attachment policy isn’t a fan of that
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yeah this works
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this will do also that’s also the whole thing about Canada torching. the +20F air up there is like -4F here
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personally, I was expecting the GFS and CMC to hold serve and for the ECMWF to get way flatter. this morning surprised me
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if the ECMWF holds and everything remains like this at 00z, then probably. that trend in the CMC and GFS is pretty sharp
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GEPS made a significant shift in the right direction
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you’re not. pretty distinct trend here
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that NS vort is becoming more and more interesting
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there has been a pretty well defined trend to sharpen the trailing NS vort. could make things interesting if it crosses the tipping point and cuts off
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there has been a pretty well defined trend to sharpen the trailing NS vort. could make things interesting if it crosses the tipping point and cuts off
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the EPS actually did have a closed ULL over the Delmarva at 06z
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also the ICON goes absolutely ballistic over you guys. if the NS vort really is that strong then it's possible but there's a big grain of salt right now
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overall I think the main takeaway is that it is so much easier to get a favorable pattern than it is during a Nina, lemme tell you
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it's probably going to be that way, but it'll get there
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yeah, weeklies are loaded. Arctic looks great
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GEFS and GEPS are both seeing the changes in the Pacific. seems like it's gaining traction
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I'm not sure. I think I might have heard something about that but someone probably knows a lot more than me about that stuff
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if you roll that out, you get a KU and then the 50/50 leads to a -NAO block. total 180 from the garbage we were seeing only a few days ago
