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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. me too. just weird seeing the most skilled piece of guidance we have end up that aggressive. something will give by tomorrow
  2. this would be quite the flop from the AIFS-ENS
  3. if only it wasn't the highest skill model we have at this range
  4. why even look at the euro do this shit when you have the AIFS
  5. its ensemble has consistently been farther north FWIW
  6. this can work. vort is a lot more defined than 00z
  7. still looking like the warmup after the 16th is transient as that -WPO builds poleward and closer to AK while -NAO blocking lingers. we get the TPV back into Canada as well sure, most of the cold is in the west, but this allows for a more active look here
  8. still looking like the warmup after the 16th is transient as that -WPO builds poleward and closer to AK while -NAO blocking lingers. we get the TPV back into Canada as well sure, most of the cold is in the west, but this allows for a more active look here
  9. 11-12th is more coherent on the EPS, pops a few coastals
  10. lol models have no clue. this is the run to run change, not regular 500mb
  11. looks like any warmup is pretty brief with the -WPO building poleward... with some Canadian ridging / low NATL heights lingering, would remain conducive to some marginal threats
  12. thanks for the kind words, snowman. always appreciated hopefully we see a continuation of this cold and wintry pattern… the beating the SPV is going to take likely helps us there
  13. well, here we go. not sure when exactly the blocking is going away
  14. this is pretty striking. retrograding block and a legit 50/50 in place... vort over the Four Corners is making its way under the block
  15. 18z EPS had almost 1" liquid into Boston and the GFS and CMC both have nothing. what a world we live in
  16. it's odd, one would think that the EPS would be "worse" than the GFS since there is less stretching, but that is not the case at all. such a weird setup
  17. yeah, there has been a 18z euro tax. not sure why. but fun to see
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