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brooklynwx99

Meteorologist
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Everything posted by brooklynwx99

  1. i mean... this is pretty classic stuff here, no exaggeration. let's see if we can start to nail that 50/50 down on the ensembles
  2. that's still a good thing because it sets up the confluence for this monster
  3. ECMWF looks very interesting with an ULL over the NE US and a very potent S/W. pretty classic look here
  4. some absolute monsters in here too, including a 2016 redux. lmao
  5. yup, I feel like if the 14th is going to fail, it would be suppressed. I would much rather have to need an amped system to trend NW than a cutter trend SE the former happens a good bit. the latter... not so much
  6. GEFS looks great. no need to panic lmao
  7. there's no use. the panic has ensued
  8. i suppose this is a SE ridge now, too?
  9. downstream height rises ahead of an amplifying S/W don't constitute a SE ridge
  10. i mean, even if the EPS and GEFS had a bunch of 970s with perfect tracks, you’d still have people saying “oh this isn’t good, it’s day 8-10 and it’s going to change”
  11. it’s quite good, actually. i just want to see an amplified shortwave at this range
  12. I'd agree that it's noise. still keeps the focus on the late-week wave and this is still a formidable signal. all that matters right now
  13. GEFS still keeps focus on the late-week potential system. really nice look here
  14. the stronger storm on the 11th is now leading to a 50/50-type feature showing up on the EPS, which would lead to a lot more antecedent HP
  15. the stronger storm on the 11th is now leading to a 50/50-type feature showing up on the EPS, which would lead to a lot more antecedent HP
  16. yeah, verbatim it gets shunted, but there's no way to tell where that feature will end up. this run just has all of the pieces there, which is nice to see
  17. even if this wasn't a big hit verbatim, this is a really nice setup with lots of cold air if the confluence develops. great run to show the potential here IMO that ULL over the TN Valley is classic
  18. even if this wasn't a big hit verbatim, this is a really nice setup with lots of cold air if the confluence develops. great run to show the potential here IMO
  19. even if this wasn't a big hit verbatim, this is a really nice setup with lots of cold air if the confluence develops. great run to show the potential here IMO
  20. yup. super amped S/W with lots of confluence in place probably squashed verbatim but the setup is there, which is all that matters at this range
  21. yeah, the stronger wave on the 12th leads to more confluence. the ridge upstream along the WC is amping up, too. this looks pretty good
  22. yeah, you can see the increased confluence here... this run looks interesting
  23. I know, but nobody is forecasting a snowstorm... people are only addressing a threat, which is also important. there is certainly a threat or two next week, mainly for the one towards the end of the week if people assign unreasonable expectations due to those threats, that is on that person IMO
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