WxWatcher007

Erick is really looking good. Recon will be interesting.

Nice call. GFS and Euro hint right at that tonight.

Miss those days, or should I say nights.

I was gone for a while but your melt the other day was an all timer. Short and sweet. As I hope you’ve seen by now, this place is just for laughs. There’s plenty of ribbing and sometimes it’s brutal lol but for the most part it’s all “love”. I like my summers but given where you came from I get wanting to have cooler summers. Imagine it…an early July day with a deep summer feel…90/68 with beach, barbecues, brews, and bikinis as far as the eye can see…kids laughing playing in the sand, the sound of cans opening and bottles clinking as the waves roll in. Phones down, music up. The way it’s meant to be.

While I think it’ll be hot, I’m still skeptical of a long duration “big heat” wave—big heat defined as 95°+ temperatures or 100°+ heat indices.

Yeah and this year probably has the biggest signal yet for a lower activity eastern MDR even as the last few years in the tropical Atlantic has struggled. Given that we’ve blown the top off what’s possible with CAGs in this last decade, those climatologically favorable periods should be watched closely.

Excessive Heat Warnings or bust. High of 78° on the dot at home.

101/62 would work

I can’t remember the last time I went to a fast food chain

Still skeptical of that we end up with a big dog heat event, but the signal is definitely there for legit heat at least. I always sit up a little when Tip starts to talk Sonoran heat release. I’m guessing we fail Thursday

All the vorticity that could’ve become a seedling for TC development has stayed in the EPAC, which has led to a furious start over there. The Atlantic window is probably closed for the foreseeable future, at least in the western Caribbean and Gulf.

All the vorticity that could’ve become a seedling for TC development has stayed in the EPAC, which has led to a furious start over there. The Atlantic window is probably closed for the foreseeable future, at least in the western Caribbean and Gulf.

Sorry, Wiz

Very interesting. Maybe a move from the Gulf threats to recurve and EC risk.

65 and rainy here on June 10 at 1pm

Only problem is it doesn’t snow here anymore.

EPAC is hot right now. Nothing likely to happen here until that quiets down, but I do still think a window will open.

I don’t think we’re going back yet. The last few years have been so incredibly warm in the basin that it almost had to pull back once we moved away from the recent ENSO regime. As for this season…the SSTA in the tropical Atlantic and subtropics kind of scream stability issues but it’s early still. I’d like to see how waves fare as they come off Africa more continuously.

Heavy precipitation missing with precision.

I’m so sorry to hear that. Iirc you mentioned that before. Every single day is a gift.

EEE is the one to worry about. Vicious stuff.

I think it was more the idea of some scattered stuff. NW CT could be in for a nice one.

Couldn’t get it done down here. Hate to see it.

Now that’s real severe.