WxWatcher007

Sun back out. Let’s destabilize.

Recorded .97" in 25 minutes with that storm. Up to 12.48" on the month. Can we hit 13" today?

http://tropical.atmos.colostate.edu/Realtime/index.php?arch&loc=northatlantic

What a beaut.

Yep, otherwise I would have chased. Literally the only storm in the state over my head lol. People are drenched here at the park. Beautiful sky though after.

None here from my friend right under that.

Well the column over my head won’t recover from this. Absolute torrent.

Big strike right by me.

A little gusty here but absolutely pouring.

I don’t really see it. Looks like a nice drink coming my way though. .48 away from a foot of rain for July.

I’m sure they have in the last decade. Some of the seasons pre 2017 were fairly mundane, but we’ve been in an active cycle overall since about 1995. The tear we’ve had 2017 on is legit exceptional. There are reasons to believe this season is at or above average aside from SSTs. I lean the other way but I don’t think their forecast is a hedge. They’ve probably been under forecast the last few years but again an historic run. Also, we’re ahead in NS and ACE so far, but will probably fall behind in ACE unless the central Atlantic produces.

From a tropical perspective, I like to see that retrograding trough. If this season is going to be anywhere near average the basin needs a quieter period to cut down shear and allow these waves to develop. It looks like that starts happening after the 5th (not including the central Atlantic wave currently).

I can’t recall a heat wave that was bookended by convection. Back in the day at least, it seemed that heat almost always goes out with a bang.

3k NAM looked nice in CT

Some around here would meh getting 80 instead of 100 gusts

I know but we always say that and then

I kind of like tomorrow. Not sure how early convection could screw things up but if we can minimize that the afternoon looks solid for those with reasonable expectations.

The underrated days produce. Glad everyone is ok.

What a storm that was.

Yeah I should have noted that prior to this recent 5 year period in CT, I lived in DC. Winters have been unpleasant to say the least for me.

I kind of like the idea of two NS next week @GaWx EPS hints at it.

EPS today likes the idea of two possible named storms. One offshore (see above) and one in the central Atlantic.

Yes. A thousand times yes. How do I know? My wife.