hudsonvalley21

Even into Orange dutchess Sullivan counties if there are any further ticks west

Looks good for us interior folks.

So sad to hear, my thoughts and prayers go out to him and his family. I remember him from way back on the eastern board.

Hope you had some extra sheer pins

Basically 0.75 north and west of NYC to 1.25 in Long Island of QPF

Had good winds here and for many hours. Gusts in the 30’s. Sustained winds around 15. There are some roofs with the drifting very noticeable. A screenshot from the Obs. from KSWF

17.3 as of 9:30 last night. Another 2.2 since then so 19.5 will do it here so far. Light snow still falling. That was with measures around 6-7 hours between.

It looks like 2’ is definitely possible by the latest radar.

Here too snow is much wetter and compacting vs earlier.

17.3 OTG as of 9:30 pm. Still moderate snow falling. 28/27 NE wind.

I believe slightly east too. Not much tho.

You have to say most models handed this very well with the 700 mb

Thanks. Real cool. That band is impressive from the Atlantic over Queens and right up to our area.

It’s still forming out there south of Long Island and pivoting into Ct and the Hudson valley

I used the snowblower a couple of times already. 13.6” OTG so far. Measured at 5:00 pm. 25/25

There is that band over Long Island sound/ southern Ct that looks to pivot up this way too.

Same here. 2-3” rates per hour. More bands to follow. Could easily get 8-12” in a few hours

Snow rates have ramped up I was at around an inch per hour and looks to have doubled currently under the band that had recently pivoted in. Several more bands are lined up to follow.

The heavy band is now pivoting up here that you are experiencing. Falling at a good rate now.

Mesoscale Discussion 0052 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 1243 PM CST Mon Feb 01 2021 Areas affected...portions of far eastern Pennsylvania...central and northern New Jersey...far southeast New York...Long Island...Connecticut...Rhode Island...Massachusetts Concerning...Heavy snow Valid 011843Z - 020045Z SUMMARY...Up to 2-4 inch/hr snowfall rates will be possible across portions of the lower Hudson Valley and southern New England this afternoon, with occasional blizzard conditions possible across Long Island. Portions of far eastern Pennsylvania into central New Jersey will continue to experience a heavy sleet/snow mix. DISCUSSION...A surface low continues to gradually deepen while tracking slowly north-northeastward just off the Jersey shoreline as a 110+ knot 300 mb jet traverses the Mid Atlantic/New England Coastline. Strong 925-700 mb warm-air advection ahead/north of the surface low continues to support ample mixed wintry precipitation/heavy snowfall potential amidst a sub-freezing tropospheric vertical profile and deep-layer ascent provided by coupled low-level convergence with the surface low and upper-level divergence by the strong 300 mb jet (per latest Mesoanalysis). Latest KDIX/KOKX dual-polarimetric radar depicts a an east to west snow/sleet transition zone roughly from KLOM to KISP. Latest METAR observations also show 1-3 inch/hr snowfall rates ongoing just north of this transition zone, and the heavier snow/sleet are expected to gradually translate northward through the afternoon. METAR sites also show 25 knot sustained northeasterly winds prevailing across Long Island, along with heavy snow and higher gusts noted. As such, brief and localized blizzard conditions are expected to persist. Latest HREF, SREF, and last few runs of the HRRR suggest that relatively lighter snowfall rates mixed with sleet will be the predominant mode of precipitation from far eastern PA/central NJ southward this afternoon, with a transition of sleet likely across portions of Long Island and brief/localized blizzard conditions still possible. Farther north across parts of southern New England, the heavier band of wintry precipitation will progress northward, with strong 700 mb warm-air advection and a near-saturated dendritic growth zone supporting 1-3 inch/hr snowfall rates this afternoon, as suggested by high-resolution model guidance. A few brief instances of 4 inch/hr rates also cannot be ruled out.

5.5” otg. 21/21

5.5 otg 21/21