DDweatherman

I was thinking this would be a great event out there, but this overperformed even my expectations. Solid start to perhaps another snowy season out there! I need to make another trip out.

About 3.5” for this one, nice event. Was able to get lucky and sit in a few heavy bands at 1-2am.

Stopped in Westminster for a bite on the way home, big fluffy dendrites falling in these dark greens, 33.

Have fun out there man. This has the makings early of a nice boom scenario for you. Feeling a foot between the synoptic and upslope stuff!

That 4 run loop of the gfs is sweet. Look at the QPF max increasing as well on the east side out towards NJ. In general, slightly slower, more amplified system and some great rates in the main bands.

Thinking about 3-4" now 15 and east to a jackpot of 4-6" from Baltimore beltway NE and N to York/Adams county line through 95 in Cecil county. 2-3" for Annapolis over west on 50 to the DC beltway.

It’s led the charge as other models moisten and reward a larger chunk of the sub.

About final call time, then pull a DT and issue 3 more today.

Let’s keep the beat going today!

Well I had already seen the zoomed maps, so I knew it was a nice run for many haha

About as much as you posting the national map and trusting that’s the closest look we can get!

Yeah the 6z euro getting the 2” to my yard is an accomplishment for sure. My hopes were solely resting on the high resolution (and also low performing at times) models.

Do like that this actually has some local mesoscale features and banding that looks well depicted (somewhere - tbd) and dynamics from fronto and the jet. So, MAYBE they're seeing something.

Don't be disappointed when this thing fizzles to just about a nothing burger in some spots to a 2" max in the places that get it "good".

The good news is... the rgem has honestly been crap for the last few years. It had a small heyday where it got a few right several years ago, but it has some NOTABLE big misses... like that 40" Baltimore was going to get 2.5 days out a few years ago. We don't remember how that went because it "didn't went anywhere."