Typhoon Tip

I like how it has pellets at PF with 80 for Keven way out there in la-la land.

Good day for faux warm appeal... Walk outta your house on the south side of the edifice ... where the wind is all but completely sheltered and you'd swear it's 72 .. 44

Solid air mass performance considering the sky could not be any more clear if it were on the moon

Part of that also is that we still have a velocity surplus issue in the atmosphere ... ( 'swear, some upstart grad student needs to flash an insight and release a rock-star catapulting paper the demos how GW is causing this to happen...) and fronts always seem to end up ahead of mid range schedule because of the stretching that is concomitant with fast flow - whether related to the parenthetical sarcasm or not, that's been something I've noticed... Anyway, could see Saturday end up more polluted with 68/57 and warm mist and sun splash intervals ( faux subtropical) before strong polar front clears house. Friday may be +3 C at 850 and super adiabatically annihilating the BL thickness to over achieve if that light wind high sun angle and lower cloud due to still lower RH all plays out. As far as the season... no, ... not by tenor to date, or climatology in the first place, combined. Those two factors/2 = whatever you want ... plan on being ass rammed, cuz that's been the most correlated result since the Novie snow/cold deliberately set the region up for that assault ... Seriously, you could couch the whole question/debate of 'can it snow again' under the heading of 'not impossible until May 22nd,' which I've seen noodles in Waltham on that day back in 2003... I've seen snow showers to a slushy inch on Boston Commons on May 20th in 2002... Of course there's, 1977,... 1987... blah blah blah. Some years ..yeah, you just sort of sense in the gestalt of the times it won't allow it and you're season is wrapped up with no hope or chances by the end of February - 2009 leaps to mind with nearly full green-up by April 10 that year (something I'd never seen before or since...). This year will detest warm enthusiasts while simultaneously leaving a taste of shit in the mouth of snow lovers -

Also, if using the Euro ... the day before might end up the warmest day, too.. Keeping ur concepts in mind, that day the flow appears more veered slightly ...should the warm boundary/related clouds not interfere ... I've seen that in the past where the day before ends up the warmest. ...sort of changing the subject from Saturday, to the warm generality.

MOS is putting up 63 to 68 numbers for Saturday pan-wide across SNE sites ... The idea to keep in mind with MOS for those that look(ed) at it, those values are more weighted by climate the further out in time. Therefore, the 66 type numbers put up for Saturday ... day five, are some 14 over climatology average of just 52. That may not just be a mild day at this time of year, because the signal is strong enough to rise above said weighting... That said ... as is also concomitant with this time of year... a warm frontal placement can bust a high temperature by some 30 F or more.... I've seen it be 44 at BVY while it's 77 at HFD ... because a warm front slammed to a halt shy of Worcester. One could probably see their dash therm jump from 49 to 68 all at once driving west on the Pike out there over the span of just a few miles. Right now the synopsis has a broad warm front extending from somewhere near ORD to PWM ... That's precarious at this time of year. But, the models have unilaterally been consistent with that fragile set up succeeding so we'll see... Thickness up to 554 dm with 850 mb T's 7 to 10C while lazy flags wobble from SW zephyrs propably gets to to 74 actually at Springfield if those parameters succeed into the region and there is sufficient sun.

Kind of a napey day out there... Light wind and high-ish sun at 49 F ... gotta also admit, I wasn't thinking it was gonna be that 'mild' - relatively speaking...

Three cycles and counting and I love the rendition illustrated by the operational GFS ... Parallel run not too dissimilar, as is the GGEM... though differ on details... Between 18z Saturday and 00z Sunday ... 70 to 74 F along the Pike while there's 1.5"/hr snow rates along the N side of the St L. Seaway... That's pretty neat to see - ...

Ha ha... Folks ruminating on the seasonal change with Hostas and Lillies and gunk and y'all can't have it - they gotta come in drop winter post-bombs to yank it back into perpetual winter immersion support group ... It'll be July 10 and same thing... I know -

At this time of year ... model stochastic behavior gets excessive. To the point where spending much time that far out in range, even in the sense of hobby-diversion with weather related social media ... is equally as futile.

Lazy spring vibe out there ... I got those tiny aerial insect balls hovering .. bobbing left right up down in unison over the hood of my car and lawn. Sure tell sign of the times ... Too bad it's going to regress colder 'n a Mastodon's unthawed anus for three f'n days. That's spring incarnate around this god-forsaken geographic circumvallate of an orifice known as New England. It does that every year ... a day like today, it's a super hot fantasy girl kissing you on the cheek. And while your eyes are still closed in awe and ecstatic joy, this nasty horror story of a prison gang banger guy swaps out and ass reams you relentlessly. Your squealing in agony like a pig while he's asking you how that nice day felt - Am I gettin' through ? If I were a millionaire ... I would own a separate residence, replete with comprehensive homeownership insurance. The abode just sans of any heirlooms or family prized possessions, ...And there I am, out there, amid the warm windy prairies somewhere in the swash of tornado alley. Towering leaning turrets and wavy sun simmered air ... While it's 39 F in Framingham, Massachusetts with mist, slate gray sky and a thoroughly caressing east wind. I would gladly forsake the New England mock-spring and tortured persecution complex ... and flee to that second home circa late March until early June, or mid May. Or whatever it takes... If the place happens to get clocked and has to be rebuilt, I re-emerge out of my tornado cellar no worse for the wear and just wait out my insurance coverage to rebuild. See... I'm not there living per se... I'm there to escape this prison; perennially, I leave behind all the other hapless cell-block assholes, left to ponder as they sit around and rationalize and quibble over how here on the inside, we hold out hope for snow through April ... Delusion over despair. I innocently strollin' on come back in May and am like, "Hey y'all - whatcha been up to" haha. Ah yes... "Spring" in New England. I'm kidding - of course... But I think it was Samuel Clemens A.K.A. 'Mark Twain,' who once famously quipped, 'the worst winter I ever experienced was a summer in San Francisco' ... the dude never spent April in New England I can guarantee that, because while I would never diminish the misery behind his motivation for saying that of our west coast brethren, I certainly would put spring right in there in New England, as worthy of an honorable mention.

It's doing it's typical act of bringing Heights almost to 580 and a big spring ridge while putting highs N at the sfc though so it would be questionable how much warmth gets in here. It likes to do that in late March through May's.

Excellent support from the EPS for that, too...

Yeah ... guess hope the GFS doesn't win out, huh -

It was probably both... There was synoptic scale reasons that were "enhanced" by oriographics... probably the best way to look at it. Movin' right along - Beautiful warm sun and temps down my way cresting 40 and probably destined to mid 40s.

Ha ha... nah, I'm glad it did not snow here - if that's what's motivating this rather rare show of brotherly love between you two of all people... I actually scored very high marks for this event. I informed y'all two weeks ago about this storm favorable regime and it evolved perfectly... The details? I'll leave that up to the truculent reactionary pettiness of "hill folk" to iron all that out... while finding it amusing how they delude themselves while they attempt to do so...

Omg! ... you were doing so well... then -

Exactly ...

Well see ... this statement tries to be more logical than pure subectivity ... I give you credit there, actually... because your statement is really more "relative" than it is subjective... and, it is relative to seasonal normal respective of geography. What I meant by subjective is 'whether one got their rocks off by the winter' and how good the orgasm was in doing so.... metaphorically speaking of course. It's called dark-ish sarcasm. But ...like all sarcasm has an element of truth to it, ... truth be [attempted] it would be fairer to do the regional-relative to seasonal normals thing, and let the subjective success vs failure narratives end up in poems, song and prose.

...oh god, now we have to subjectively debate what grade is a ratter -...hahaha...

Meh ... I could be wrong guys - cool.. Just sayn' ...when I went on line last night for an update on the status of matters... it looked like the rad returns were mocking the elevations ...either over top or down stream of them by some... You know, maybe ask why this wasn't more uniformly distributed? There are clues -.... but, sometimes these images can be misleading. True. This may be obfuscated some by synoptic assist. Try to register that I am not saying no to that... ? But, I don't want to over-substantiate a scenario that I've seen play out a hundred times in the last three decades, when you have this kind of broad vestigial cyclonic flow of cold saturable air running up and over irregular topography.

The images reminded me of summit cap clouds .... for a reason I agree there was synoptic assist... but trust me - and I don't mean it if this sounds heavy handed but if this were flat terrain uniform eastern Kansas style, this was a virga exploided strata sky with much less along those ridge spines. Part of the event-orgasm after-glow mentality has always been a tendency to over-substantiate it ... moreover, to become offended and at times even vitriolic if any other reducing voice of attempted rationalism gets involve. Haha

You're not this short-sighted...

The whole grading winter is a joke when people base it upon whether they got their emotional drug injections out of model cinema or nostalgia revisited, and/or just their dystopian nerves jerked off the whole way, or not. And most of that grade ... they don't even know that's really what they are basing their assessment upon. Only thinking their being entirely logical and equitable... That's why I was careful to say, "if based upon my personal druthers" ...versus trying to quantify it based upon an actual physical, empirical metric - like...oh say, comparing snow to average perennial snow. I don't speak for everyone ...but I did approximate 40" (thus far ) ...which is roughly 71% of normal... So based on that alone, that's a C- grade. It passes... But we all know that the first paragraph above is 90% of the engagement in this ..borderline lunacy, so it gets a vengefully hated F- violence fantasy grade, the rarest of all failure distinctions - of course...