Typhoon Tip

Somehow America works ... so far ( eh hm) But the gears are greased by hypocrisy in the society machine, and subtle compromises are made every day in 'acceptable conflicts of interest'.

Well yes then ... My snarky cynical barb about the trial run-through is precisely related to that, actually - his story just puts the building material into the two sentence frame LOL

I haven't, no. But, I do like many of his film-adaptations. If that can be used as maybe a bass-ackward indicator ? - the story must be very good. I don't know if it is is because the source ( his novels) are so good, or if it is just because they happened to translate into the cinema medium so lucidly, but it has always intrigued me how/why those Jack Ryan movies are so compelling. I have not actually read one Clancy novel. Yet, "Hunt For Red October" is one of those films in my mind needs to have it's own museum space. Digression: like the first "Star Wars," or "Close Encounters of The Third Kind," or "Gone With The Wind" ( although I personally hate that movie), "Wizard Of Oz," maybe "Fantasia." "Pulp Fiction" is also in that elite list, and I am sure there are others that get their space. There are lot of honorable mentions, and it's naturally going to be a subjective list. However, those HM films don't quite seem to ear mark eras nor transfix culture in quite the same way. There are a thousand good movies. I am sure people want to include, if even insist they are in that transcending group. But really ...those are more personally resonating; so momentously that they'll insist. Intimacy with the cinema experience isn't the same as 'culturally influential bombs', though. "Clear And Present Danger" and "Patriot Games" were HM, so he's weighted in the good end of the pool. Where the hell was I going...oh, yeah, see, I have a short story I am working on called "Weighting On Doom." Your mentioning "Rainbow Six," with 'intent vs happenstance, strikes me as similar just on the merit of that turn of phrase, alone. In the short story I'm working on, human darkness is ubiquitous. The forces of rapacity and ambition are not uniquely shared. Thus, the "art" of conspiracy is both shared by real orchestration, as much as its specter can be an emergent property - i.e., by accident. I actually refer to these emergent complexions as "soft conspiracies" - it's when A and B and C appear they must be connected, but really aren't. Now, I don't know what you meant precisely by the bold ( lol ) but is sounds similar. Basically, when all of humanity is out to f*k one another, and since we are in principle coming from the same mindful derivative of ( intents + purposes + capacity ), the mathematics of violating Commandments tends to design the same in every direction. We all pump from bum to front Enter in that we are, by nature, uniquely wired as walking, talking, pattern recognition software, it is not a huge guess as to where this is going - people are predisposed see the designs. That gives the allusion of conspiracy, either way. It's actually how the parasite of conspiracy - real ones - fool like viruses, because the 'design' blends into the weeds of human conception in all of its intents and purposes; no different than points of randomly placed lights in the firmament create constellation of archers and mythic monsters. So while we sort out the truths from fictional, conspiracies use that uncertainty as its greatest ally.

Not sure...all home sites tied to Wunder within a two clicks were 92 to 94 yet KFIT was 90. Usually the mean of the aforementioned will = KFIT's NWS but not the case this day. either way 90/72 or 92/72 ...it was 'tween pig butt cheeks today. And, we get dry rubbed by the cold front so now ahh transition event. F'er

Lol - one way or the other, perhaps. It was a bit of a race - between patience as a general cultural tenor, collapsing in revolt, vs some semblance in the over arcing theme of the Pandemic's gestation that a salvation was nearing. That latter came in just in time. SO, a vaccine was produced in unheralded short amount of time, so fast as to wonder if the arc of science was fully executed. LIke, almost as though it was already invented ? hmm kidding - But, that gave some sort of vibe of resiliency back and the airs of humanity and society were more willing for the perseverance to wait it out. Sarcasm aside, I do think that if there wasn't that salvation in sight, the salvation would have come by turning attention aside. It's just a sociological hot-take but one I advanced early on in this, and can argue evidences were beginning to emerge suggesting break points were nearing - then the vaccine waved through. And one way or the other, its basically over.

Yes sir for convection enthusiasts, hope the general construct is dependable

jesus christ with that place

This whole ordeal was a dress rehearsal - a test, to see if RNA delivery systems can be used efficiently on live targets for the eventual d-day trigger event. Population and resource procurement is an unattainable, unsustainable physical impossibility so...wipe out 97% of the population, leave the tech infrastructures and libraries in place. Boom, problem solved. Enough pop density for a viable species health remains alive, and the wheel doesn't have to re-invented.

I mean 90/72 here and there is a visible cu field N-W of here with some crispy towers ... Thing is, you can erupt really, really fast with this kind of environment. 90/72 + a cold front = notice, I suppose

This memo just came across our desks the National Weather Service (NWS) is forecasting scattered thunderstorms for the interior portions of the state this afternoon into early evening. The greatest risk for thunderstorm activity is between 2pm- 8pm as a cold front pushes through the region, ending the heat and humidity. The primary threat with these storms is frequent lightning, heavy rainfall, and urban/poor drainage flood potential along with a secondary threat for strong to damaging winds and hail. umm really

Well sure. Lac is getting pretty close to the boundary anyway so heh, impetus on "quasi stationary" - I hate that expression anyway. I mean, they'll analyze these boundaries as stationary, as it is moving south on every analysis Annoying. Anyway, yeah yeah... got are we bored LOL

My point is... if one is basing the frontal position on DPs, that may not be right

Yeah I dunno down here, even thought we're two to three ticks lower it still feels as brutal as the last couple of days ... WPC's 16:50 update still drapes the front N VT/NH as a quasi stationary .. there may be a prefrontal sort of dry-line deal with the wind coming d-slope too

'nother thing I've noticed as an Aspergery OCD about weather chart dude Thing is, heat/summer ridging was always associated with 582 heights as a crucial sort of metric for 40 N, Chicago to Boston, etc. Get that height to arc over those regions, deterministically in forecast methods and so forth, the 90 F isotherm comes N; and then the 588 may close off a circumvallated bubble that typically then retrogrades west from either WAR , or perhaps forms over Tennessee Valley/ WV before retrograding west underneath the 40th parallel. That was the case 1970s through the 1990s. Over the last 20 years, the 582 is still crucial but, the 588 dm seems to now fashion to where the 582 used to back whence, and now, we seem to have 594 circumvallate bubble domes nested that do the same trajectories, therefrom. Not sure but I'm willing to bet this is another way in the means in which the HC expansion begins to empirically manifest in summers. In the winters, I still maintain that the expression of the expansion is more so through the velocity energetics - a natural physically forced result of polar region still being sufficiently deep in heights to set up a gradient saturated hemisphere. It's why we've see these excessive jet velocities in recent decade(s) winters. So the "expansion" in the sense of area is suppressed/contained in the compression, but conserved via fast flow.

Guys... The intelligence agencies know when you shit. End discussion -

Yeah ...I dunno. Not sure what the cumulative twister season did for the country as a whole that year. It's just the article/ref to '53 made me think of that 24-hour lagged convection correlation between the Lakes and New England. Instead of just saying that I saw an opportunity to claim more battery life in my evil secret initiative to over-tax scrolling devices. I mean in order to do the former I had to layout the Grapes Of Tornadic Wrath lol

I have been wondering about that, my self. If that is to be the case, I don't believe it would be established over the next two weeks. Short version summary: hot here, hot there, back to hot here, across the three week oscillating hemisphere. And during, it is like our region just did, they may transit through. Longer version. The hemisphere is 'sloshing' Why? It may be an like an emergent wave function that results as a 2ndary super-synoptic emergent behavior from all the interior wave components of the circulation system carrying about. They cause the scaffold to "wobble" back and forth. That's a fascinating hypothesis to me, anyway. The next wobble 'might come back east. Perhaps way out there...toward mid July, these grand-scaled 'giga-motions' will find a rest state - probably with a ridge in the middle, with two vague 'dents' in the westerlies sagging on either coast... when Chicago is lazed off the face of the planet by shade temperatures of 110 heh. It may be the westerlies really do break down by then, but if persistence bears any usefulness, it may also just be a slower decay; in which case their heat, a new sag or depression toward California --> heat to comes back east, before any such summer rest state arrives. But I have been watching the expanse of the Pacific Basin's mid level wave-train in the modeling. There's a definitive tendency going on now, through D6, to retrograde a very impressive ridge anomaly from NE of Hawaii, to NW of Hawaii. As that occurs, this switches the sign of the PNA from (-) to (+) in winter. But this is summer, and the PNA is not supposed to be correlated well-enough in J/J/A to bother calculating the cross-correlation matrix at Climate Diagnostic Center ( as they've espouse in their products). My problem with that is that they are relying on some long term [interpretation] of that being the case, and it removes the in situ aspects of the hemisphere that may make for the correlation's ability to present in the circulation media, more prominent - like this year Namely/why, the flow is still easily identifiable as having a strong polar jet over the Pacific running along the 40th parallel, with some 4 to 6 isohyses in parallel, with 50 to 100 kts winds in ambience and jet max-lets running along that conveyor. That is not a nebular hemisphere - hello. It is an R-wave definitive scaffold that absolutely telecons quite proficiently actually given to that being the case, in June no less! So, out there in the - admittedly - deep extended, this oscillation near Hawaii reverses, and a new large spatial and y-coordinate (tall) ridge anomaly repositions again NE of Hawaii; the PNA's sign goes back negative. The timing of that June 21 to June 28 estimating, and the heat dome there may attenuate - or even get ejected east and get caught up in the new ridge formulation that takes place over eastern N/A as concomitant facet with all this.

It's likely this "skip" (right side) was really a new vortex forming along a flanking line that effectively cut off the inflow jet to the original vortex Not sure if they discuss that in the attending article - just sayn'. There is a 24-hour lag severe correlation between Michigan and Massachusetts though. Little or less known, and less reliant are these sort of 'existential' rocking-chair omens. Like the old guy and the pipe, doesn't say much, gazes off with a squinted angle, pulls the pipe from lip and mutters, 'the country men reel after the November winds did steal' - teeth clamp back down on the pipe-bit, "mm hm," and after a moment of arrested conversation within ear-shot, everything resumes and no one remembers he said it. Oops Not sure where I learned of that one along the way, but I did transplant as a youngster from Kalamazoo Michigan, to Rockport Massivetwoshits ( of all places.. those two ethos could not be any more different ). I don't recall who said what, or/if was read where, but the essence of it remains; it was connecting me to my former life in the moment found knowledge that was true. It's weird how we encounter symbolism like that in life sometimes. Heh, turn on a radio and that song must have been done on-purpose, as though the haunting refrain of where it takes you in your coveted past, doesn't want to you forget - for whatever cosmological vibe. Anyway, I have seen many times IN/MI/OH days of threat do then translate to PA/NY/VT/MA/NH and ...well, Maine has it's own world. It's not a hard guess to see why. It's just about the average 24 hours of synoptic travel time to meet those two destinations. June 1953 was absolutely an atmospheric cube of death convection in one location, simply moving 24 hours down stream to the next.

Yesterday was interesting. The persistent reloading of CB mass into the Springfield area, sent so much over-shadowing mid and upper level anvil span that it stymied any convection for the larger area. Up across southern NH, just outside the northern dispersion of the anvil plume, CBs fired there. But any town along and S of Rt 2, and along and N of the Pike ended up with mosquito rain barely able to wet the streets.

Meanwhile, a specter of a heat wave across California is formulating out there D6-10 that would best last August and reach deadly caliber if the trend doesn't "seasonalize". Talking even coast, with 101 to 105 into the Bay Area down to L.A., with off-shore flow setting up under the highest solar max time of the year. +24 to 31 C at 850, with d-slope winds compressing that to sea-level. Two words: bake bread Just bringing it up because we are [apparently] about to seesaw some rather extraordinary "hemispheric"-scaled anomaly layouts. It's a different implication in my mind when 'Earth' is is doing the oscillating, not just some regional biases moving about - interesting

Speaking of which .. flood watch. And warnings popping off. BAF does this. It seems like I've seen this a lot where Springfield region pools redeveloping convection. I mean it can'e be more than 67 F under those rad returns at this point but it's acting like some source must be feeding endless CAPE. We're actually getting screwed by the mid and high level gunk down stream now - gee wiz

Actually, come to think about it, ...before any of that circumspect logic, if one is combining "April" with running headlong into waves in the sentence for coastal New England, they are lucking their ballz didn't just up and fall off their body.

Chrisrotary12 is half serious with that tongue-in-cheek. It really is a local flood threat - only difference is, we don't have slot canyons here to focus run-off toward the Scout camps

I have narrow turrets with umbrella 'ghost' pileus here along Rt 2, with dark bases. I don't see how this region doesn't cut loose. Probable 2 cycle towers from seeing cell up this way, too

Looking at sat trends, seems unzipping along and N of about an HFD-PVD line ... filling in with vil debris and slow moving loud clapping dpours would be fitting -