Typhoon Tip

Interesting I was checking the HI numbers and they were unchanged... Apparently, 104/66 at biggest combo 2 hours back is the same as 111/55 present hour. 110

I just see it moving into a no shear environment, with momentum in cyclostrophic flow already going ... over ample OHC. Not sure how many environment variable one really needs, but rip and read on those parametrics, I would not be shocked if TS watches go out for the SE Coast pretty soon here. LOL -

It's impressive what it's doing to June -

Ho man ... 'magine if that thing did a 24 hour RI out of nowhere ...

I love it. This morning TPC had slightly different take on this - things can change really fast Satellite imagery and nearby buoy and ship observations indicate that a small low pressure system has formed about 500 miles east-southeast of the Georgia-South Carolina border. Surface pressures have begun to fall across the area, and showers and thunderstorms have recently become better organized. Some additional development of this system will be possible later today, and especially on Monday when the system will move across the warmer waters of the Gulf Stream, and a tropical depression could form before the system makes landfall along the southern U.S. coast. The low is expected to move westward today, and then west-northwestward at about 15 mph on Monday, reaching the coast of the southeastern United States by late Monday. An Air Force Reserve Unit reconnaissance aircraft is scheduled to investigate the system Monday afternoon, if necessary. * Formation chance through 48 hours...medium...50 percent. * Formation chance through 5 days...medium...50 percent.

There we go ... That guy that looks like a Cyborg terminator swings his bat and Jupiter's orbit wiggles but at least they got him.

No, this is not true

Okay ...I know - You're talking about the experience of weather - no argument. No argument. The Meteorology metrical aspects are noteworthy and thus preclude the run-of-the-mill aspect. That said, if it make 98/72 anywhere, the experience is rare - not arguable. Sorry. And 27 C at 925 has an adiabat arrival to 35 C at the bottom - btw. That does not even include explosive parcel release in the 2 meter, which adds a couple C typically to the slope temp; that number. 37 C =~ 98 So I'm not sure I agree with just that piece of your claim -

In the last 2 innings I have not seen one call or act of motion not end up in favor of the Sox. I've liked baseball for the better part of 25 years. I am not an every game and pitch within fanatic, no - but I am usually aware of standings and who won - and do watch a lot of innings over the course of a season. So tfwiw - I have never seen a Yankees team be this ineffectual against a Sox team - and the 'early in the season' mantra is losing footing as we near the 4th because mid season .

Heat just doesn't stroke every awe-boner in this weather-related interest/social media. For others, purely from a Meteorological perspective and interest ...that ( bold abv) is interesting. that's the difference. Some Mets and hobbyists may get into this sort of thing; others do not. But for those that do not, the semantic attempt at spinning it less because the conversation is petty-annoying ...tough shit I guess. Whatever -

my Apple smart phone is unrelenting ... I have indicated negative, yet it keeps posting me to install a free app with the ability inform me when/if I have been exposed to COVID. This is what drives intelligent folk to distraction .. a distraction where's harms public/social/economic trust - - cloaked in deception of protecting you? If some app can warn you, it in fact also knows where YOU are, and probably infers what you are doing - perhaps the real intent. The only thing that got rid of it was allowing the occasional OS upgrade run - we'll see if it pops up again. The odd thing, it's like humanity - industrial world - kinda needs something like that ? It does. It's scary to have to admit, but part of the darkness of humanity isn't any over arcing agency's social engineering ploys. It is that realistically, there is a ballast of population, en masse, now big enough to bring it all down. These cannot be reached with reason and logic; their fu'ked up lunacy and etho-chambered shit for brains actions ugh Talks about society arriving between a rock and hard place. I don't wanna be monitored, but I also don't wanna be a casualty of some intrinsic or endemic threat to civility, either.

Mmm we may wanna look up and test that - I 'think' this was mentioned as nearing a historic ridge in terms of heights - that would by definition preclude the "every summer" assumption

Who cares about the 4th ... god, there's a potentially life threatening event getting started like now - But I know.. No one takes heat seriously - fine. whatever. The nexus of cumulative thermal storing with residual supportive synoptics doesn't really occur until Tuesday 18z ( ~ ), despite the non-hydrostatic dome on the charts maximizing in the Y and X coordinate dimensions roughly 00z tomorrow evening. Tuesday morning, in fact, I wonder if elevated/record high-minimums may be in trouble that dawn. Light west wind over, through a landscape bathed the previous day in insolation will help maintain fully thermally charged hydrostatic thickness, in a situation where the initial conditional potential are huge in that regard. This should reflect in temperature stalls at exceptionally high values - even relative to heat wave climo for our area of the country. The over-arcing synoptic ordeal's significance ( I believe ) may be eclipsed by the Portland specter. We are approaching 600 dam just S of LI. One can only imagine what would be if Sonoran heat injection got caught up inside this thing - Anyway I could see Logan and LGA not falling below 84 F, perhaps not 90 until 1 or 2 am. interesting.

It could be that simple - snark aside. Lol, words to the affect of, "...Exhibiting methods of propulsion and acceleration 'unworldly' beyond the technological and/or scientific capabilities of the U.S. or its allies, or adversaries. ..." Egads! What does one do with a statement like that - Truth be told ... despite the evocative use of the word 'unworldly' ... ( which I am not really sure that is in the report - I should probably go make sure because CNN covered and they are barely a verifiable status above tabloid news at this point for their incendiary tactic bullshit ) ... all that report really reveals is: A, this is what we observed; B, we don't have an explanation for what these objects really are. But it seems rather egregious using turn of phrases like unworldly toward a population saturated by the last 25 years of seamless VR vs R, in CGI dystopian Sci Fi cinema. Too egregious in fact - c'mon man! They said that shit like that, deliberately. Maybe it is to increase funding. I dunno. Or, it's just the PR ineptitude of American "intelligence" agencies. Ha! Distinct possibility just the same. Either way, it' like they are cutesy dancing around the pachyderm notion of the thing and what they 'really' think - actual ET ? Say it, but don't 'say it' to dodge culpability and undermining confidence in their offices.

N edge of high cloud band just cleared here, too - we're currently humming in the microwave

I realize this won't get considered/ ..if read, so I'll keep it brief. Models turning the flow more west tomorrow/Tuesday. Mid coastal CT to Logan and points SE won't broil today ventilated by modifying marine contamination and mid/upper 80s and rich DPs oughta do it today. So when the thumbs down post about the heat bust start up, keep that in mind

It's still 7 days away so yeah, likely to change in future runs. Wouldn't sweat it - This forum also serves as an outlet for neurotic complaining/venting. Soo many red-headed step children are grateful this was invented as a domestic abuse reducing device - lol..

Oh, .. Hoarfrosty Hubb-dawg ... You were talking about Monday - I was thinking today when I responded. What I said really applies to today more so ( although the 77 DP is a bit hyperbole, admit - ) Tomorrow... Mm... you still won't make 98 - lol. But I suspect you could get into the low 90s.

Good ... judging by what I just saw weeble-wobbling into Walmart, a food shortage may give western Industrial societies a chance of getting the majority biomass of the proletariat to actually become less massive ... There's a thought.

Yeah, this is one of those deal where the ultra calibrated nature of the typical air-way ASOS tech housing ...won't reflect small rural down towns, nor the experience of living in them, as they are surrounding by sun baked fields evaporating soil moisture into a column with ongoing continental Tropical air transport already. I could see ASH being 94.3/69.8 on that Mesowest ... but Lancaster center is 88/77 and the latter is actually f'ing real too.

It won't - If Logan makes 101, you'll be 95 at your elevation and foliage dense surrounding - also rural environment? DP ? That's another thing. You'll be in the tea kettle on that one

Heat wave begins tomorrow locally. unlike the last .. this one may have better nocturnal retention. Wow Monday night 25C at T1 in the new NAM all night long in wind that had veered into a light W direction , both NYC and BOS, after an afternoon of 95/72 is a bad bad night for lower income urban dense housing 2nd a 3rd story residences. One of those 84 at 1am deals out by the curb. dangerous Tuesday - that looks like Excessive warning headline to me

Frankly .. long about Thursday tolerances may be blown and a front "near by" might just be welcome ... not necessary, for the 4th weekend. if one comes through a ridge west dominant pattern, it probably backsides dry air and 80 F ...like absolute perfect weather for outdoors and fire works and all that shit. The Euro run is insufferable - goes from a deadly 103 HI event spanning nearly 4 days ... to a miserable one, lasting an additional 4 days. Hand wringing over losing that is tantamount to psychosis if you ask me -

Ha - ...consummate too low machine DP guidance caught NWS off guard ?