Typhoon Tip

I extolled at length about this earlier ... problem was the “at length” but - There were two pandemics: One was sar-cov-2 the other was self imposed at a species level; a response spectrum of unnatural imposition resulting tolls yet to be quantified

The absence of God -

Saturday looks interesting.. Not sure a defined CF on the isobaric layout is really required - that's just standard reliance features, but a lot of summer events don't even have a cold front. You have a clear indication of a barotropic intrusion, with theta-e and SW flow arriving 12z - there's a climate signal for day of events with 7 am rumbles and WF passage - btw. Meanwhile a W to WNW jet max/right entrance region is nosing into NY/PA by 18z and the rest of the region by dark. That's got bow wind bomb written all over it. Heights falling would be better and lapse rate may only be so-so, but these other shear mechanics on the GFS/GGEM operational versions should be notable ..NAM too, actually... We'll see what the Euro thinks but a CF isn't needed with decent CAPE and jet max mechanics, with geographic Lake breeze and/or elevation oriographic triggers

Echo the sentiments here - although, as you intimate, we do not limit that concern to Pandemic-centricity. Oh yeah, they are doing this modis operendi, with now more than laughable power Firstly, I have not (yet) cut cable. It's certainly on the table to do so, though. I'm waiting for all sports majors, with the exception of any kind of auto-racing ... to provide a separate means for access, then I likely will. It's coming. In the meantime, I have come to accept and recognize, quite quickly and almost second nature, when a given turn of phrase or spoken word are faux, or 'complexively divisive'. Bate to solicit thumb swiping smart phones, clicking a PC mouses, or pinging a channel on television so forth. And so I've evolved a personal aegis against the IMC, the 'Industrial Media Complex' and detect the bate and avoid it. Or laugh - - the IMC expression ( which I use liberally, admittedly) borrows from Eisenhower's "Industrial Military Complex" - the two are, in essence, of the same ilk in evil spirit. The older model of Industrial Militarism ( which probably gets harder to do in modernity World order/changes therein ) bombs some society back to stone age. Then, in swoops the bomber's in the name of support, but ultimately foundation their own economy out of rescuing and rebuilding and revitalizing. But this process, either by elaboration or accident ...strands the new order in some sort of dearth of sociopolitical identity. Whereby, destabilization invariably fills that gap --> war breaks out! The Military/government/ and wag-dog ala modes of course then rationalizes involvement in foreign affairs - usually cloaked in rescuing Humanitarian war crimes - bombs back to stone age. Cycle begins anew. That's a cookie cutter Satanic rendition - lol.. .but in essence, Eisenhower's warning was beware of engaging in that. The media version, as hinted above, destabilizes by incendiary headline and content-spin bombs, 'artfully', perhaps 'dark-artful' equivocation tactical manipulation upon the unsuspecting, general population - and it is not a matter of intelligence at the individual level. New information has no history in either wiser or non-the-wiser case. Hesitation by some, is usually reaction by those who don't really know any better and is, sadly, the majority. Hooked. We are all recycling a smoldering resent over this. I coined the expression last summer, "The moment in time the IMC figured out how to convert the very initial action of thumb swiping smart phones, clicking a PC mouses, or pinging a channel on television, into money, we were doomed." We have not heard, read, nor seen illustrated in either still frame or in movement, any media that represent a perfect union with the truth. In an absolute sense - which I'm over-stating presently to make the point - reality is in a state of adulteration by whores, burning down the societal house on either side. Whether as e-zombified, addicted dystopian stimulant junky audience, or "Christof" sociopathic illusionists on the other. You know...' art mimics zeitgeist' - talk about the "Truman Show"! That movie was in a lot of ways, visionary if not at socially aware commentary about the power and force the specter of media can automaton individuals.

Short answer ? Imho, get use to it. It may not be mainstream marketable in this kind of meme ( needed) 'ebb' cycle and collective exhalation, but, it will resurface given time. From nuances and insinuation, to debate and scholarly ambits, to veracious science and research, this will go on for decades. The longer version, that is probably because there were, in effect, two Pandemics? 1 SAR-CoV-2; 2 The self-imposed/response by and at a species level. the general population are almost as much victimized by the 18 months of Pandemic's self-imposing mandates, as the Pandemic itself. Oh, the COVID-19 'variant' wins ( of course! ) in any figurative 'enormity debate' or comparison - blood and death tend to win trophies. However, there is a trauma endured that is both as troubling as it is difficult to quantize - regardless of one's personal relationship history with the pathogen - i.e., whether they got the stupid thing, or know/love whomever that did. And, I use the term 'species' quite deliberately there. Because, everything the human world did to respond to this has no organically traceable, naturally occurring precedence along the biological evolutionary arc of Homo Sapiens - to wit, we are here, because all of that was allowed to happen. We were not born with masks. Humans need to engage in the spectrum of lighter side of touch, to the best part of f*k ... Distancing intrinsically torpedoes the ability to engage in these biological imperatives. That is not our way, probably more succinct to say, we have no choice but to be that way. That is important to truly understand and really, 'feel' is probably apropos. Moreover, the following can be outright empirical proven: those that miss these necessities, beyond some personally definitive adaptation threshold, begin to manifest antisocial psychologies. Given time, behavior abnormalities express, and on and so on. We, as a species, in order to form a more perfect utopian union, based upon the of hubris of knowing better than the Cosmos of natural forces that delivered us to that state of conceit (irony in this predicate), are not above those necessities at a biological level. 18 months pretending we are, took [ likely ] a bigger toll. The psycho-babble ramifications for that journey are asymptotically attenuating - meaning, they slowly diminish, but they will never be absolutely zero. And the 18 months of masks this, and distancing that - you know, ... I am not psychologist, but this cannot be evenly registered. Some individuals can take isolation better. We are similar, person to person. We are not the same. This is quite obviously true comparing one 50-year old to the next. Comparing 50-year olds to 5-year olds? I am a middle aged, existentially built being, who has lived and survived ( so far ) through the vicissitudes of an oft iniquitous enterprise known as Humanity. That schooling, that Universal education tells me that children, particularly during the formulative/socialization years of 3 to 9, were probably life-long neurologically programmed by this thing. They are more adaptive than adults 10X's their age, no doubt! But that adaptation is really more about absorption into the scaffolding of their future minds. We'll see how that wiring fairs. 18 months, executing precisely the wrong impositions, masks and distancing, to that particular diametrically needy age-group, is a facet in all this ... You know, I was once told when I was 7 years old, "In a month, there is a chance that you and I will travel to a different state to see our distant relatives." "A month?" "Yup, just 30 days." Here I am at mid life, and I still recall the essence of that eternal wait, more so than any other circumstances or nuances about the reality of that era of life. That torture, remains. I am rather disgusted there hasn't been more thought consideration to how all this would effect these uncut diamonds ...I sometimes think to excoriate Western Culture's selfish justification rationalism tactics - it is cloaking clawing self-preservation in an insidious way ... sometimes it seems. The adults made this about them, first. But that's a hot take - I am not sure. 18 months to a 50-year old is a sabbatical by comparison; yet fervency in the personal ventilation of how trying times have become by the this age group, demands as much attention as any other narcissist front man of an 80's hair band. So, what we have unwittingly done ( whether proven ultimately good or bad aside ) was survive 18 months of cutting the 750,000 years of evolutionary strings that bind us together. We may think we don't need one-another. Technology, in fact, is triggering this arrogance universally, anyway - but that's a whole 'nother Cyberpunk techno-sociological thriller! In the meantime, barring another variant that transcends the Industrial Media Complex's mere marketing via dystopian cinema, humanity in any 'social' media is prooobably NOT going to let this thing go forever.

I thought we had a snow fall, tho, the week before. Decent event in memory ( probably doesn't - ) serve. It was cold up to and during that event, and it laid a decent pack down here. It was that newly seemingly perfunctory early to mid December snow storm prior to mid winter burn out pattern that's ever year regardless of ENSO this or Polar that - get's annoying but CC ftl I guess. Anyway my point was gonna be, that storm the week before seemingly rubbed it in, right? lol. I mean, it would have just been better if the Dec = piece of shit, period.

You know I've never really gotten into that whole grinch this, or sorted poetic defeat that, wrt to weather phenomenon. But, I'm also not brain numb to the fact that others are. I can honestly say, having been off-on a part of this social media outlet for so many years ...wow, 15 as a matter of fact - really... wtf anyway, was going to say, that event "targeting" Xmass Eve, was the utmost pinnacle paragon for how to butt f* holiday spirit. It was like 01:00:00 of the 24th thru 12:59.59 of the 24th, god-like precision. That's exceptionally hard and probably like a 1::600 year return right to time and cookie cut so perfectly wrong. I really don't care about snow on Xmass, but in the spirit of empathic commiseration...anyone that does, ooph. Sorry, you were abused by God - no other way to draft that out. Take it up with him/her. Lol

I remember the summer of 1999, just before the 4th weekend .. the FOUS numbers over Logan were 34 26 and 19 the day before; but the day itself busted below this potential due to clouds being more prolific. Those were the warmest total profile I'd ever seen at Boston in prog. (26+19)/2 ~ 850mb and it was 22.5 C but I think it "only" made 96 if memory serves. One of those nights was 82 for the low though. I just think we have not seen the upper bounds of what can be delivered up here - kinda like we've benefited from so many offsets, but one of these times, all of them will be 'looking the other way' so to speak and we'll get a full sun light WNW trajectory, pure blue sky through a 35/28/20 and those 1960, '75 and 2012's will be looking up. Particularly in CC now proving/papered to be "synergistically" enhancing heat wave scalar maxes - almost like rogue wave theory .. It seems we are yet to get one of those particular pain peeler shuttle re-entry heat blasts. France and Australia and parts of Russia have.

Lol, PHX NAM FOUS: 12000082315 -3402 032806 95 43 34 25 '43' is ~ 20 mb above their surface pressure coordinate, so doesn't even reflect the 2-meter temp, which typically requires adding 3 to as many as 6 C if conditions for heating are superb - which I think this might qualify. Just a guess. But, 48 C is a buck-19 and decimals

It's fascinating ( in an exceedingly tedious and excruciatingly nerdy aspect ), despite that Euro's hugely unrealistically deep anomaly it has evolving through southern Canada, which if one tracks back it's quite difficult to find enough momentous S/W mechanics that offers a source/orgin, the 850 mb temperatures can't get below 10 C from ORD-BOS ... I also have trouble believing that a TC coming over land W of NOLA, then moving over 1,500 mile of land, will emerge near the Marva and suddenly become that intense in a bite water region that frankly won't be warm enough for the thermal engine of any tropical sounding when all that happens. We are just in a bizarre pattern incoming and every model is doing weird things - maybe because of that.

You know it's funny ... getting this particular model to see any kind of TC initiation and subsequent maintenance thereafter takes a cyborg futuristic neural implant directly into the ocular brain cortex - yet, there it is. Meanwhile, no other guidance that typically self-finishes and sprays orgasmic TCs all over the map doesn't put out diddly squat out in that time.

Not to foment the 'anti-response crowd' ( lol - ) But I partially agree. I said the following months and months and months back to the beginning of this mess, that it is an experiment, really. It's really about a sociotechnological evolution we are in, where it is possible to even try? - unprecedented in that sense, actually. The last time the entire world and all sovereignties agreed upon a course of action, at this recent scale, was WWII. But what we are trying to do here is defeat a biology on this planet that has been around for 3 BILLION years. Whether this virus was doctored by human's as a bio-weapon and is being suppressed as a truth or not, viruses behave the same way. 3 billion years, a time span in which no other countermanding force has been capable of stopping them. Using what? distancing and washing hands? Oh, try - sure. By all means. In fact, the experiment is part of the evolutionary process and has to happen - I don't think, however, that means we can also look back in 20/20 and say we should have known better - experiments are always an iterative process. The other aspect is, ...we cannot prove how many people's lives were improved, or even saved, if we did nothing at all - it's arguing against NULL space in that sense; the null space has no data to serve as proof/advocate. Simply put, we don't know what we did to 'save the crisis' because we don't have that data to look at - just an assumption that it did something.

The circulation engine of the hemisphere is changing - you speak as though we are still in 1862's planetary initial conditioning? No - - and those may be a thing of that past. The mechanisms that cause those bigger events, and even the smaller maintenance ones, are getting buried in the perennial expansion of the Hadley Cell. - restorative hydration events become increasingly less frequent/ reposition closer to over 40N in latitude.

Apparently the 'Industrial Media Complex' never got that memo -

Oh yeah, vaccine. I had the two dose deal - Moderna. I did not feel or sense any reaction to either dose, zippo. Moderna, as internet water-cooler wisdom would warn, is the worst offender for making the patient feel as though curing the disease is actually killing the patient. I know that people are getting reactions to these vaccines - my sister did. She was couched for 3 days with fever and headache - "they f'n gave me COVID, that's what!" But I'm just here to say that either A, this is not going to be true for all individuals - you may not respond. Versus, B, the off chance that the vaccine failed to work in my particular physiology -- never heard of that, but nothing in a reality that is 100% a synergistic emergence of Quantum Uncertainty Principle can ever be in 100% certainty. How's that for a whopper paradox. Excluding the possibility that I am the 1::googleplex target for cosmic dildo flogging, I'm going to go ahead and assume I am just lucky that my particular make-up was able to absorb, respond appropriately, and end-goal my immunity to these predominating strains of C-19 pathogen, without having endure any headaches for the course.

"Book end" low climo is a June deal. Yeah - This looks pretty classic for that. Front arrives and lays out W-E from the TV to Bermuda, and as it frontalysizes ( decays ) the air on both sides homogenizes into a barotropic sounding, and with W wind under E wind persisting during a window of lingering trough ( old frontal axis) it's like giving a toy-top a spin

Speak of the devil - ha! there's an invest out there - weird

Come to think of it...I have been watching the early season TW traffic out in the Atlantic and some of these waves are rather robust - perhaps establishing some seasonal tendency? that usually does manifest, '...that season began suspiciously with strong waves yadda yadda yadda - ' when in hindsight. Unlike last year, SAL is not as prevalent early on, either- not sure what that may mean for later in J/A/S but last year seemed to be plagued the whole way out there.

- also, anyone notice that tight gyre with core-centered convection east of Hatteras ? so I go to TPC and no kiddin! - out of nowhere they have a high prob invest there.

It was clear sky before, evinced via the early morning hi res vis satellite loops. But as this thing is leaving, same sat vantages a scunged backside clear to PA. It has that stoned painting crew's latex spilled on a highway look to it, like it'll need the power of 10 suns to burn it off. Otherwise, today might be interesting too.

Here? - perhaps not for at least a week. I'm not sure I buy the longevity of that temperate GFS solution - it tends to rasp heights down everywhere, as a cumulative bias. By day 10, it is consummately the coolest guidance of any choice offered within the polar/Ferrel domain, and that leads all kinds of large scale systemic errors. . But in the interim, the heat in the west is a pretty extraordinary circumstance - it will exceed, in standard deviation, relative to our 4 to 5 day heat wave's daily scalar value, and in areal coverage, both. It's amazing event. I get it - imby is all that matter.. blah blah. Just sayn' Hey, does anyone know if that old Death Valley record was still in dispute? Last I knew, the world record hottest was some place Africa sub-saran ... but that one was in dispute - or was it the 2nd place record in Death Valley?? I'm noticing the 2-meter on the Euro approaching a buck-20 and thing is, that model tends to mature its numbers to the day of potential if anything and we're still beyond day four. I'm wondering if some uniquely climate hot spots may sound the knell -

Starting to remind me of the 2013 season for that mystique. heroic incarnate -

Mass killing incidence/attempts have increased an order of magnitude spanning the last 25 years. Inside and out of urban vs rural settings, and blurred regions that cross -over demographics, too. Not sure how anyone's drawing distinctions on violence. It seems there is another systemic "trigger" that isn't related to traditional simplistic models of over-population leading to stress factors with density. It's fun to blame it on shit, though. it's just ( numbers game + the internet fomenting the unstable fringe among them) /2 and represents a far more profound systemic pandemia than any f'n virus, and is a factor of socio-dynamic feedbacks upon a species that was not intrinsically evolved to handle the immense power said tech affords them. The ultimate result of said experiment yet to be determined. Namely, it cuts the 700 thousand years of human evolutionary co-dependency on one another in the cooperative social organization of human society. A lot of the travails are hands thus "made to be idol while playing with guns" - as a hugely simplistic metaphor.

California will be in a non-sustainable population crisis, inside of 30 years, without viable implementation in mass-produced desalination technology/advances necessary to make that happen.

I don't mind it...the cool air. Ooph. Loving it. We've put a kind of obscure historical heat event in the books - the kind that doesn't make history ...But what I mean is, have to go back so far to find a 5 day 90+er at this time of year, where/whence the climate inference argues that is very difficult to do. We may not of hit a daily record, but this is one of those that smolders in the aggregate. That is really should be notorious for doing so < June 10 of any year - definitely at this particular geographic nexus of butt-bang reasons to never be warm at least excuse imagined. Or forgetting reasons - it just doesn't. F! So in a symbolic sense of it, it's probably kinda sort okay if we settle back and pull June closer to just above normal as opposed ludicrous hypertension. Was just looking at the NAM's 12z FOUS grid and has 22 C at 980 over Logan, with a SW flow on Sunday, and 850s to 14 and change. That''s not like languishing in the cool side of the westerlies anyway. We're only correcting for 2 days at this point, when we probably should go more like week to 10 days considering the former.. I also 'get the feeling' that we are in 2 step ahead, 1 roll-back longer term seasonal transition, and the next heat-up may be more important. Just three weeks ago, we had a gutted ridge that got 594 heights to retro under us, but only 85 F warmth...Then we had a weird shallow curvature nor'easter deal with cool 2 -3" beneficial rains. Then, this last week the ridge returns more prominently with higher temperature potential, and duration. Now we relax back... See were this is going ? The next propel forward may actually be the true SW heat release... which that last one did not have that "extra double top secret propationary" heat charged atomic air - all the heat was home grown. Imagine if Hot Saturday, August 1975 happened on say, a June 26th after 45 years of CC, under a 100% canopy sun