Typhoon Tip

Presently high res sat loop indicates east to ene leaning TCU turrets streeting along an axis west of ALB and the NW region of the Capital District and lower Mohawk Trail... This region - I suspect - is probably the swap out explosion axis, when the early cells in the broken line that is W-N of that region outflows/ .. and or this lead region uncaps and steals the inflow away and sort of takes over. But the original will still probably aggregate into clusters as they hit the terrain of NW-W VT

Heat wave at ORH

She claimed ..but you no longer work there, huh LOL just kidding -

I'd be curious how BOS wind direction anomalies look. I don't know of any easy sources for that specific metric - just curious how they did with E vs land-sourced wind flux anomalies during this raging orgasmic hard on to invalidate that site. LOL... just kidding but I am wondering if the lack of BDs this spring into early summer - which may be anecdotal but I almost don't recall a year with so few cold fronts move SW through the area as this one has been free from. Pretty amazing - ... But, BOS' climate is normally more absorbing of those into their numbers - cold numbers - and may be missing some of that normalcy It's hard to prove a 2 pt calibration issue.... I guess it's acquisition of time/money - do we expense to eliminate other causes in tedium science, or do we send out a tech and swap the device.

This heat we experience this week rendered to no meaning if this f'n thing out west were ever to both happen, but roll -over the top - 600 .. probably approaches 606 god "DAM" hgts there. I'll be watching for any if subtle PNA index modulations, for early signals to plausible western continental heat releases. This might be our France summer -

We/you're presently discussing physical impacts .. but the conversation reminds me: Special climate reports have elucidated a phenomenon globally: heat has demonstrated a tendency to over-perform beyond leading indicators, seemingly "synergistically" - it can be shown in the data, specific heat waves have very tall spikes the are disproportionately high, and very brief, in the y coordinate over the frame of reference which is much more modestly above normal. I think there is some blurred metaphoric ( ..perhaps physical analogy if mathematically can be shown - ) to rogue wave phenomenon in a fluid mechanics. The waves in present context deal with electromagnetism/ and thermodynamic waves, as opposed to fluid mechanics - but ... All the environmental components that ultimately plays their forcing role in the emergence of the Pac NW heat, come into "constructive interference" - this "encourages" those variables that were undesignated in the physical system to then take on momentum in favor. When this happens, the total entropy of motion and thermodynamics in a system is reduced, and the system's construction thus exceeds expectation. In this case, heat.

I wonder what the 12z actual soundings look like. Regional hi res vis loop sat coverage is impressively barren SE of a baroclinic cloud swipe over far NW/St L Seaway - there's not even early fractal CU there despite 88 to 92 F by 10:30 am. DPs may be 2 to 3 off yesterday at this time, but still in the upper 60s, but the LC level should have more fractals. also, I wonder if there is CIN/'cap' in in the region. Noted, 588 dam isohypses still runs roughtly PIT-PWM so, we may need some recession/ .. falls to commence - that could be interesting as a "release" type of initiation. Pretty cool, you see a CU, go get a soda, and by the time you get back it's a cotton ball with overshooting hot tower expanding -

Still heat-wavy out there but the DPs are 3 ( averaged..) F lower at NWS sites comparing yesterday at this time. Also, some sites +1 while others are -3, so the temperature is - on average - slightly lower than yesterday at this time. But, these variances are likely beneath anyone's sensible ability to notice - ha. I mean 91/68 or 92/72 ... it's probably meaningless. It may matter for convective thresholds/ .. instability triggers and so forth - that's what BUFKIT's for I suppose.

Could be a rare back-to-back performing convection days, tomorrow then again on Thursday -tho the storm types would be different. tomorrow is isolated discrete organizing into linear wind bombs with multi EMP tree shredders - come to think about it Kevin’s was like a preview more of it more wide spread Thursday could water board rain rates with training. Low lcl spin risk ?

yup, can see it's tiny glaciated mass - crisply in the foreground looks sharp, too

yeah I was just noticing some dark bases and crispy turrets around Rt 2 here as well.

Same ... well, not "my" station - I never replaced mine 5 years ago - don't see the point. I have like 10 stations tied into Wunder' not 2 clicks from my house and the mean of them ...typically matches the differential between FIT and ASH, or if varies ...not hugely worrisome degrees. They are all 96 to 98 as the high with 75 to 78 f'um DPs wow

So... leave it up to y'all to squabble over but HFD and BOS 98.6 on MesoWest fwiw -

I admit to some mordant fascination - I had to fire up my A.C. My 20-year old, rust streaked meth-user-interior design option refrigerator failed Fuuuuu ! ... ah hell. I deserve it - the clue there is the 20 years of age. I suspect the incredible DPs we have been putting up the few days is related. See..the house was sweltering in the steam of it, and I was just taking it during the day-light hours, reserving A.C. for just the night time in front of the Red Sox or dork Science Channel. But the back of the freezer where the vents are and the wall itself had become caked and choked by hoarfrost shut. Two days ago, the motor for the fan started clicking loudly - I didn't figure out why until this morning. Meanwhile, I didn't realize, but the lower frig compartment was also not being cooled at all for 2 days. I just had to toss like 100 bucks worth of perishables - not risking 90/70 with that. Anyway, so in order to "enjoy" this rare heat ..I have to go out there but this A.C. makes the transition worse? I don't like A.C. because it does that - it makes the heat worse. It's counter-intuitive. But if I drive around doing late errands and put up with it, eventually I don't need the A.C. as much. It's like A.C. leads to more A.C., and makes scenarios where you have no choice seem even worse. I mean if it gets that bad I'll use it - today prooobably qualifies either way. 98/76 here by average home stations is about the highest combination of those two metrics I have ever registered living this this town in 10 years.

I mean yeah if it means that much -LOL Personally? don't give a rat's ass. But, there's this OCD about that Logan site for some reason. I also see today as a west wind out of the Worcester hills, as a downsloping direction - that BOX' AFD also noted. That, and ..a west wind is blowing straight through and over the urban heat island of the city, and transporting both d-slope air, and that, mixed ...right across that air field. Firstly, the Logan temp for Boston is absurd before even engaging in the debate - ...that's aN old narrative that is both true, and never destined to be rectified. That said, these other factors and 96 to 98 temperature at that location isn't a terrible look to me. But, that's just one Mets "hot" take ( nyuk nyuk) on the temp there today. Really don't give a shit. I see BAF and HFD, and half the home stations within 2 miles of my town all in that range and it's just donkey balls out there. Although ..hm, as an afterthought, to be fair if we are flirting with records and break one by a 10th of a degree based upon a less than calibrated ( perfectly ) thermometer, I am somewhere between understanding of that concern, and morbidly thinking that is hilarious and kinda hope it is the case. HAHAHAHA

Give it time - ...in any case, the adiabat's likely maxed. We're at the bounce temp while diurnal forcing tries to mix higher. It's like a .3 F rattle at the top. 90 by 9 failure haha. Actually, that wasn't hugely convincing. Some sites got in, but most did not. 10 after 10 was more convincing however.

What bout HFD and BAF ... heh.. I mean, the sensor could need a tuning - okay... But it's no one knows how 'badly' it is off, even if that can be proven. It's likely decimals - In fact, if it is 93 in Dorchester, I'd almost question that sensor more so given the total environment But know what - who cares. It's donkey ballz out there

MHT is 93/ 68..70 They are ahead of yesterday in achieving the T side of that, and averaging 1 to 2 clicks higher in DP. Could be a local side idiosyncrasy... CON come in pretty much dead nuts on yesterday. just sayn'

wow, 97 at BOS ( validation notwithstanding... which is going to be difficult considering HFS-BAF corridor corroborate - ) at 12:15 pm Their DP is 72 - Those numbers are sagged by decimals but the HI calculated presently to 106

There's definitely Meteorology/physics to support the notion that drier atmosphere's can warm quicker, but ...that is more for diurnal response. The problem here in new England is that even in drier BL days, we tend to have more cloud residue ..or even just atmospheric contaminants that we may not even see as much, but for being downwind of continental affairs, man and nature. Be it high clouds that seem negligible... any filtration at all dims critical amounts of solar radiation - even if not readily observed. 2 or 3% isn't noticeable necessarily as atmospheric contaminants even without visible cloud interruptions, but cuts into that solar budget on the day causing the difference in 98 versus 102 for marginal initial conditions. That is all true, but what is going on out west/NW more so transcends this, as uniquely super-structured parametrics converged on on that civility out there. This could be a rare return rate scenario, but one that happened to take place in an era that has verified "synergistically" enhancing heat waves, Globally, over the last 15 to 2000 years. put it that way -

Worcester makes 90 before Noon ... my my

95 at BOS 11:45 am ..nice granted, should it pass the devaluation effort for that site. 95 at BAF and HFD apparently nicked 97 already -

He just needs time to adjust his mechanics ... now that MLB has cracked down on 'artificial means' to enhance performance. He may re-invent himself ? Granted it is true, the organization/front office would rather win now, and not wait around any lengthy amount of time for that to happen - should it take awhile for 'im to come 'round. no - But, he has the arm throwing strength still - it's not like the cannon is gone. So long as that is the case, it's worth it to wait some time; and it is just hard enough to find 95 mph arms in the world to at least give it that chance. The gist on him is that when they took the "grit" out of the palm, the spin rates on cutters - across the league actually ... fell off - immediately showed a reduction in b-ball spin rates...etc.. Less torque, less gyro balls. So we all know this. Imagine trying to prove this 30 years ago, though? Ha. They did have the tech in place for counting revolutions for minute of a 90+ mph 2.86" diameter ball moving 60 feet 6 inches. This has probably been going on for generations is my point there - I mean, 'cheating' and getting an edge, without actually hurting babies ( Geesh) has been going on in all human-based competition ..I think the first documented case of cheating was 654,000 years ago in evolutionary past but don't quote me - It's another watershed moment in the game ...just like the' roid -home run derby of the 1990s, and the sign stealing shit in recent decade, now this. Eventually, we'll have cleaned the game up to the point where it is banal and uninteresting, and we'll be poetically forced to learn that much of our lust for the big game excitement can't happen when competition is utterly fair - or so fair that no side has enough of an advantage to trigger the spectacle people really came to see. LOL ... I say let them roid. Let them sticky bun their palms. If they are all doing it, than it's fair just the same. What's the difference ? Oh..I'm sure someone with an astute moment of insight may come back with a reason for that, but at the end of the day... hate to say, if the game's spectacle gets neutered down to some sort of robotic fairness, people will turn away from boredom.

Yeah details details... Just an orbital look - S diving height falls into an antecedent CAPE enriched environment. Not a bad canvas. Frankly, I'll just be happy if it water-boards rain rates here for a couple hours. Who the f cares if it does that on Wed or Thurs... need rain -

You realize that just because you said this ( and this cannot be proven as causal but absolutely is, mind you - ) that count-down is going to take a minimum of 600 days because next winter is now consequentially never going to happen. Nice goin' Lol