Typhoon Tip

Actually ... there ya go - Charles River is bank full

No one cares but ...I couldn't be happier My living room A.C. shit the bed and I cannot presently afford a new one. I had a pretty whopping financial commitment to window replacements, ..whole house. Then, my refrigerator died 10 days later. That same week, this A.C. unit goes? So, I'm pretty content for 68 F ...whether it is wet or dry, I don't care - keep it that way until I recover enough to replace this A.C. Even though I am a fan man until it gets worse than the typical tolerance, I have been finding that this summer is breaching that upper threshold more frequently, in between these CC- hyper PWAT episodes when we are not being doused (eh hm). SO, if one is of a neolithic mentality of totem spirits and consequence, they can blame me. I'm psyched. Unfortunately, this probably won't last more than a couple days. 00z Euro has 70 to 80 across the area of Wednesday with the wind turning around and this BD air mass washing out. Then, Thu and Fri feature +15 to 17 C at 850 with a SW drift importing an endless supply DP stench. yuck - probably won't be 90... but 88.4/76.7

Estimating .4" in this last batch over the last 40 minutes. Crescent pelting on the streets with ample gutter wash. Area streams up here in N Middlesex haven't really responded to the hoopla. Doesn't mean much to the local environment until that is so, and thus at least indirectly signals surplus. Not sure how hydro offices calculate those metrics, but accordingly we are not in a deficit at this time, while it continues to rain prodigiously relative to climate. There is very little systemic flooding. I suppose it is not a seamless transition from deficit to the consequence in surplus. And meh at basements ..yes, in a few local regions that'll happen; it's beneath pervasive river response. I haven't actually heard of any demonstrative observation of that either. It may be we near thresholds. I guess what it "comes down" to (haha), is that these anachronistic rain bursts in summer, they will continue to prime. Then when a 6" -10" hurricane comes up that whole unstoppable series in serendipity culminates the sociopath's destructive lust in these social media forms - ...wow, what a delightfully poetic turn of phrase that was. LOL. Kidding but it's true .. Floods are like plain crashes. Seldom does one thing bring a plane down ... it's a series of unfortunate events that constructively interfere leading to the destruction of the time line ( so to speak..heh). How ironic -

You can make out the undercutting cold front making its way south through central NE. It extends W-E from N of Albany to PSM. Kind of neat looking looping that

Man .. ‘Magine halt up in 130 heat needing a drink or die and it happens to be there ?

The heat out west is a climate event – a single heat wave of staggering proportions is head scratching enough but this is become an aggregate scenario. - people really need to appreciate the significance of what this is - also I’m starting to suspect even the 134° death Valley temperature back in 1917 or whenever that was might also be suspect. Because we have now registered the two warmest lows in the US history just since 2012 so where are the daytime highs ? I don’t find it likely that those events were cooler than back then went back then is not boasting the Nocturnals. It’s just a hunch

Yup... the inventor of the model was dyslexic ... The 'H' was supposed to be a 'C'

...while height rises and surpasses 594 dam thru and over the boundary - this physics of this ordeal are whack - I mean the Euro seems to have completely decoupled anything below the 800 mb level from above - two distinct atmospheres behaving with entirely different synoptic forcing. Never seen that - ..not just the Euro either.

LOL, not sure about "90%" but point taken. I mean, some of these ball rotations exceeded 3,000 rpm. 90% is 2700 ... I get what you mean, but these asshats were not spinning the ball at those rates in summer heat and sweaty hands. No way... 2700 + rates doesn't likely happen without more significant mechanics assist - like an unnaturally tight grip while shortening one's career through medial epicondyle ligament damage, in order to realize glory and money now. Hahahaha

Sumpin' like ghat, yeah - I mean, conjecture and hypothesis, but we draw from education and wisdom, so not merely rube guesswork reckin

this sort of reminds me of a storm track tendency in winter, whence the storm track favors NNE early, then tries ( but usually fails due to HC expansion..) to move S in Feb for 10 minutes...before a late snow(s) in Maine/March up N. It's like as the STR reaches apex climo circa July 18 - Aug 10, that training rains f-up PF and Tam's mid summer... lol. Who's with me!

It is an unusual synoptic situation Monday through mid week. Again we near historic non-hydrostatic heights, yet cannot/won't (in any guidance) be associated with positive temperature anomalies at the surface. Interesting Longer version: This sort of imbalanced look, where tall ridging doesn't reflect in surface temperature, that is much more akin to mid April to early June. Lower ambient heights across Canada to the D. Straight, and then higher heights approaching from the S circumstantially causes intense confluence structures. They roll passed N Maine, sending surface high pressure anomalies down through the lower Maritime region and the butt- bangin' of New England is complete: E lower tropospheric jet sets up into the upper M/A and NE, etc, under a glance that would look like mid 80s. This is doing that exact same behavior, but with both hydro and non-hydro static heights that would support 100 ! Personally, I have never seen this phenomenon at the very ceiling of the geophysical non-hydrostatic heights. That's the unusual aspect. We're talking 594 to 597 dm heights in a large circumvallate; and they don't really get higher on Earth without two suns ( hyperbole). Anyway, unusual elevated ( near the top of the atmospheric geophysical ceiling in fact) non-hydrostatic depths = mid 60s ? fascinating - here's the coup de gras: the hydrostatic heights, the thickness, are over 570! So this entire oddity involving full metrical aspects - So why? It seems there are modest polar jet wind anomalies in the geopotential flow across the southern tier of Canada --> exaggerating the confluence orientation. I dunno...perhaps owing to HC expansion shit introducing compression to the heights up there, as anyone with beef for brains would agree ...the ambient subtropic ridging owns the hemisphere right now. You can see this all the way across the Pacific, Atlantic, through the sub-Saharan Africa and the Indian Ocean... This expanded anomaly may be pressing into and enhancing gradients along 50 to 60 N. Stronger westerlies = stronger attending wave mechanics. It'll wane out... Confluence moves off and/or changes flow orientation etc, and the surface high normalizes. But it's interesting that we will pass through the 4th very large and unusually tall ridge structure this warm season - which is some kind of frequency record ... christ - but this one appears to not only be neutered for heat, there may actually be modest negative anomalies in SNE during the time period in question.

Can you imagine if a plume of that got sent east and inserted itself into one of these unusual non-hydrostatic bubbles ?

Did you guys here about this ? Apparently large tracts if exposed mollusks around shore habitats along the Pacific coast were ‘cooked alive’ in that heat wave up there. I mean I don’t know if that means headin out there with butter and garlic sauce exactly - it is CNN’s gaslighting headline machine but still wow kinda sorta maybe scary. I think I’ve heard of something like that happening somewhere before tho.

Just a personal observation: This sort of phenomenon has become more common. Regional longer duration norms in general meeting hydro quotas, in dramatically shorter time-spans, sometimes right down to the single event scale. Longer version imho's: We don't have to look too far in the past to see other examples of this. 1/3 or perhaps 1/2 of a seasonal snow fall total laid down in a single event from N of the Capital District (E NY), to central NH during during last December's mid month anomaly. It is peculiar that the component parametrics of the overall atmospheric disturbance were not appreciably more forcing than the 'seasonal anomaly' - yet their gestalt was so extreme. These sort of synergistic emergent phenomenon are both becoming more common, and are likely attributable to the changing climate. Primitive, early modeling sciences that created the frame-work for those early technologies in modeling suggested this - how climate change would impact. But, in the 30 years of this ongoing challenge, the "dramatic event" aspect has been probably the most consistently reproducible portrait of how climate change imperils Humanity - and... all living biology on this planet - we really need to stop with the human-centricity in this discussion but, good luck... Climate disruption is not expressed by "warmth" alone; it is the increasing frequency of short duration extremes, both of temperature and precipitation. Last December winter storm in central NE, this recent June's heat, and since, a single stalled frontal boundary along with weak over-sold and headlined Elsa managing to out-chore a whole season's maintenance in water ? These are three in a countless array of examples popping off on Earth over recent decade(s); they certainly qualify as increasing frequency of short duration excessive anomalies. Time to tip hats to the climate models. Big bombs have happened throughout the Millennia - that's just living in a dynamic system. There are rogue events in all systems, whether those are happening in the seas, or in traffic-patterns that resulted in a Value jetting. Every cause and effect in and including reality its self is based upon restoring forces. Physicist will tell us, it's all wave mechanics building upon wave mechanics - in practice and in principle. Constructive interference focuses wave mechanical energy; sometimes the opposite occurs, and become nothing, too. But the key here is that when there is systemic disruption, there is introducing additional wave mechanics, and that then increases the probability for new constructive interference results - thus augments the event quota. The idea of "climate of catastrophes" being as observable as "warmth", is common knowledge to (say) 38% of human gray matter walking. Everyone else perhaps just lacks the dendritic neuro density of brain box to do so. Ha... half kidding by hate all people. Either way, they are dubious with computationally analysis about their reality, particularly when it comes to this sort of stuff. It almost does seem it is just too mentally untenable. That's bad. Because an interesting human failing is the human ego. When people don't readily understand, they are not stupid, "it's cuz it's bullshit - yeah" Which then has an interesting result: En masse, it constructively feeds-back in increasing their destructive behavior. Now that is an interest species sucking on a proverbial pistol muzzle. Popsicle headache yet? I mean that's my goal here. LOL The common knowledge demographic could be as high as (say) 62 or even 71%, but the problem there is, those that make up that difference formulate their perspectives through moral dimming. And that's the ball game. Hence why Humanity will ultimately die, taking along with it the virtue of it's genius. Climate change is really kind of a bad PR label for a changing climate. It's really much less like CC, and more like SWT: Shotgun Weather Threats. That should be the focus, no fuzzy obscurity terminologies of climate. Climate doesn't come and get you sitting in your living room. 76 mph winds do. At the end of the years we sum them up, then divide by N terms, and the climate hides the spraying bullets that did the damage. Any +7 temperature averaged April, at a vastly more typical cold miserable misty hell like eastern Massachusetts' french kissing the Labradorian witch such that it circumstantially must every early spring, typically means it was 80 F more than a couple times - and that's when it really gets like the toad in the pan of of gradually heating water .. Because who the funk is gonna complain about that? Oh my god, we're all going die in hammocks bathed by utopia weather' Although, to the hold-out late snow neurotics of American Weather Forums - yeah, that's clearly an apocalypse but that's another matter. So why are we trying to impress a risk that hides in abstraction to either mentality that constituents that above majority? The cause of 'warning' about climate was doomed to doubter vitriol all along.

I like this sort of transition just the same. It's neat I mean, 5 pm will be an entirely different universe compared to what it was down my street at noon.

This doesn't mean anything later on - sorry. "got feelin' this winter gon' be a hum-dinger cuz that summer was .." this and that - means nothing.

Yeah again .. this weird, fast end was on the wall when the lashing was giddy with posts in here 2 hours ago. The thing decoupled from the tropical air mass it was toting up the EC with around that time, and almost immediately, ground truth was lighter than Nexrad. Plus, subtly less on sat... while holes opened up in the rain. Basically, we sort of had the last 2 of this low-ball

This is over in an hour even NE Mass...

..its called a coffee can and a ruler ha

It's like when looking at obs ... this thing just detached its self from the tropical bundle of air it was transporting up and has left it behind. So now going forward it trundles away as a mid level residual gyre, raining it's self out over the next 3 hours over SE NH and lower Maine.... meanwhile, suns out in CT ...about the terminus of where the tropical like air was left behind. Really more like NYC. Yup, one way or the other, true tropics don't come N of LI. ahaha... in general. kidding but yeah. It's why what you have to have is a full bird beast rounding the outer Bahamas with the western limb -NAO block guiding it's latitude ascent at Sutton Massachusetts at 55 mph or forget it. It's some kind of mangled variant otherwise.

it's an apt description for here as well, just N of rt 2 in Mass yeah This things structure seems to be breaking down/weakening overall sat presentation, and rad, too. Not sure how that holds up to the model's profile of this things evolution, but that's what I'm seeing

Last few frames on rad show it weakening before the back edge now. Seems this thing's attenuating - my rain intensity is back down to light, so getting shirked/low-balled a little.

Hard stop back edge/arc now over HFD... Sun breaking out ~ Danbury ...

Back edge/arc is sweeping through western CT. Kevin you got about an hr and this shuts off like across a 2 minute span... hour later, you see the sun perhaps - fuzzy but has that appeal -