Typhoon Tip

as though they want/need it - it should be without passion.

the inevitable ridge shirking has begun

Not sure where to put this .. https://phys.org/news/2023-08-additional-earth-due-air-quality.html

MJO looks like it wants to enter a destructive interference with warm ENSO ... who knows how instrumental it will be in modulating matters over the ensuing week(s).

yeah... tru - the floor is dropping

Should pass pretty quickly from frontal scunge/murk and wet, right into sun as there's a pretty clearly defined back edge to the baroclinic axis entering western CT/MA ... I like days like that, provided that happens before say 4 pm... It's interesting how different the day will be at 5 compared to where it "was" at 10am when that happens.

Still not completely sold on a solid uninterrupted span of hot days... By hot I mean 90+ .. but obviously 87/72 gets the job done... I guess indirectly, "where does the front end up" The ridge is kind of flat. It has nodes of 594 ( in itself interesting that we are still raising the roof of the troposphere that high, this late, so frequently in guidance ... let's ask CNN why. LOL ) ... below the westerlies. But there are S/W running along S Canada which can easily correct SE once east of 90W. I think we're good for a 2-day stint at interesting heat though.

or Camille

Since this will be the first cat 3 or 4 in that region is it cuz of global warming ?

They should go ahead, throw hands, and name one of these, ‘Darwin’ There’s a CNNer for em, “Darwin targets rural Americana gulf folk, y’all” Officials take the wrong delicate touchy feely tact. They shouldn’t warn and impose evac … they should say next of kin are responsible for bloated corpse retrieval fees for when your own frozen assets can no longer cover the cost of clean up.

Maybe Opal, too actually Opal was 95

Yeah … no doubt. My snark was aimed at CNNs headline rabble rousing lol. They take NWS statements like never in that region …and convert it never in your life life life

Dreaded pin prick eye

RI ?

mm, I guess if this really true ...or turns out true, it technically would be a once in a life timer. I just don't like CNN's divisive tact they normally take -

Here comes the CNN machine ... Idalia could be a once-in-a-lifetime event

I'm not sure I've ever seen that agency publish a legendary fresco that didn't feature some peregrination of just exactly what the kielbasas want to savor over

Imho, Idalia just like in the last 90 minutes, took on a look that resembles a hurricane an not just some blob concealing a circulation underneath.

Can you imagine if AVN1 won that debate as a category 5'er

Oh, wait a second ... is there a "George01" perhaps? hm

Sometimes I wonder if George001 is really a salient topic-relevant adult that upon occasion ... allows his kid to post while incognito using his dad's account. A 13-year old occasionally posting with all the unrestrained enthusiasm typically found in the imagination of a small boy ... The dad probably figures ...meh, no one's reputation in this social media'sphere is ultimately significant enough. It doesn't extend anywhere or ultimately matter. ...I dunno. He's probably right - I'm utterly flummoxed how a post like this above ^ can be follow-up but these ... truly hyperbolic cryo-dystopian blizzard sci-fi novellas. Seemingly grown from a virga shrouded cumulus cloud in an otherwise cloudless Alberta Clipper dent; how exactly they are originated from the exact same source is beyond me.

wait - how old are you guys ?

Yup ... ... question is, how much so. It's getting late. Yeah. But that may be more of a psychological limitation. LOL. I'm not a huge fan of the solar dimming argument...( I've seen 80+ in February, we can do 95 on the hot side of the Equinox). Just a matter of parameterization. The models seem to want to create the scaffolding to support a pretty good solid 5 to 7 day significant anomaly potential, but then they play games with perturbations in the details ... kind of a something anything imaginable to fall short of that potential. Some times these idiosyncrasies disappear/proven model noise. The Euro/GGEM had 18C at 850 mbs with a couple of days pulsing to 21C ... in a seemingly well mixed lower tropospheric continental flow. 2-meter temperatures? 83 ...um, okay.

Capitalism doesn't does solve everything ... https://phys.org/news/2023-08-climate-changing-human-billion-deaths-century.html