Typhoon Tip

90/70 here ... 90/66 next door at KFIT ...

I'm curious over the nocturnal temperature vs the diurnal maximums in that ownership - globally. Obviously, over the polar circles that may not be as easy to ascertain, but below 70N/S We here in New England have noted over the last 10 to 15 years that we haven't seen the extraordinary afternoon oddities. But our lows have been routinely higher and in fact, much of our own contribution to the global warming dial can be shown there.

Fwiw, we had 100 HIs yesterday for couple hours prior to the arrival of light rain . heh

yeah, jokes aside that's good point there. I'm noticing there's almost no wind today. So that 'one of those days whence' may come down to a ventilation aspect. sure.

It's one of those circumstances whence most home stations are 2-3 F above the NWS utlra precision calibrated perfect setting sites... which leads me at times to question the distinction ( necessity?) between defining the temperature at those, versus over people's driveways or walking down urban streets or over parking lots and shit ... you know, life? Granted, these home sites are not "officially" mandated, but, having personally suffered the vicissitudes of North American 40N climate as many decades as I have, I have a pretty good existentially -based handle on what a hot day feels like. These home sites currently fit that better than the present reading of 84/66 KFIT. Oh, they're 87.8/66 so better 89/71 here

I think the Onion paradied themselves recently - I'll have to check - with a funny ...something about "...Popular satire, Onion, to close citing inability to compete with media reality"

I wouldn't even mind the chain yanking if that bold were not the issue. I don't have a problem with entertainment, shit. But, people think yesterday is a headline heat, then when it really does strike ...they don't have a fair predisposition and obviously -

You probably don't remember this but some 15 years ago ... you and I had a discussion about this phenomenon of weakening along a particular/repeatable axis (geographic). I remember offering the hypothesis at the time ... I'd noticed ( first of all) the same thing. The axis actually exists along a line from NYC-PWM... And it's not a hard wall or anything like that. Obviously the Worcester/1953 event ...or 1987 derecho down Rt 2 up my way ...or pick a severe event, all demonstrate that it's a 'tendency' we're talking about - not a hard stop. So, that said, the hypothesis is that with SW flow BL...even though the CU field generates in streets about 10 or 15 mi N of the south coast, and the air temperature and DP get rich ... (they may even match ALB by the time you get to the Pike), there still seems to be some sort of geophysical sensitivity in play that is ill-defined. It may be that the depth of integrated CAPE between the surface and the top of the BL is still lower than ALB, despite the tarmacs and garden measurements indicating the same T and DP spreads. That may or may not be the cause..? But there is definitely a marine intoxication hang-over to air masses that have spent any time over the Bite Waters/ Long Island Sound, which at times more coherently modulates ( negative) convection when crossing that ~ line above.

There's actually enough severe reports to substantiate the headline, tho. Now ... I'm not dense to the perspective given the way it "behaved" but there was a tor touch down, and enough wind problems sprinkled around the training cells in CT ... Falling limbs killing Darwin candidates still happens whether the vibe succeeds. Lol

It almost looked to me like these cells were severing off from the lower levels/decoupling from the BL and out pacing.

mmm... not a total failure. You got your super cell up there

Summer's back breaks for us at the earliest date in history while the rest of the world is entering an heat driven extinction event - fascinating.

Unimpressive cell moved past to my south ...otherwise, nothing like a high of 90 over a DP of 76 being over cast by anvil and light mosquito rain. So much for the mesos pegging NE Mass... exactly the opposite.

It's a positive PNA summer, no question. Even the rarer times the index went negative, the excursion meant nothing for the PNAP limb ( over the continent, itself) as it remained fixed. It just cannot be altered for some reason.

Ha ... remember the days of lore ... when the sky would turn that special kind of purified blue behind cold fronts?

He will though... These troughs have been over-sold routinely... That said, the DP aspect is most likely to evac away. I suspect that it's 81F for 800' Tolland, and 86 in downtown Hartford, with 38% RH for a couple of days - something like that. Since DP's all he really cares about - so it seems... this is a relative win for the social media platform...

Storm propagation may offset ... ?

Notable clearing axis punching east through the region with certain haste. Probably ( west to east ) we're going partly sunny with inevitable temperature response, over the next 1.5 hours. This time of year... combining a diffused warm frontal/sector entry, with 2pm sun, may still make after work softball games dicey. You know this ... just sayin. The heat advisory may bust however. Not sure, is that even still posted?

These are notable observations, however 'coupling' and correlations, et al, often do wonder apart at this time of year. It's hard to know how much decoupling is 'normal' in that sense, because it's an inferred metric - thus are we more or less normally decoupled, in other words. I will say this.. personal observation is that we've had an overly active summer variant polar jet, with unusually well formed R-wave signals when that typically breaks more nebular by mid summer. That would sort of fracture the correlation and set up regions that look more and less ... but either wouldn't really be causally linked ( as much so ) ultimately to ENSO

Yeah, the MJO guys published thoughts like that recently… Saying that, even though the deep layer is kind of sketchy the MDR may become active - implicitly extraordinary thermal Stowes in the oceanic basin, may overwhelm. I mean… It’s kind of a hot dog thing to say, but eventually something’s gotta give there - right ? I don’t know… It sounds exciting to think that way, but you still need the mechanics. Otherwise the heat will just gain and gather. I think the Labrador current story is actually the greater one anyway. I mean those shallow Floridian tuck waters in and near the bite between the keys and the bottom of the peninsula always go Red Sea at this time of year… Actually more like August sure. And don’t get me wrong. They’re above normal and it’s impressive. But in terms of climatology … relative to? Extending anomalies 12° above normal over area the size of Texas blows that Florida stuff away.

Nothing compares. Nothing compares, to you. RIP

Also, may not be the time or place but don't sell that bully cold front short on Saturday - ... that looks like higher bulk shear to me.

Sort of an o/t comment ... ... I've never seen so many thunderstorm days PRECEDING a warmup, in this geographical region, as I have seen this summer. In fact, the frequency of that sort of thing begin increasing three summers ago. More this summer. Now, we're clocking strongly worded Slights out of Norman and the next day the heat and humidity is there. It's something I always used to count on at this latitude, back in my Michigan years and here in New England. Siggy storm days always preceded cooler and less humid days. That's an interesting shift in synoptic behavior, I think.

Evolution's 2nd greatest blunder after the dinosaurs: the brain

I mean ( ^ ) ... a marine heat wave IN one of one of the coldest mid latitude oceanic conveyors of cold water on the entire planet? That is nothing shy of shocking. Yet, silent to all but the salient in such matters. That is what is going to machine our demise as a species ( ... and we'll take down countless others along with us...)