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fountainguy97

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Everything posted by fountainguy97

  1. fountainguy97
    Yeah as usual the risk is for these to all cut. That's been the theme more or less this winter. Let's see if we can get some blocking pressure to hold these south. I'm doubtful for now. Feel like these setups general like to bleed north vs south.
  2. fountainguy97
    Yeah looks like models are picking up on some noise for those two. First system doesn't have much cold air to work with. Second one is the higher percentage but both are on the table. Nice to see all models hinting around for that timeframe.
  3. fountainguy97
    The 180-210 timeframe has a small potential. Looks very cutter-esque though.
  4. fountainguy97
    Still snowing lightly this morning. Tiny flakes. Moisture getting thin.
  5. fountainguy97
    Safe to say HRRR was out to lunch. I'm pleasantly surprised. Ground smoothing over. Probably end up with 3-4" when all said and done.
  6. fountainguy97
    Absurd
  7. fountainguy97
    Absolutely pouring snow right now. Beautiful
  8. fountainguy97
    Still 32.5 lol nice rates though!
  9. fountainguy97
    Radar looks GREAT right as night falls. Let's see who can rack up.
  10. fountainguy97
    Man just can't get to 32 for anything here. Back to 33.1. Grrrr
  11. fountainguy97
    Getting absolutely blasted by graupel. Roads covered instantly
  12. fountainguy97
    Full on graupel squall last 30 min. Daytime and temp above 32 limiting accum. But as soon as we get toward evening this will stack quickly if there is any left
  13. fountainguy97
    Daytime, temps above 32, warmer ground, and spotty nature of snowfall doesn't bode well for much accumulation throughout the day. Hopefully we have plenty of moisture tonight! 37 and rain here currently.
  14. fountainguy97
    Hard for me to get onboard with the hrrr being so dry. I feel like this one may slip through our hands even for NW areas. Of course the tip top peaks will score but hrrr keeps most areas with a dusting at best.
  15. fountainguy97
    Wind picking up here slowly. hrrr is extremely unimpressed for Unicoi county. Barely gives me a dusting.. it's not the best on qpf outside 12hrs or so. But it's got me very conservative this afternoon.
  16. fountainguy97
  17. fountainguy97
    Models holding steady this morning. For my back yard NAM and HRRR both advertise an extreme cutoff with about an inch for me. Hoping to squeeze that out!
  18. fountainguy97
    RGEM follows suite with a cutoff trough just like NAM.
  19. fountainguy97
    Let's keep this trend going. The more neutral and cutoff we can get the more moisture we will have to work with.
  20. fountainguy97
    Great trends at 500mb.
  21. fountainguy97
  22. fountainguy97
    Wow NAM even better at 500mb. This is a doozy. man closed off ULL at hr 51. This thing is cranking big time on NAM. Going to be some big totals.
  23. fountainguy97
    I'm hungry for flakes
  24. fountainguy97
    Figured we can keep the main topic clean and talk about the weekend here. 18Z NAM tilted our trough much more neutral vs positive which is really helping to stack up significant qpf across the NW prone regions. Every tick more neutral will add to totals quietly. Even a good bit of moisture up to 700mb now. RGEM is on board as well. High mountains should see 6+ easily in a setup like this. Should see some thunder as well with temps in the upper 60s, DPs in the upper 50s, and Cape into the 500 range. Exciting weekend ahead!
  25. fountainguy97
    12z NAM family looks great. 24-36hrs of NWSF. Some streamers across the valley too.
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