TWCCraig
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Everything posted by TWCCraig
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Sun came out about a half hour ago. The sky is actually a nice deep blue for once, no smoke
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The June 1st - June 17th period for NYC ranks as the 55th coolest since 1869. More significant cooler periods in recent years are 2006, 2009, and 2012, all of which were cooler than the first 17 days of June 2023. 1998, 2003, and 2009 all featured significantly cooler weather than this June so far, and those 3 rank as the coolest June 1st- June 17th period in the past 40 years respectively. The table below shows the ranks from 1980 to present. NYC is ranked at 10 since 1980. Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Jun 17 Missing Count 1 1998-06-17 64.6 0 2 2003-06-17 64.8 0 3 2009-06-17 64.9 0 4 1982-06-17 65.5 0 5 1997-06-17 66.0 0 6 2006-06-17 67.4 0 7 2012-06-17 67.5 0 8 2002-06-17 67.6 0 9 1980-06-17 67.8 0 10 2023-06-17 68.4 0
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Just missed the storm by a mile to my west, a little breezy here Had more thunderstorms these past 2 weeks than all of last summer
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Tired of these milky-gray smokey skies already. Almost everyday this June has either been cloudy or smokey. I think we've only had like one or two fully clear days
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You can notice on days with smoke in the sky the temperatures are a bit slower to rise in the morning. It would be equivalent to the sun rising 10-20 minutes later than it is. I wonder how much cooling the smoke has had over the past several weeks. Albeit probably not a whole lot in the grand scheme of things, but you can't argue temps wouldn't be slightly warmer if we had 100% full sun.
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If I checked correctly, the last time NYC had 3 consecutive months below normal was 8 years ago January-March 2015
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It's mostly mid to high level clouds, but there still is some smoke aloft which is probably promoting more clouds at those levels with the additional condensation nuclei. There is also a small amount of smoke near the surface still
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That's the coldest snapshot though, it's a full blown ridge after that. I wouldn't be surprised if it got pushed back though
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Weeklies are still a torch for July. They have not backed down. This is the coldest snapshot from yesterday's run. I expect the weeklies to adjust and show more cooler weather in this time frame, but still well above normal for the month
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Interestingly, I was on the north shore when I posted that. Seems that there's pockets of thicker smoke in certain areas. Visibility down to 2.5 miles at ISP, though it doesn't look as bad now as it was before (I'm back on the south shore now), the smoke was thick earlier. I was very surprised given how clear it was around noon/late morning And yes, the sea breeze would bring in more smoke as there's less mixing out
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Looks like the visibility is going down a little bit outhere. Still very smoky when looking into the distance. Visibility was around 8 miles at ISP around 1pm, now it's down to 3 miles
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Still in the thick of it on LI. Hasn't improved yet. Street lights coming on
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Visibilities less than a mile now. Looks unreal outside. Everything is orange, the smell is strong. Unreal
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Unbelievable, never seen smoke this thick before in my life. This is insane!
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Getting very intense and close lightning strikes even though radar returns are moderate at best. Lots of lightning today
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Missed the hail, still decent thunderstorm. Never seen hail in my life here
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Picked up 0.14". Needed more but it'll do for now. Just glad to see some rain
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Temps climbing slower than usual. Smoke is blocking out most of the sun. Lots of near ground smoke too, can see it in the distance
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Maybe you guys need some better insulation! I had the window open last night, coldest it got was 64 inside. Hoping these clouds break up soon
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Tons of new fires popping up, now in eastern Canada. A lot of places, arguably a large chunk of North America are experiencing drier than normal conditions, and places north of here are well above average with 90's well into Canada. Tons of fuel for fires to develop and keep going. Only places that have been wetter than normal are the extreme Southeast and just east of the Rockies. I don't think I've ever seen so many fires burning in eastern Canada, western yes, but eastern Canada is typically cooler and wetter in the spring. All we can hope for is some rain!
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
TWCCraig replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
I expect another above average summer. It's almost impossible to have a below average one nowadays. 2014 was "cool" but really lacked any significant heat. 2009 was the last real cool summer around here. Every year since then has been near average to above average. When in doubt, you could always go above average and you'll be right more often than wrong. FWIW, Euro seasonal and weeklies have a ridge building over the central US come July with cooler than normal temps to our NE. Interested to see if this verifies, or just model noise.
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Forecast for today is sunny, but today is akin to a day with tons of high level clouds/cirrus due to all the smoke in the sky from the wildfires. It gives that dull, gloomy feeling to what should be a sunny day. Bummer
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Beautiful day, 78 degrees. Take note, those "clouds" to our northeast are not clouds but smoke from wildfires raging in Alberta and British Columbia in Canada. Impressively thick smoke from thousands of miles away
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HRDPS has 95 for BDL (Windsor Locks), Connecticut tomorrow. BDL is sitting at 92 right now so mid 90's for tomorrow would be a good bet there. Crazy to be talking temps near 100 degrees in New England in April
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Solid 80 degrees here still with good breeze off the water
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