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TWCCraig

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  1. TWCCraig
    1.5" OTG Snow/sleet mix
  2. TWCCraig
    Most roads covered except avenues and highways. Even those have some snow. Dumping
  3. TWCCraig
    Heavy snow and breezy
  4. TWCCraig
    Solid coating down Moderate snow
  5. TWCCraig
    Mostly snow now!
  6. TWCCraig
    Just drove down the Sagtikos, middle of island is mostly snow. Once I got to the south shore it was mostly sleet
  7. TWCCraig
    No leafout but silver maples are budding and daffodils are sprouting
  8. TWCCraig
    The difference is probably resulting from using different climate averages. Tropical tidbits looks to be using CFSR 1981-2010, Weatherbell is using ECMWF ERA-5 1991-2020. Weathermodels.com appears to be using some 20-year average. The differences could also be resulting from whether it's a instantaneous snapshot of temperature anomalies, or the average of the anomalies over the past 6 to 12 hours
  9. TWCCraig
    High of 69 and dropping now with increasing clouds and a sea breeze, so I've never got into the 70's but glad to see ISP's record fall. HRRR, RGEM, HRDPS did great with temps today
  10. TWCCraig
    ISP at 69 Officially breaks the all-time warmest February temp on record. Original record was 68 set last year
  11. TWCCraig
    Most sites on Long Island are 60+ already except Montauk. Already exceeding the lower-end model forecasts for today. RGEM, HRDPS, HRRR had the right idea. HRRR has 71 later for ISP. Would be the all-time record. We'll see, we have clouds and the sea breeze which could easily prevent that
  12. TWCCraig
    HRRR has 70's tomorrow before some late afternoon rain moves in
  13. TWCCraig
  14. TWCCraig
    If NYC doesn't get 8 more freezes by the end of the month, this winter (Dec-Feb) will have the fewest number of minimum temperatures below 32 degrees on record. NYC has 24 so far December through February Rank Season Number of Days Min Temperature <= 32 Missing Count 1 2022-2023 24 18 2 1997-1998 32 0 3 2011-2012 33 0 4 2016-2017 35 0 - 2001-2002 35 0 6 2015-2016 36 0 7 2019-2020 38 0 - 1931-1932 38 0 9 1998-1999 41 0 10 1982-1983 42 0 If we count the whole season from fall to spring, 2012 looks tough to beat but top 5 is very possible October 1st through May 10th Rank Ending Date Number of Days Min Temperature <= 32 Oct 1 to May 10 Missing Count 1 2023-05-10 27 89 2 2012-05-10 37 0 3 2002-05-10 47 0 4 2020-05-10 48 0 - 2016-05-10 48 0 6 2017-05-10 49 0 - 1998-05-10 49 0 8 1999-05-10 52 0 9 1983-05-10 53 0 10 1991-05-10 54 0
  15. TWCCraig
    60 and sunny Awesome day
  16. TWCCraig
    It wasn't the radiational cooling this time, it was cold air advection. The core of the cold was to our north & east, so places north & east saw colder temps than those further west.
  17. TWCCraig
    3.6 for the low here The maps from the Euro a few days ago showing well below 0 here didn't verify, but we ended up colder than models like the GFS/CMC. A blend of these models had the best forecast. I recently pointed out how the Euro was too cold, particularly over the ocean. Case in point, this morning 6z Euro initialized with -15 for Provincetown on Cape Cod. However, the coldest it got there was around -4. It's interesting that this model has some sort issue when extremely cold air masses move over water. It doesn't make sense for it to be -15 in Provincetown, but only -10 in Boston.
  18. TWCCraig
    Euro is still way too cold. Pretty amazing that 24 hours out it'll have a forecast for -17 in Provincetown, on Cape Cod, surrounded by water. In fact, the Euro has the entire Gulf of Maine below 0 all the way to the 40/70. It's not going to get that cold over 40+ degree ocean.
  19. TWCCraig
    We need the 31st to stay above freezing the entire day which may be tough. Otherwise it would be a tie
  20. TWCCraig
    Pretty cool sky for a winter day. Sunshine and dark ominous clouds to the north
  21. TWCCraig
    26 coldest temp so far this January. Absolutely unreal. Reminds me a bit of December 2015, even though that was warmer compared to normal.
  22. TWCCraig
    Finally getting some snow here
  23. TWCCraig
    Still no freezes yet in NYC this January. This could make a run for top 3. Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Year Number of Days Min Temperature <= 32 Missing Count 1 2023 0 19 2 1932 4 0 3 2006 10 0 - 1990 10 0 5 2020 11 0 - 2002 11 0 - 1933 11 0 8 2017 12 0 - 1950 12 1 10 2012 13 0 - 1998 13 0 12 1880 14 0 13 1937 15 0 - 1906 15 0 15 2021 16 0
  24. TWCCraig
    This has been trending west for some time now
  25. TWCCraig
    NYC will definitely make a run for the fewest amount of minimum temperatures below 32 in January. Might not see a freeze until the end of the month. Insane to think about, what is usually the coldest month of the year that we can't even get a single freeze
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