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Everything posted by TWCCraig
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Probably 70s out here, but I agree it should be nice. This week was always supposed to be iffy. We'll probably get good weather just in time for the smoke to ruin it
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Departures from normal through May 25th: NYC: -0.2 LGA: +0.4 JFK: +2.9 ISP: +2.6 BDR: +0.7 EWR: +1.7 Interesting spread
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NYC's average monthly low for May is 44 degrees (1991-2020). NYC had their coldest temperature of the month yesterday 3+ weeks in at 47 degrees. The average lowest temperature from 5/20-5/31 is 51.4 (1991-2020)
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Despite the wind, the past couple of days had near perfect weather. Feels like a fall morning but with the bonus of a longer day and higher sun angle. Someone the other day mentioned Gypsy moths, you can see where they're taking over. Lots of defoliation occurring in some areas
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Here we had two separate downburst thunderstorms come through in 2019, one in late June and one in August. Both caused extensive damage in the area. Radar estimated 80mph winds. Two severe storms in one season and it's been quiet ever since. I remember we got a decent thunderstorm in December last year lol
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Couple ongoing right now in Saskatchewan and Manitoba, this satellite pic was taken yesterday, fires circled in red, orange dots
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Little bit of elevated smoke from Canadian wildfires this morning. Thankfully not more
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Always interesting when a "cold" front comes through in the spring on LI, temps went from the upper 50's last night to near 70 in the early morning once the front passed. There's a bit of elevated smoke in the sky on the visible satellite, noticeable over PA. It is moving south with clearer air to our north
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Down to 70 already after a high of 79. Sea breeze cooling off the south shore fast
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AI can only be so good as the data and observations that go into it. Less input data, more inaccuracy. Clouds are holding back temps a bit here. Need them to thin out to get into the 70's here and 80's inland.
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I'm not saying that asking for average temps is a stretch but everyday isn't average, especially with how springs (particularly April) are around here it's tough to expect sustained nice weather. I'm just saying if it was a week of 75+, not many would complain.
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I hope so. If it's 65 and sunny I'll gladly take that, but there's always the possibility of backdoor fronts, clouds, and wind
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Don't know how much stock to put into it, but the weeklies are below average for most of May, and they were below average for most of April too
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It's a problem when a 75+ degree day in March is talked about like it's "just a nice spring day", but 40 and rain in April is "well below average". I think some have an unrealistic expectation that the weather should be 60+ daily in the spring and that just isn't the case in the northeast. People do want warmer weather which is part of the reason why many move south. I always look at the record lows and see how much colder it could be, that should be put into perspective when people want to talk about how cold it is. It's been said before, people are getting used to the warmer weather. The general public wouldn't bat an eye if April was +3, but they would if it was -3, that's for sure.
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67 here, 53 two miles to my east, the real BDCF. First front that came through was more like a sea breeze, from the north shore...
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Up to 79 with west wind, front should be here very soon Absolutely wild how much warmer it is right now on the south shore than the north shore
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The HRRR had this well modeled as well, only difference was the NAM never showed 80+ degrees, classic lol Interesting enough, the sea breeze actually got pushed back, my winds are now due west
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77 50 in Kings Park, meanwhile it still in the 70's out to Shirley
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77 with SW winds. The front is coming through faster over the water than it is on land, as modeled. Should have another hour or so of warmth
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Briefly peaked at 82, sea breeze just came through but we still have SW flow so temps aren't falling dramatically
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66 so far, clouds beginning to clear so temps should sky rocket. Westhampton already at 70. Winds are coming from the W to WSW so that's good for us on LI, should be warm until at least 5 or 6pm