TWCCraig
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Everything posted by TWCCraig
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Over 2" here and still coming down
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Deluge here. Non stop lightning and thunder. Largest puddles I've seen in a while. Actually the whole street is flooded with how fast it's coming down now
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Aware, just noting the fact it returns here Monday aloft. I don't like our days being hazed over with smoke. It blocks out the sun, makes the sky look dull and gray as if it was cloudy, and actually keeps temps down a little.
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Smoke returns to the skies starting Monday according to the RAP. I hate this stuff!
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Barely got to 0.05" last night. Everything missed to my east. This was always a possible outcome though. Some models had no rain at all. It should almost be expected this time of year out here.
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Yep, getting some rain now with these pop up showers. The best should come later tonight for Long Island
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Extended summer stormlover74 future snow hole banter thread 23
TWCCraig replied to BxEngine's topic in New York City Metro
From what I'm seeing, most of the rain was always forecast to come tonight out here, yet everyone thinks it's a bust because it's not raining yet -
Hi-res models have some rain coming in overnight tonight into early tomorrow morning, looks like that will be the main event out here if it unfolds. I don't think we see much during the day today or tomorrow afternoon other than isolated showers
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It's always a thing. The south shore is typically more stable with onshore flow than the north shore. The north shore averages more rain in the summer. Clouds and storms will fire along the sea breeze boundary which will often be near the LIE or just north of it.
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Actually, the Euro has upper 80's and 90's Tuesday-Thursday. GFS is 90+ Tuesday through Friday, for the city of course.
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Noticable gust front came through. Might see a quick little shower before it's over
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Storms are always going to be hit or miss this time of year. I expect a thunderstorm or two but not an all day washout. Maybe the sea breeze front saves the south shore today. Not the most ideal weather for the 4th but I think it's crazy to constantly cancel things because of the chance of rain. There's a chance of rain in Florida everyday, that doesn't stop them!
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2PM: EWR: 91 LGA: 89 NYC: 87 FRG: 87 JFK: 86
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The models, as of yesterday, had a period of sun for today, some had places in NJ hitting 90 like yesterday's 18z HRRR. We knew there was going to be an initial batch of showers this morning associated with the warm front, and we knew there is potential for decent convection in the evening hours. To be fair, it's not really a bust.
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Raining... again!
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Beautiful day out here. Temps upper 70's and low 80's and bright sunshine with a sea breeze. Cloudy this morning, but sunny all day with towering cumulonimbus clouds to my north. Almost a typical summertime day minus a couple degrees
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Huge difference between you and me and were only a mile or two apart. Full sunshine here
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Fully clear here, no daytime heating clouds with the sea breeze, though I expect clouds and fog to return this evening
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Sun came out about a half hour ago. The sky is actually a nice deep blue for once, no smoke
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The June 1st - June 17th period for NYC ranks as the 55th coolest since 1869. More significant cooler periods in recent years are 2006, 2009, and 2012, all of which were cooler than the first 17 days of June 2023. 1998, 2003, and 2009 all featured significantly cooler weather than this June so far, and those 3 rank as the coolest June 1st- June 17th period in the past 40 years respectively. The table below shows the ranks from 1980 to present. NYC is ranked at 10 since 1980. Click column heading to sort ascending, click again to sort descending. Rank Ending Date Mean Avg Temperature Jun 1 to Jun 17 Missing Count 1 1998-06-17 64.6 0 2 2003-06-17 64.8 0 3 2009-06-17 64.9 0 4 1982-06-17 65.5 0 5 1997-06-17 66.0 0 6 2006-06-17 67.4 0 7 2012-06-17 67.5 0 8 2002-06-17 67.6 0 9 1980-06-17 67.8 0 10 2023-06-17 68.4 0
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Just missed the storm by a mile to my west, a little breezy here Had more thunderstorms these past 2 weeks than all of last summer
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Tired of these milky-gray smokey skies already. Almost everyday this June has either been cloudy or smokey. I think we've only had like one or two fully clear days
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You can notice on days with smoke in the sky the temperatures are a bit slower to rise in the morning. It would be equivalent to the sun rising 10-20 minutes later than it is. I wonder how much cooling the smoke has had over the past several weeks. Albeit probably not a whole lot in the grand scheme of things, but you can't argue temps wouldn't be slightly warmer if we had 100% full sun.
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If I checked correctly, the last time NYC had 3 consecutive months below normal was 8 years ago January-March 2015
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It's mostly mid to high level clouds, but there still is some smoke aloft which is probably promoting more clouds at those levels with the additional condensation nuclei. There is also a small amount of smoke near the surface still
