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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=500h_anom&rh=2025010218&fh=198&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  2. mitchnick
    Gunna be real close. N stream heading down and starting to interact at 192hrs
  3. mitchnick
    That's because of this vort at 96. It opens up 6 hours later, but still vigorous.
  4. mitchnick
    Fyi, precip panels from Icon ensembles. Look at the precip in PA vs DC/BWI. Operational Icon on crack.
  5. mitchnick
    Rgem says relax.
  6. mitchnick
    Now that's covering your azz.
  7. mitchnick
    Having a real hard time buying into this 1-2" stuff. But, hopefully I'm wrong. It's tough when you become a crotchety, old entitled man, but I've come to embrace it.
  8. mitchnick
    Meh. There's always a reason for any area of the MA to fail if you're looking for one. I don't think an unproven, experimental model would be my choice imho.
  9. mitchnick
    Gfs https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=snku_acc-imp&rh=2025010212&fh=36&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  10. mitchnick
    I should note, Icon has this from tomorrow's clipper and would be deducted from the map I posted, which results in a hellava even distribution across the area. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?rh=2025010212&fh=72&dpdt=&mc=&r=us_ma&p=snku_acc-imp&m=icon
  11. mitchnick
  12. mitchnick
    Snow should wrap back around with that 5H
  13. mitchnick
    That's not bad https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=500hv&rh=2025010212&fh=102&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  14. mitchnick
    6"+ from DCA north
  15. mitchnick
    Precipitate water looks like a nice injection incoming too.
  16. mitchnick
    Nam is pretty good with temps, upstairs and down, when inside 24hrs. Occasionally, it gets it right at longer ranges. The problem is, it's unreliability keeps you guessing whether this is the time it'll be right at 48-60 hours or not. At least, that's my weenie assessment.
  17. mitchnick
    Don't get me wrong, it's a dream depiction for just the reason you stated. I've just found, at least when I lived near BWI, it often over forecasted snow to my despair. Lol
  18. mitchnick
    The problem with the HRRR, is that it's the HRRR. I hope to God it's right though. Lol
  19. mitchnick
  20. mitchnick
    The heavier stripe along the PD/MD border is from an alleged 1-2" on Friday.
  21. mitchnick
  22. mitchnick
  23. mitchnick
    Much sharper vort. Closed withv2 isobars vs open at 12z
  24. mitchnick
    Better move before it occludes
  25. mitchnick
    Give Atlantic vort more time to move
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