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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Down to random flakes but radar says 2 more wesker bands are close by. We'll see.
  2. Looking at radar, I think I'll be stuck at or under an additional inch.
  3. 18z run comparison of Euro, Gfs, and Ukie at 66hrs since that's as far out as Ukie run goes on Pivotal.
  4. Nice dendrites that are covering everything nicely.
  5. Here you go Heisey. 12z Gem at 90hrs top and 18z Gem at 84hrs along with a link for all 18z Gem if you're looking for something to do. Lol https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&mod=cmc_gdps
  6. Good. Eastern shores of MD/DE have had enough. Lol
  7. That dry air from that Atlantic storm that hurt us in the first place is still doing it's dirty work with weakening the bands creating lulls (in addition tonthe mts.) Unless that big band to my NW performs, the rest of these areas of snow moving SE are not going to do better than a coating. Incredible how hard it is to snow. And it's always been that way in the Mid Atlantic.
  8. Snows picking up here with a fast coating. 1-2" would be nice for sure.
  9. They all have their problems and perform at different levels for each. For whatever reason, the Euro has performed 50/50 on last minute runs while I've been up here and it's always too high. I hate it with a passion. Lol
  10. You mean the Euro that gave us 5.5-6" in its last run before the flakes started to fly? Lol
  11. At 60hrs Gfs holding back that energy vs 12z. Ocean vort off Atlantic is pishing westwardca lobe it seems.
  12. I wonder which one over there is the snow weenie.
  13. Radar looking better again. 18z Rgem gives us between .5-2". I always thought Rap and Hrrr lousy, and I'm reassured by today my prior thought were closer to right than wrong.
  14. Heisey loves it, and Heisey knows his stuff, but I hate everything associated the the Euro. Lol
  15. If the Icon took a decent step at 18z, maybe others will follow and Gfs hold.
  16. Kicker on the Icon will be a thorn in future runs I bet. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=500h_anom&rh=2025010618&fh=114&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  17. None of the models were perfect and they never will be. The vaunted Euro had me at 6" on last night's 0z run and I got 3". So a forecast from 3 days vs 12 hrs with same degree of error is better. Plus, Nam did better in other areas, so you can't judge it from yby.
  18. Beginning 72 hrs out from start time, I don't think the Nam did that bad with today's event.
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