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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    If a better MR model was coming out now, we would. But this is it.
  2. mitchnick
    It's starting the move toward us further west. That's good
  3. mitchnick
    Gfs is pulling that cut off out. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=prateptype_cat-imp&rh=2025010300&fh=177&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  4. mitchnick
    5H short wave goes thru central VA. There will be great ratios with that Ala 2/10/10.
  5. mitchnick
    The vort moved so slow it just over amplified into oblivion.
  6. mitchnick
    Same map!
  7. mitchnick
    Yeah, I was a little surprised you didn't seem to like it. One more minor adjustment south and ur 9-10"
  8. mitchnick
  9. mitchnick
    Snow still falling at 102hrs, but light.
  10. mitchnick
    I does sometimes. System last Januarywas supposed to snow 4" then change to ip/or. 6z run of Nam cought the warm wedge and none of the other models did until some at 12z, after it started. Euro never cought on.
  11. mitchnick
    Icon rolling. A little faster than 18z thru 54 hrs.
  12. mitchnick
    Plenty more snow to come after 84 hrs on the Nam courtesy this ball in KY. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=nam&p=500hv&rh=2025010300&fh=84&r=us_ma&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 If you touch Dca to get a sounding at 78 hrs then move it to 84, you go from zr to sleet at 84 hrs as the column cools. With that vort moving east, that changeover to snow would probably be over an hour later.
  13. mitchnick
    Yeah, they always do.
  14. mitchnick
    Why's that Heisy?
  15. mitchnick
  16. mitchnick
    Good luck down there. After a lifetime of being on the short end of the stick in AA County 95% of the time, I know the despair. Good luck.
  17. mitchnick
    18z Ukie Has to be off its rocker.
  18. mitchnick
    You can't do that to Short Pump.
  19. mitchnick
    Wouldn't be surprised if that northern stripe above the PA line doesn't extend east in future runs.
  20. mitchnick
  21. mitchnick
    Day 15 and look what the Gfs still has over Greenland. Lol Not saying it's right, but that feature just doesn't want to leave. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=500h_anom&rh=2025010218&fh=366&r=nh&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  22. mitchnick
    Closed wave passing to our south (central VA) was 2/10/10.
  23. mitchnick
    Hey, it's a weekend. What are we doing? Of course it's going to snow bigly!
  24. mitchnick
    Need that N stream to sharpen up a little.
  25. mitchnick
    Radar returns creeping north. I vote yes. Don't know the extent of it tho. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=gfs&p=refcmp&rh=2025010218&fh=204&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
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