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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Not 1 seasonal at any time as far as I can recall had anything but a solid AN for December. The change, if it's coming, would be/start sometime in January.
  2. mitchnick
    3.5" imby
  3. mitchnick
    If you're practicing for winter early, trust me when I say you don't need the practice. Geez, at least wait until it can reasonably snow throughout the area, and that will likely be a while this year.
  4. mitchnick
    Euro Copernicus temps D, J, F & M. Precip AN along the east coast similar to Euro seasonal.
  5. mitchnick
    Euro forecast looks similar to Cfs2 in 3, 3.4 and 4 interestingly. I guess we wait to see what happens.
  6. mitchnick
    Fading blue sky overhead with some tow I'm seeing some fading blue sky overhead with the dark clouds to my south.
  7. mitchnick
    Ninja'd!
  8. mitchnick
    Lots of thunder headed towards mby that's currently in Carroll County.
  9. mitchnick
    2.4" on the dot
  10. mitchnick
    Yes, but if you use the slide function to put the forecast in motion, the cooler waters are making a bee-line east. Should they continue after the end of the forecast period (7/27), you'd probably at least end up with a La Nada next winter, if not a weak Niña imho. I guess the question then is why wouldn't the cooler waters continue east? https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=global&pkg=ssta&runtime=2026101100&fh=1
  11. mitchnick
    This is what the 12z Gfs drops after 2pm today.
  12. mitchnick
    I was just out in it. Feel like and old, wet rag. Meanwhile, it continues to pour.
  13. mitchnick
    Probably some torrential downpours to get us to those totals.
  14. mitchnick
    Eps (top) and Eps Aifs hold strong.
  15. mitchnick
    18z Gfs. 18z AI Gfs on the bottom.
  16. mitchnick
    Wow. EPS AIFS
  17. mitchnick
    Yikes! Under the yellow (probably @TSSN+too!) @psuhoffman into the tan!!! Hope it's typical Euro overdone.
  18. mitchnick
    So that is code for you predicting another 2013/14 winter? On an even less serious note, tons of acorns up here, the most in many, many years according to a neighbor who's a life-long Hanover resident in his 70's.
  19. mitchnick
    You just can't get over Pearl Harbor.
  20. mitchnick
    Exhibit A as to why it's being retired.
  21. mitchnick
    You shouldn't be trying to wiggle at your age anyway! (Hi Kettle!!!)
  22. mitchnick
    Yep. I said as much in the MA forum the other day. I know how it rolls down here.
  23. mitchnick
    I agree about the HR hitter coming to bat, but I don't think we can rule out other light or moderate chances with the advertised precip anomalies on all modeling.
  24. mitchnick
    In January, 1979, several of us hiked up to Chimney Rock. I remember I brought a thermometer with me. It was 21 at the top. I specifically recall lamenting while up there about the lack of snow that winter despite the cold. Little did I know that a week or so later we would have 3 snowstorms in a row starting the end of January and culminating with PDI. Oh the memories of a weenie.
  25. mitchnick
    That map I posted was the run-to-run change between September and October Euro seasonal. The actual snowfall anomaly map is above and that shows AN in that location.
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