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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. Never forget the Dgex victory a week+ before 2/6/10 & 2/10/10. It had us down for 36" and we all laughed.
  2. I don't think the storm would be ending fast on the Icon despite that surface map. If you look at the 700mb RH and wind direction along with 500mb vorticity, I think snow would linger. Here are the links. https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=700rh&rh=2026010812&fh=180&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1 https://www.pivotalweather.com/model.php?m=icon&p=500hv&rh=2026010812&fh=180&r=conus&dpdt=&mc=&pwplus=1
  3. Icon at 162hrs looks not so bad. Let's see how it goes.
  4. You can get SSTA maps and figures here. Use the Oisst instead of CRW under the "Option" as it's more accurate. https://cyclonicwx.com/sst/
  5. It may be the Geps, but that's actually pretty!
  6. I agree on the first part, but none of the ensembles are going truly warm. If it changes, so be it.
  7. Even I'm not worried about the operational Gfs at the end of its run as ensembles are not warm.
  8. That's just my convincing, lawyerly way. Lol Seriously, in my literally 54 years as a weenie, winters need to prove themselves. This winter has proved itself to have a lousy, overall pattern. Sure, it can change, but until we get that hit, the proof remains the same.
  9. Are you saying it's a great pattern? I mean we've gone probably a week with ensembles spitting out <1" of snow during peak climo. I'm speaking truth...it's been a lousy pattern.
  10. We are snake bit with this lousy pattern that has established itself this winter.
  11. Might go back to snow, but it's an unbelievable scenario.
  12. With the High Pressure pulling off the Virginia coast, you knew we had no chance.
  13. GGEM has more potential. Let's see what happens.
  14. Meh, a little too far south for my liking.
  15. Yeah, if the Gfs can dip and then hook that storm NE, it may get big near the coast.
  16. It's doing that already on the Icon, but may be too strong and/or unable/unwilling to move. Even if it cooperates, however, we still need the vort controlling our storm to cooperate as well. Iow, the Canadian vortex is only 1/2 of our problem.
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