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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Problem with precip too as the storm abruptly exits stage right. Iow, same problem as all winter north of central VA.
  2. mitchnick
    I think you can see differences better with the 5H anomaly maps. That said, the 2 runs are pretty different, but we'll drive ourselves crazy doing this every 6 hours between now and next Sunday.
  3. mitchnick
    One thing is for sure, both Gfs and Euro ops wanna' bring back the cold before the end of their runs.
  4. mitchnick
    If you factor in the Euro's proclivity to over amplify at this range and consider the seasonal trend as exhibited on the Gfs suite, I'd say you have the Icon solution.
  5. mitchnick
    No shock in light of the Ukie as they seem to think alike.
  6. mitchnick
    EuroAI with the same garbage, just a bit warmer.
  7. mitchnick
    Gefs majority keep it south.
  8. mitchnick
    It's worth a pic. Lol
  9. mitchnick
    Funny thing is, the Gfs, GfsAI, and Gefs bring out a stronger system and have it pass to our west. Geps, on the other hand, is what we want.
  10. mitchnick
    In that regard, 6z Eps did improve over 0z with the stronger wave and the trough off the east coast moving out quicker. Enough? Who knows at this point.
  11. mitchnick
    I was just going to mention that, but look how it changed since 0z. How can it be considered, let alone trusted, for more than 6 hours?
  12. mitchnick
    Bottom line, forecasts beyond a few days stink.
  13. mitchnick
    6z Gfs a warmer version of last month.
  14. mitchnick
    It was warm. I was in Annapolis that evening worried about temps, staring at a flag pole concerned as well about wind direction while sitting at the bar. Lol Nowadays, I would just be staring at my phone for temps and wind. But not knowing was part of the fun.
  15. mitchnick
    We'll be lucky if it's not south of South Carolina the way things have been going this year.
  16. mitchnick
    Looking at the Eps, fwiw, there definitely is a signal for both next weekend and the Cape storm.
  17. mitchnick
    When they stop painting blue over them, ahem...I mean us.
  18. mitchnick
    What's the panel before this look like? Thanks
  19. mitchnick
    I swear I'm seeing January 6, 1996 ready to be replayed on, none other than, the 384hr panel of the Gfs. Lol
  20. mitchnick
    Cape will be happy to see his 2/20 Blizzard on the GfsAI. Edit: favors northern areas but still a ton of snow based on TT maps
  21. mitchnick
    GfsAI is a warm frontal passage as slp heads to the Lakes. Lol Edit: looks like some snow before any change
  22. mitchnick
    So??? Winter's not over.
  23. mitchnick
    Lots of feasts or famine on individual members.
  24. mitchnick
    Similar result to what the GfsAI would likely look like cobbling together the TT maps.
  25. mitchnick
    The Eps, Gefs and Geps snowfall thru day 10 look supportive of a storm favoring western locations (similar to EuroAI to my eyes). Geps is the look we've seen all winter favoring VA. How long until the Eps and Gefs look like Geps? Lol
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