mitchnick

3k not as far west, but west of 18z.

I'm not disagreeing per se, there were some other comments and I just wanted to explain my brief post. To jump 10 degrees from 12z was enough to fook us was my only point. But, it'll be different come 0z, so fook it again!

3k Nam also with 2.5"

0z Rap likes us too!

Yeah, look how the 0z Hrrr loves Hanover with those 2.5" dabs.

It's very warmish. 18z had us in the mid and Upper 40's and 12z had us in the mid to upper 30's. I couldn't explain my post because I was walking into a meeting. 12z had a 1-2" event for many, but with temps 10 degrees warmer, hence my comment that it fooked us.

18z euro fooks us at the end of the run.

AiGfs looks juicy. I think it's mostly snow away from the beach?

Flurries imby fwiw

Look at radar. Snow aloft. Looks and feels like it too. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=LWX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad

I'm trying to get myself from looking beyond 24 hours before this "hobby" kills me! Lol

Rap looks nice for many.

Maybe if the Gfs could pump out multiple runs in a row showing similar results, it could be believed. The run-to-run inconsistencies are abhorrent. And in case you're wondering where I got that word, my wife has been using it a lot lately.

Nam replacement

3k Nam closer to reality probably.

One at a time! Lol

Like steaks in a crummy restaurant...a bit overdone.

Gotta hand it to the 2 Canadians. They've had this threat for days with only minor adjustments.

I'll take it, but I've never seen a system like this with snowfall inland. More typical of a coastal snowfall signature.

Might have to start taking the RRFS A a little more seriously. Last night's 0z and the 6z snowfall pattern were near identical to the 0z and 6z Euro.

0z Eps and Geps snowfall pattern at 360hrs sure look similar to me. Never saw that before. And no detailed dissection of the snowy 6z Gfs? Lol

2 bucks says the Euro loses next weekend. But I'll have to see if I win or lose tomorrow because I'm done for the evening. Nothing to keep me awake so far.

Fwiw, link to this afternoon's 18z GGEM (not Rgem) snowfall over 84hr forecast period in mm. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?mod=cmc_gdps&run=18&type=SN&lang=en&map=qc&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest Edit: other GGEM products https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest

Here's a link to the 18z GGEM. Yes, the GGEM and not the Rgem. The GGEM runs at 6z and 18z too, but as far as I know, only Meteocentre has it; I'm sure you may be able to find it somewhere else, so have at it. The region I chose from the top of the page is Quebec because it's as close in to our area as you can get on this dos based website. Anyway, the link below is for precip totals that fall as snow during the 84hr forecast period in mm. Basically, the dark blue stripe across central MD is at least 5mm, or .2". So figure 2"-3" at 10:1. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?mod=cmc_gdps&run=18&type=SN&lang=en&map=qc&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest Other info for the model are here: https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest

Rgem's a hit on Saturday with front and coastal. But not huge it doesn't appear.