mitchnick

Time to put a fork in this one for snow. Gfs is on an island by itself with any chance. Rgem looks like a light qpf event as well.

Nam is a very light qpf event for all with snow too far away.

I remember that snow event vividly. I had to get to the office and coming out of my subdivision was a slight hill and bend. My tires started slipping as I approached the turn so I hit the brakes and the car just slid while I headed for a mailbox. I took my foot off the brake to get a better position on the brake and the tires got traction and the car turned, barely missing the mailbox. And that event was cold as he!! with temps during snow and that morning in the mid teens. It was so close to being an historic winter for coldcand snow but for the uncooperative mid levels thanks to the u/l lows passing too far to our NW.

Should have known better.

A wennie's got to do what a weenie's got to do! Lol

It shows up on the snow depth map. Our snow depth (including sleet of course), is greater than some all snow locations thanks to the density of the sleet.

Euro AI. We're getting there.

Me no likey icey.

Horrendously disappointing winter.

I can live with that for now with the expectations of future improvements.

If that ain't dirty enough for you, you'll need to talk to @ravensrule.

6z Euro went the wrong way for Friday. Yesterday's 6z Gfs is looking like a blip. I just hope we can skip the zr and ip. Nothing exciting about spending Christmas weekend day inside.

Keep in mind that the models have been horrendous in the 4+ day range, so it's hard to believe anything beyond 48hrs imho, good or bad. So even if 1 or 2 showed a storm beyond 4 days, chances are it's a lie.

Mine is snow & zr before 1pm, then rn & zr after. Meh

6z Gfs is a heartbreaker down here for Friday. Oh soooo close. Still time....sorta.

Started as decent snow around 4:30. Good luck up north of me. I'm sure mine will be washed away....but not yet!

Started as some decent snow this morning before being washed away shortly. Lol

I don't know. I think we'd still find a way to argue about it!

Fwiw, Nam is the coldest of it, the Euro and Gfs. Euro is a little cooler than half way between the other 2. That's as of 84hrs on the 18z runs.

Good luck up there. You should get an inch maybe? I haven't looked that closely at tonight as I knew I was in line for a participation trophy at best.

12z Eps snowfall on top and 18z below. I see movement south. Subtle, but it's there.

Quit trying to excite Weather Will like that.

Thanks for the curse. Mediocre Christmas to you!

Gfs 850's on top and Nam below. Notice wind direction too.

18z Gfs has the 546 height line through northern Baltimore City while the Nam has it just south of DCA. IF the Nam is closer to correct with the cold air draining further south, that's enough to make a difference for some.