mitchnick

I'm trying to get myself from looking beyond 24 hours before this "hobby" kills me! Lol

Rap looks nice for many.

Maybe if the Gfs could pump out multiple runs in a row showing similar results, it could be believed. The run-to-run inconsistencies are abhorrent. And in case you're wondering where I got that word, my wife has been using it a lot lately.

Nam replacement

3k Nam closer to reality probably.

One at a time! Lol

Like steaks in a crummy restaurant...a bit overdone.

Gotta hand it to the 2 Canadians. They've had this threat for days with only minor adjustments.

I'll take it, but I've never seen a system like this with snowfall inland. More typical of a coastal snowfall signature.

Might have to start taking the RRFS A a little more seriously. Last night's 0z and the 6z snowfall pattern were near identical to the 0z and 6z Euro.

0z Eps and Geps snowfall pattern at 360hrs sure look similar to me. Never saw that before. And no detailed dissection of the snowy 6z Gfs? Lol

2 bucks says the Euro loses next weekend. But I'll have to see if I win or lose tomorrow because I'm done for the evening. Nothing to keep me awake so far.

Fwiw, link to this afternoon's 18z GGEM (not Rgem) snowfall over 84hr forecast period in mm. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?mod=cmc_gdps&run=18&type=SN&lang=en&map=qc&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest Edit: other GGEM products https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest

Here's a link to the 18z GGEM. Yes, the GGEM and not the Rgem. The GGEM runs at 6z and 18z too, but as far as I know, only Meteocentre has it; I'm sure you may be able to find it somewhere else, so have at it. The region I chose from the top of the page is Quebec because it's as close in to our area as you can get on this dos based website. Anyway, the link below is for precip totals that fall as snow during the 84hr forecast period in mm. Basically, the dark blue stripe across central MD is at least 5mm, or .2". So figure 2"-3" at 10:1. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?mod=cmc_gdps&run=18&type=SN&lang=en&map=qc&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest Other info for the model are here: https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest

Rgem's a hit on Saturday with front and coastal. But not huge it doesn't appear.

Yeah. Just gunna' say...

Ok, but when you leave, don't forget to take your diaper bag.

Didn't someone post the list of model accuracy stats that had the EpsAI on top, or near the top? Anyway, here's the 6z slp positions from it...we're wasting our time if it's near or at the top of the list for accuracy.

If put in motion, it is clearly being escorted off the coast by another GL low.

He's old. Leave him alone.

To give weenies false hope.

Oz Euro had an overrunning event that was a hit from PA border north next Saturday. I would expect changes there the way the models flip around. Of course, that could be gone at 12z too since the Euro isn't above mimicking the Gfs.

By the looks of the temps, it'll be a coastal rainstorm for most instead of a cutter rainer. Lol

Latest Cfs2 forecast for February. I bet it gets wetter in future runs.