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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Do not, do not
  2. mitchnick
    Iow, we'd have to find something else to argue about?....That shouldn't be hard! Lol Thanks to Weather Will in MA forum, JB posted the Canadian's snowfall map for November's run.
  3. mitchnick
    Couldn't agree more...well I guess I could, but that would be really weird. Lol
  4. mitchnick
    Did you forget what happened in 2015?
  5. mitchnick
    The difference between the Cansips and current Cfs2 runs isn't that much really. Precip signatures are very close indicating coastal storms. With Cfs2 running 4x/day, it's far from "done" adjusting one way or the other. For those of us inland (as in you and me), we'll have our shots for sure.
  6. mitchnick
    If JB was worried about a blown forecast, he shouldn't limit it to just December as the cause. Lol
  7. mitchnick
    I'm impressed and excited. Look at that potential record breaking heat in the west.
  8. mitchnick
    We disagree on geographic labels.
  9. mitchnick
    In these parts, November snow is rarer than March snow so temps are pretty meaningless. I'd rather save the oil for when it counts anyway. Lol
  10. mitchnick
    Yet, the Euro-AIFS shows decent snow in southern Canada the 1st 15 days of November. I'd show further north, but Pivotal doesn't offer that map. Even some in the NE US.
  11. mitchnick
    Been beautiful up here since 10am with a NW breeze and a wonderful 71 degrees right now at one of the nearby Wunderground stations.
  12. mitchnick
    That bodes well imby too. I'd take that in a heartbeat.
  13. mitchnick
    Steve DiMartino's winter forecast. It's NY/NJ/PA centric, but his maps include part of this forum fwiw. https://nynjpaweather.com/public/2026/10/30/winter-forecast-2026-27/
  14. mitchnick
    Steve DiMartinio's winter forecast. Used to post on AmericanWx https://nynjpaweather.com/public/2026/10/30/winter-forecast-2026-27/
  15. mitchnick
    Lol. Only if you honestly want it warm it is.
  16. mitchnick
    Cape's going to luuuuuuuuv your posting that map. Lol
  17. mitchnick
    Lower mean today....underwater
  18. mitchnick
    I didn't quote Webb.
  19. mitchnick
    https://eos.org/editors-vox/global-impacts-of-ensos-reach-into-the-stratosphere https://www.google.com/search?q=what+does+the+stratosphere+have+to+do+with+El+Niño+&client=ms-android-tmus-us-rvc3&hs=lktq&sca_esv=e65bf6121730a79e&sxsrf=AKL5yDhbk3KYfKSBLv7Eej9pJfcM1C9qmw%3A1793207651672&ei=Yy3iat64KKvR5NoP7buWGA&biw=384&bih=692&oq=what+does+the+stratosphere+have+to+do+with+El+Niño+&gs_lp=EhNtb2JpbGUtZ3dzLXdpei1zZXJwIjR3aGF0IGRvZXMgdGhlIHN0cmF0b3NwaGVyZSBoYXZlIHRvIGRvIHdpdGggRWwgTmnDsW8gMgUQIRigATIFECEYoAEyBRAhGKABMgUQIRirAjIFECEYqwIyBRAhGKsCMgUQABjvBUj-mQFQjR5YoJMBcAB4AJABApgBuAGgAaYnqgEENC4zNrgBA8gBAPgBAZgCHKAC7BzCAgsQABiABBiiBBiwA8ICCBAAGO8FGLADwgIIEAAYgAQYogTCAggQABiJBRiiBMICCBAhGKABGMMEwgIKECEYChigARjDBMICBRAhGJ8FwgIGEAAYFhgewgILEAAYgAQYigUYhgOYAwCIBgGQBgWSBwYyLjI1LjGgB_foAbIHBjIuMjUuMbgH7BzCBwkyLTE2LjExLjHIB-MBgAgB&sclient=mobile-gws-wiz-serp
  20. mitchnick
    Agreed that if it rises fast, it won't be a good thing for a cold or snowy December especially in light of enso climo. But if you go to the link below for that graph, as recently as 10/14 or 10/15, the PV split (I'll call it for ease) wasn't even showing up on that weekly prog, and was very slow thereafter to show the extent of the PV's demise. So I guess, probably because I've lived in the M. Atlantic snow hole for so many years, I'll not worry about the state of the PV come December or trust the PV forecast at this distance. https://charts.ecmwf.int/products/extended-zonal-mean-zonal-wind?area=nh&base_time=202610140000
  21. mitchnick
    All the ensembles have been heading toward a SE trough (or weakening of heights as a possible precursor of the trough) in one form/location/strength or another consistent with seasonal modeling. Of course, they maybe, like so often, early with the pattern. But it's encouraging to see it happening nonetheless.
  22. mitchnick
    Lowest yet.
  23. mitchnick
    Aren't the + signs supposed to be - signs?
  24. mitchnick
    How big is the bridge? Asking for a friend.
  25. mitchnick
    Lol. It's October. Who cares. Are you seeking relevance or attention?
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