mitchnick
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Everything posted by mitchnick
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7 imby
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Problem with precip too as the storm abruptly exits stage right. Iow, same problem as all winter north of central VA.
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I think you can see differences better with the 5H anomaly maps. That said, the 2 runs are pretty different, but we'll drive ourselves crazy doing this every 6 hours between now and next Sunday.
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One thing is for sure, both Gfs and Euro ops wanna' bring back the cold before the end of their runs.
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If you factor in the Euro's proclivity to over amplify at this range and consider the seasonal trend as exhibited on the Gfs suite, I'd say you have the Icon solution.
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No shock in light of the Ukie as they seem to think alike.
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EuroAI with the same garbage, just a bit warmer.
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Gefs majority keep it south.
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It's worth a pic. Lol
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Funny thing is, the Gfs, GfsAI, and Gefs bring out a stronger system and have it pass to our west. Geps, on the other hand, is what we want.
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In that regard, 6z Eps did improve over 0z with the stronger wave and the trough off the east coast moving out quicker. Enough? Who knows at this point.
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I was just going to mention that, but look how it changed since 0z. How can it be considered, let alone trusted, for more than 6 hours?
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Bottom line, forecasts beyond a few days stink.
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6z Gfs a warmer version of last month.
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It was warm. I was in Annapolis that evening worried about temps, staring at a flag pole concerned as well about wind direction while sitting at the bar. Lol Nowadays, I would just be staring at my phone for temps and wind. But not knowing was part of the fun.
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We'll be lucky if it's not south of South Carolina the way things have been going this year.
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Looking at the Eps, fwiw, there definitely is a signal for both next weekend and the Cape storm.
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When they stop painting blue over them, ahem...I mean us.
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What's the panel before this look like? Thanks
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I swear I'm seeing January 6, 1996 ready to be replayed on, none other than, the 384hr panel of the Gfs. Lol
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Cape will be happy to see his 2/20 Blizzard on the GfsAI. Edit: favors northern areas but still a ton of snow based on TT maps
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GfsAI is a warm frontal passage as slp heads to the Lakes. Lol Edit: looks like some snow before any change
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So??? Winter's not over.
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Lots of feasts or famine on individual members.
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Similar result to what the GfsAI would likely look like cobbling together the TT maps.
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