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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    I went over to TT and put the 5H anomalies in motion with the slid function. I looks like the lowest anomalies backed in from the east and not from west to b east. Idk if it makes a difference, but I was expecting it to move from west to east. I'm not saying it's bad, because I don't know. Maybe a red tagger can chime in. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=eps&region=us&pkg=z500a&runtime=2025122800&fh=12
  2. mitchnick
    That looks great! But the issue I always have with the 5 day mean is how did it get to that mean as in what happened over the 5 day period to get all the players in the right spot.
  3. mitchnick
    6z was even better
  4. mitchnick
    6z Gfs (days 8-9) is a perfect example of a wasted block. But this run is so different from 0z, it's beyond entertainment and fantasy.
  5. mitchnick
    Gunna' need a very nice -Epo after losing the -Nao.
  6. mitchnick
    Go with JI on this one. Lol
  7. mitchnick
    It's that pesky GL low pumping the ridge as they always do. Too far away to worry, but several people seemed to not understand why the surface High to the north was ineffective.
  8. mitchnick
    Look what's in the Great Lakes.
  9. mitchnick
    Come on. End of run storms are a dime a dozen and I can't think of one that's ever worked out. Too many things to go wrong Until we get a confirmation by the operationals and ensembles, all we have is potential. Big deal.
  10. mitchnick
    It's close though.
  11. mitchnick
    As it often does.
  12. mitchnick
    Must you be so greedy?
  13. mitchnick
    Same unworkable garbage at 186hrs on the Gfs with this roll over ridge in the central US. Edit: On the Gem, only warmer.
  14. mitchnick
    You're fine. They always (90%+) drift north. Ask Connecticut posters.
  15. mitchnick
    Still going here. Just lt, non-accumulating stuff that's not on radar.
  16. mitchnick
    That's the scientific reason not to worry about them, but what do you suggest for weenie paranoia?
  17. mitchnick
    I was trying to figure out why the snowfall mean onbthe Eps was as low as it was for that period and it has 850's AN. As a result, the decent snowfall on the Eps is further north into central PA. Actually, I'm sorta surprised by the AN 850's considering that 5H look, but maybe we disregard 850's at this point and live in denial.
  18. mitchnick
    That west coast trough suggests to me we get a progressive flow. But what does this weenie know?
  19. mitchnick
    That's it...shut er' down, turn off the lights, grab your bats and balls.
  20. mitchnick
    I've got lt snow here. Anything up north of me?
  21. mitchnick
    Got some lt snow flurry action here. Nbd
  22. mitchnick
    We're in a colder base state. This would work for Baltimore City IF you can get precip to hold together over the mts and/or preferably redevelopment once east of them.
  23. mitchnick
    If you go back and look, the Nam shifted the heavy accumulations north at 12z yesterday if I recall, and has been furthest North with the accumulating snow area. As bad as the Nam can be, it always sniffs out the mid level warmth.
  24. mitchnick
    Yeah, I thought it looked like 12/14 too. I’ll keep my fingers crossed that those of us situated between the mts and ocean don't get skipped.
  25. mitchnick
    No need. 18z Euro
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