mitchnick

Don't know where to put this, but here it is. New Cansips pretty sweet for next year. This is a link to December, 2026. Scrolling thru to February shows lots of blocking. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips&region=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026030100&fh=9 Here's a link to SSTA map starting December. Looks solid moderate Niño. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips&region=global&pkg=ssta_noice&runtime=2026030100&fh=9 Here's a link to surface temps starting December. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips&region=eus&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026030100&fh=9 Here's a link to precip starting December. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips&region=eus&pkg=apcpna_month&runtime=2026030100&fh=9

New cansips pretty sweet for next year. This is a link to December, 2026. Scrolling thru to February shows lots of blocking. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips&region=nhem&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026030100&fh=9 Here's a link to SSTA map starting December. Looks solid moderate Niño. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cansips&region=global&pkg=ssta_noice&runtime=2026030100&fh=9

Beautiful day for a ride to York and get rear-ended big time.

Geps big time, with a developing-NAO.

The same model that a few days ago gave me 15" on Monday? Ok

So sue me!

Looked and felt like a real winter, but definitely not enough snowfall.

This is what I've been thinking too. But NE will, of course, be favored. Plus, we've had how many BN months in a row? Has to change at some point, but I'm not sure a fading Niña will do it.

Euro does have cold looming to our NW at the end of its run. Whether it gets to us is the question.

Absolutely...but whether it'll be in my lifetime is all I care about.

30 and freezing fog imby. York Airport, notoriously cold with its temp gauge in a low spot, at 22 degrees with freezing fog. They are right on Rt. 30 with a speed limit around 50mph. Wouldn't want to be driving there this morning.

I know it's not much, but Eps came around 30 miles south from 12z. Modest as it is, there still is plenty of time with this.

Oh no...I guess I'll be stuck just scratching dry skin.

EUROAI insisting on the return to cold at the end of its runs.

The second event sorta merges right into the tail end of the 1st hit on the AI. It does mix or turn to rain with the 2nd one unfortunately.

EuroAI another good hit per TT maps.

Right...it's south.

Gfs south again

Looks like snow trying to mix in up here, but the end is near.

I'm hearing my raindrops, so I think there's some sleet mixed in up here.

Sleet aloft would be my guess.

Euro AI says a cold dump is imminent before the end of March methinks. The SSW is flooding the Pole with high pressure and warm air. If I'm not mistaken, that anomalous High Pressure over the Black Sea region on this map is related to the SSW.

Eps look worse than 0z.

Hopefully AI is right for all next week. 4-6" of snow on Monday and 70 and sun in spots come Friday.