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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Unfortunately, though not exact, it's probably closest to the 12z Euro and Canadian. But of course....what else is new?
  2. mitchnick
    Looks a lot like the Ukie, which is fine by me.
  3. mitchnick
    Starving for attention are we?
  4. mitchnick
    Yep. Models have struggled up here with their snow happy tendencies for the past few years. Once they finally realize I moved up here from Bwi land, reality will set in and they'll start denying snow regularly more in line with my curse.
  5. mitchnick
    "Jumping south" is the phrase of the winter in most threats.
  6. mitchnick
    Eps have been pretty snowy for this threat thru 0z's run. We'll see shortly how they look.
  7. mitchnick
    Is this Euro we're waiting on the same one that gave us PDIII last week ago with a foot+? Yeah, I thought so. The hell with that model, especially when it it looks nothing like it's AI brother.
  8. mitchnick
  9. mitchnick
    There's more on the EuroAI after next weekend. This is only thru 312hrs.
  10. mitchnick
    We all know they can suck, but being constantly pessimistic sux more, so we stay optimistic.
  11. mitchnick
    Falls over a period >24 hrs, so there's a touch more
  12. mitchnick
    Looks like .6"+ qpf.
  13. mitchnick
    I don't care what tge ensembles are showing, all the operationals and AI's are keeping winter around thru the end of the month temp-wise and even with snowfall.
  14. mitchnick
    But has a similar storm at the end that is moderate had the run gone over 240hrs.
  15. mitchnick
    Geez....ENE doesn't lose on any of the models. Wonder what that's like.
  16. mitchnick
    The fact it has a system and that it stalls like the Icon is VERY encouraging to me.
  17. mitchnick
    GfsAI is a lot of rain as the systems go to our NW.
  18. mitchnick
    Looks like precip around .3"
  19. mitchnick
    Not much
  20. mitchnick
    You mean double-double digits! 20"+
  21. mitchnick
    Yet, 0z had literally nothing, as in no storm in sight.
  22. mitchnick
    Never saw the Icon look that good for any storm. May have been some, but I don't remember them/it.
  23. mitchnick
    I agree. And you would think that's where the AI models would shine having been fed that info, but they don't.
  24. mitchnick
    Not only the AI. Euro had 2 hits in the MA on the 12z run for next weekend and 0z lost both of them. It's just a fact that the models struggle past day 3 and are snow happy. Really takes the "fun" out of this hobby.
  25. mitchnick
    Gfs is on its own with that run. Canadian and Icon look like forecasts for different planets. Problem is all 3 of those models stink, so...?
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