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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. It's a 3 month average and Cfs2 is showing on the monthly forecasts that December's a dumpster fire and February looks workable to great. So you're going to get goofy 3 month averages.
  2. Bad guess! There's no 500mb map on this site, but 700mb will be close enough at this point.
  3. That question has been tossed around for weeks over in the main El Niño thread. I think we in the MA have started to see it with increased precip over the last month, but there's no evidence of it yet on a larger scale. Rest assured, it's coming...for better or worse.
  4. Lots of warming to go on the Cfs2 850 anomalies, but it looks like the beginning of the end come early November.
  5. He's in south Texas and has been real dry lately. Different perspective from his former residence in N Virginia.
  6. We can't get Oisst and Coral Reefs to agree on SST/SSTA's on current conditions NOW, and we're supposed to believe numbers from 100+ years ago? They're just salesmen.
  7. Yep. Easy to make a claim when there's no way to know its accuracy. But it's great for clicks!
  8. Just wait until they leave the house to get married.
  9. Those people living atop Pigeon Hills will be having a banner winter I'm sure. Problem is they don't get great plowing up there, and when they do, there's only a lane and a half cleared. At least, that's been my experience when I've gone up there checking snowfall amounts. But PSU should do equally as well.
  10. Intellectual humility has always been my strong point as I'm always humiliating myself in board discussions. So I'm with you there!
  11. I come from the MA forum where these kinds of posts are routine and keep things entertaining. Much like the NE forum as a matter of fact. None of it is meant as a personal attack. But vigorous discussion and disagreement is also routine in both forums. I don't believe I've crossed the line. We obviously have different personalities/viewpoints, but that's what you get in a public forum. It's unavoidable, hence the "ignore" feature is available. I think that's the only option available to either of us.
  12. Hey Spock, lighten up! It's only weather. Lol I'm still waiting for a definitive forecast whether the Canadian ridge will or won't be as strong as 23/24.
  13. And there you have it. It's an irresistible impulse. Lol
  14. Ahh, yes. It wasn't on his list because it basically missed NJ & SE PA. Pretty much was a miss in my current location. Probably <1" imby. My old place in Linthicum had 5". I had to drop my wife off at Hopkins for her sister's surgery as the flurries had just started. But when I was coming west on Lombard Street, the steady snow was already about a third of the way down from the top of the USF&G building. Literally looked fake, but baby it was real! Lol
  15. Hmm, can I call a friend...assuming I can find someone to call a friend? Seriously, can't think of what you're referring to???
  16. Since I'm always optimistic as there's nothing to lose enjoying the hobby, I'll remain in the open instead of ducking for cover. Lol
  17. Leave him alone. He likes that corner of the room and the wall feels good on his head.
  18. Plenty of examples of Niño, Niña and Nada storms at this link. https://www.raymondcmartinjr.com/weather/
  19. A Roundy post in honor of Snowman...sorta. https://x.com/PaulRoundy1/status/2087329199317012723?s=46&t=JYOHM881b6groqc0-RqtxA
  20. I thought it was this year and was surprised it wasn't showing more than just a broad brush look.
  21. Definitely broad brushes it considering what has fallen imby, but it has me AN at least.
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