mitchnick

Fwiw

December had a decent snow storm from VA to north of PHL ( idk how far) with 6"+ from VA to near PHL.

1" on the dot up here. Feels and looks like Fall on the first day of Fall. Hopefully the first day of Winter delivers similarly...to Winter that is!

On a related note, a met from the NE forum put together a snow storm archive of winters going back to 92/93. It is NE centric, but plenty of radars and maps that include the Conus and MA region. Here's a link if interested, assuming it hasn't already been posted. https://www.jdjweatherconsulting.com/storm-archive

Maybe already posted somewhere in this thread/forum, but if not, Nam, Href, and Sref are gone as of 10/6.

Euro suite advertising decent rains thru the middle of the week. 1.5-2"+

What's left in life if we can't complain about the Nam and Srefs?

Eps totals thru Friday, with showers still in the area.

Hoping we see this advertised from the Eps come winter.

Eps looks like it'll come in with a similar qpf/storm progression outcome, thought likely not as extreme, as the operational.

Let me be the first.

Slp just sits off the coast. Chilly in the wake of the storm. Hello Fall! Will this be a familiar scenario thru the winter? Let's hope.

Rain doesn't stop on Euro until 108hrs. Lol

Totals thru Tuesday 11pm. Still raining south of PA border too

Euro coming in pretty wet now too thru 78hrs and more to fall.

Thru 138hrs, total qpf on the EuroAI.

Icon midweek is lol.

2 reasons not to worry. First, the Cfs2 site has remained steady with temps it's been advertising for JFM. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/htmls/usT2me3Mon.html Second reason, the October Cansips comes out in only 11 days! Lol

6z AIEPS entire run fwiw

6z AIEPS likes mid week.

6z

Welllllll, maybe, maybe not. No doubt the ridge in eastern Canada is the wild card, but there are ridges across the globe and there's no guarantee the one in se Canada will be too warm or that it won't be centered further north. And exactly how it morphs over the season will obviously have something to say about it, as I think we both agree it will become more forgiving after December. That said, I still don't hold much hope for December simply due to climo. P.s Just so that you understand my pov, I don't care about monthly temps, only snowfall. And we can squeeze a storm out of a warm month.

Don't forget the Euro was too warm with its 24/25 & 25/26 forecasts for the east. So if anyone is betting on the Euro for this year, it'll probably be more based on odds than getting the met right.

Cfs2 has a seperate link for the coming month. https://www.cpc.ncep.noaa.gov/products/CFSv2/monthly/

It didn't stop you from commenting in the NE forum, nor did you question it. Lol