Jump to content

mitchnick

Members
 View Profile  See their activity

  • Posts

    28,627

  • Joined

 Content Type 

Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Nobody is forcing anyone to consider any model. But if someone posts a model's SSTA forecast, what's so wrong or unusual about posting it's resulting weather forecast. It's done all the time.
  2. mitchnick
    The weather is what counts, and I'm not seeing anything different than previous extremes being forecasted by the same models forecasting your "global climate disruption." In fact, there's yet to be an agreement on the resulting weather.
  3. mitchnick
    I said weather in the east.
  4. mitchnick
    So you can post verbatim model conditions if they suggest a furnace but not if the same model suggests conditions otherwise?
  5. mitchnick
    Conditions on the earth a couple thousand+ miles from mby are meaningless to me except how they effect weather imby.
  6. mitchnick
    There will certainly be rainstorms as any winter, but considering the light tan is only +.5C and the next level up is only +1C, there would certainly be plenty of snow threats in there imho with such small AN progs. Plus, the individual month maps for January and February look even better.
  7. mitchnick
    You forgot to mention temps/precip on the NMME are pretty sweet for winter lovers in the east for Dec-Feb. Individual months look decent as well imho. Links start in December. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nmme&region=us&pkg=T2ma_nmme&runtime=2026060800&fh=6 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=nmme&region=us&pkg=apcpna_month_nmme&runtime=2026060800&fh=6
  8. mitchnick
    The thought that you would question the great JB's claim of a weather record setter is shocking, just shocking.
  9. mitchnick
    I think he was just pointing out that the entire 1+2 was cooler than 82/83.
  10. mitchnick
    Gimme' 82/83 please! Surprise 7" in December then the Megalopolis storm in February. My brother and I had to push my late uncle's van during the Noon hour when BWI recorded 4" in that hour. Thunder and lightning all day was just surreal.
  11. mitchnick
    Euro seasonal only goes out thru December, but looks pretty similar to Cfs2 vs Cansips weather-wise. Very wet along the east coast. I'll take it with my inland location at 600'asl.
  12. mitchnick
  13. mitchnick
    Nice to hear from you Buckeye.
  14. mitchnick
    How dare they ruin the reputation of LinkedIn with 1 random post.
  15. mitchnick
    Yep. And if you scroll thru the slp maps for each month, you can easily imagine at least one good hit down your way. January, and especially February, even show cold air/ridging pressing south along the Appalachians starting in Virginia. Here's a link to December: https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=us&pkg=mslpa&runtime=2026060406&fh=6
  16. mitchnick
    Lower pressures =lower temps with lowest temps reflected near/under lowest pressures...meteorology. Why soooooo serious anyway? I said for entertainment purposes.
  17. mitchnick
    Like I said, December ain't so bad. Here are temps. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026060400&fh=6 February and definitely March look better taking into consideration seasonal temps for the period. But as I said, entertainment purposes at this point. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026060400&fh=8 https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=us&pkg=T2ma&runtime=2026060400&fh=9
  18. mitchnick
    Fwliw, Cfs2 is entertaining for February and March. December on the last run verbatim ain't so bad either for the Mid Atlantic, but dry up near you. The beauty of the Cfs2 is that it changes 4x/day, so everybody has a good run at some point of the day. Lol Starting in December. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=cfs-mon&region=us&pkg=z500a&runtime=2026060400&fh=6
  19. mitchnick
    Cansips was the only seasonal model showing any BN temps in the GL/east/NE. In that respect, it was, as you stated, the best in at least those areas. It was similar in 24/25 with a cooler forecast than other models. The Cfs2 and Euro have been boiler plate AN across the country the last 2 years. Speaking for myself, I don't care about the rest of the country or any other part of the world, fry or freeze.
  20. mitchnick
    Who cares
  21. mitchnick
    It didn't cave last year or the year before either fwiw, and did pretty well with the BN temps forecasts.
  22. mitchnick
    It hasn't happened yet! It's a forecast. Eps were too warm with the end of May forecast, soooo....
  23. mitchnick
    I sorta thought the whole discussion regarding Enso was how it effects weather. I don't think anybody really would care otherwise about equatorial Pacific temperatures outside of Pacific fishermen/shipping interests.
  24. mitchnick
    Looked good to me!
  25. mitchnick
    Looks like the Euro failed on this warm forecast.
×
×
  • Create New...