mitchnick

Got it. With the Pacific seemingly opening up, the models are going to have their hands full with vorts shooting all over the Conus, so I have low confidence in any model, moreso than usual.

How did the AI Eps look before the storm last Sunday?

And it looks to get interesting with the Pacific starting to chip into the mix.

Don't you love that purple over our back yards? Lol

I think that was Heisy. I was in MD driving all around the beltway down I83 instead of the west side of the Beltway thanks to an accident that closed the west side for 4hrs+. Effers!

Which is a bit odd/inconsistent in light of Jake Wx's post above.

They aren't even that great for NE.

This is probably our best shot of the year and more typical of our big ones temp-wise and otherwise. Darn shame if we miss it.

Still strong for that far out.

For the stingy EPS at days 10-11? That's a strong signal imho.

I like your original thought.

Now we're cooked!

That's the Euro we know and love. It's when it shows us getting a HECS at this range that we fail, or at least that's the way it's been in recent years.

Don't forget the Kennedy inauguration storm.

Sure would be nice to get an old fashioned major storm that favors N. Central MD on north and east with an all snow event. Since I bought this place in fall 2019, the largest all snow event was the 6.5"+/- last January. Last month, 12/20 and 2/1/21 storms were the largest combined snow and ice events with around 10"+. When I lived in MD, the posters in Hanover routinely got rocked with large, all snow events. Not so since I've been here. Starting to think it's me. But I agree with you Blizz, this one has a shot to be a decent, if not bigger than anything I've had in Hanover imho. At least at this point that's the way it looks.

That's pretty bullish considering it's +10 days out and has Richmond and Salisbury at 2.5"+ without a southern bullseye.

No, it will be frustrating as hell, filled with whining, and we'll be at each other's throats by the time it's over. That's typical, not interesting.

Next weekend is the classic end of pattern threat. Coincidentally, PD1 was and the pattern not only ended, but winter itself after it. Gimme another PD1, and I can deal with winter ending knowing we have a Niño next year.

Snowing lightly hate with a nice band. Heavy returns headed my way too it seems.

It's really good. Never hiked there. In college, many, many years ago, it was Cunningham locally and Shenandoah/Big Meadows area on weekend trips. Always wanted to hike Old Rag, but never got around to it.

It brings some reality to those who act as if, if not expect, the world is going to end. Just ridges and troughs waxing and waning this year on the Conus.

Who cares when there's this too. https://x.com/JustinWeather/status/2018864755256250868?ref_src=twsrc^tfw|twcamp^tweetembed|twterm^2018864755256250868|twgr^afdbcb3bf1f7882daea6c56237bcb5b4801b0525|twcon^s1_&ref_url=https%3A%2F%2Fwww.americanwx.com%2Fbb%2Findex.php%3Fapp%3Dcoremodule%3Dsystemcontroller%3Dembedurl%3Dhttps%3A%2F%2Ftwitter.com%2Fi%2Fstatus%2F2018864755256250868

When my wife and I want to take a trip up to the mountains, we go through there on Rt.234. Very nice drive and not far from mby. Have fun. By the way, if you're interested in decent Mexican food, stop off at Montezumas Restaurant on PA Rt. 30 on the west side of Gettysburg. We love it. You can get back to Baltimore via Rt. 30 from Michaux too.

Those arctic fronts are definitely a fluff event, so Kuchera much more accurate imho.

Never in my life was there so much snow on a SE wind that February and March. Storms that usually changed to a mix or snow either held on to all snow or mixed late enough not to reduce totals that much.