mitchnick

2 bucks says the Euro loses next weekend. But I'll have to see if I win or lose tomorrow because I'm done for the evening. Nothing to keep me awake so far.

Fwiw, link to this afternoon's 18z GGEM (not Rgem) snowfall over 84hr forecast period in mm. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?mod=cmc_gdps&run=18&type=SN&lang=en&map=qc&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest Edit: other GGEM products https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest

Here's a link to the 18z GGEM. Yes, the GGEM and not the Rgem. The GGEM runs at 6z and 18z too, but as far as I know, only Meteocentre has it; I'm sure you may be able to find it somewhere else, so have at it. The region I chose from the top of the page is Quebec because it's as close in to our area as you can get on this dos based website. Anyway, the link below is for precip totals that fall as snow during the 84hr forecast period in mm. Basically, the dark blue stripe across central MD is at least 5mm, or .2". So figure 2"-3" at 10:1. https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/precipitation-accumulation.php?mod=cmc_gdps&run=18&type=SN&lang=en&map=qc&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest Other info for the model are here: https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/forecast-systems.php?lang=en&map=qc&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest

Rgem's a hit on Saturday with front and coastal. But not huge it doesn't appear.

Yeah. Just gunna' say...

Ok, but when you leave, don't forget to take your diaper bag.

Didn't someone post the list of model accuracy stats that had the EpsAI on top, or near the top? Anyway, here's the 6z slp positions from it...we're wasting our time if it's near or at the top of the list for accuracy.

If put in motion, it is clearly being escorted off the coast by another GL low.

He's old. Leave him alone.

To give weenies false hope.

Oz Euro had an overrunning event that was a hit from PA border north next Saturday. I would expect changes there the way the models flip around. Of course, that could be gone at 12z too since the Euro isn't above mimicking the Gfs.

By the looks of the temps, it'll be a coastal rainstorm for most instead of a cutter rainer. Lol

Latest Cfs2 forecast for February. I bet it gets wetter in future runs.

Why don't you leave us alone!

I think you mean Icon.

Euro with a grand finali

There's a reason why soap operas remain so popular...daytime drama! Lol

Gefs impressive thru 324hrs

We're all (or almost all) better off with the Ukie forecast.

It was fookin' great. We got stuck and my friend was driving his rear wheel drive and he told me to get out and tell the people coming up behind us to go around. This big old Winnebago came down the hill and lucky saw me and my friend's car in time and went around it. But it continued down the hill into the clouds (which we were in.) We stopped at the last overlook before Rt. 214? to Sperryville, which was below the cloud deck, and facing east we could see brightness in the distance while clouds were forming just below our elevation and moving through us at the overlook. By the time we got to Warrenton we heard the national news at the top of the hour say that over 1,000 people were stranded in Shenandoah National Park due to an early season snow storm. Memory of a lifetime. EDIT: I meant to add that my friends car was a huge Ford Torino. The rear wheel drive made it a nightmare on those hills, but he got us off alive! Lol

Big Meadows at around 3,400'. Almost got stuck there in an early "freak" snowstorm in 10/78. Crazy, crazy time getting off the mts in snow and sleet.

Gfs had to wait for us to lose the cold before bringing it out.

Oh those rates were unbelievable once 2 or 3am hit with these huge flakes and several inches/hour for 2+ hours. But being out in the Megalopolis storm in 2/83, pushing my uncle's car out of the snow during the hour when BWI reported 4" of snow with repetitive lightning strikes and claps of thunder was probably better!