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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. No, to the Icon, Ukie, and Canadian (for its last 2 or 3 runs.)
  2. Last 4 gfs runs. Keep an eye on the system north of the Dakotas and how the closer it gets, the further east our storm goes
  3. Gotta get home! They don't plow snow down there very well. Lol
  4. This place is nice and a shorter trip by an hour +. It's got a decent restaurant for hotel food, including a great breakfast buffet, and close (within walking distance) to other restaurants too. https://hiltongardeninn.bookonline.com/hotel/hilton-garden-inn-outer-banks-kitty-hawk?id2=127615453378&gad_source=1&gad_campaignid=14388994732&gbraid=0AAAAABov2PZhb7oN0KEuhIv9VsotO2Q5Q&gclid=Cj0KCQiAhOfLBhCCARIsAJPiopPfC_Fxoni12uQ9_oO7O_MVFtOK11mhIAuqbrNFfuKtEo8LUyZhQ48aAmUpEALw_wcB
  5. And I would venture to say that it's because of the historic cold pressing that it is south. There are a few of our major snowstorms that were proceeded by historic cold, but 90%+ were not as overwhelming as this air mass.
  6. If you run this 500mb vort prog in motion you can see around the Great Lakes the trough pushing a ridge overtop that's shoving our system SE. I think this is fairly representative of all the models. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus&region=us&pkg=z500_vort&runtime=2026012812&fh=1
  7. In northern AA County, every once and a while little would would start to fall steadily, then dwindle to flurries, only to rub salt in the wound.
  8. For those of us west of the Bay, Boxing day was even closer than what is depicted here.
  9. Fwiw, if you compare 0z Nam to 6z, you can see that it took has taken on the precip shield as Gfs and Euro at 84hrs vs the "headed north" look of 0z.
  10. This has had Boston's name all over it from the start with the way it extends east.
  11. That's snow depth measuring what's already on the ground that isn't melting.
  12. Just like the Gem, it's got the northern stream system coming out of the Dakotas. Gfs has essentially nothing of consequences on the map.
  13. Could see it coming. That kicker in the upper Midwest came flying south out of Canada.
  14. Surface looks "busy." https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084
  15. 18Z GGEM https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084
  16. Actually, cut snowfall in half from 12z for mby, BWI, DCA and even SBY.
  17. Height lines are not as far north at 72hrs and trough up north and little east of 12z
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