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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. mitchnick
    Similar result to what the GfsAI would likely look like cobbling together the TT maps.
  2. mitchnick
    The Eps, Gefs and Geps snowfall thru day 10 look supportive of a storm favoring western locations (similar to EuroAI to my eyes). Geps is the look we've seen all winter favoring VA. How long until the Eps and Gefs look like Geps? Lol
  3. mitchnick
    Reinforcements look to be headed our way with the front. Inasmuch as all that has fallen so far came from the same trajectory over the PA mts, I would expect a decent % to make it over the mts especially considering the atmosphere is already saturated. https://weather.cod.edu/satrad/nexrad/?parms=CCX-N0B-1-24-100-usa-rad
  4. mitchnick
    It's right next to your outhouse with the half moon on the door.
  5. mitchnick
    GfsAI has the storm but a touch warmer than op. Hard to tell on the TT rudimentary maps.
  6. mitchnick
    Just gunna say. Not exactly like the Euro, but a big change from 12z that had nada.
  7. mitchnick
    This has GOT to stop!
  8. mitchnick
    Lt snow but coming down plentifully.
  9. mitchnick
    Same here except for random flurries until 3 or 4 minutes ago. Very light snow now.
  10. mitchnick
    I hope not. Flurries just started here fwiw.
  11. mitchnick
    What's this....the 8th modeled snowstorm on the AI thus season? Hard to get excited at this point. But we hope.
  12. mitchnick
    Hey...1990's! My youth! I missed it then, so don’t take it from me now.
  13. mitchnick
    Obviously, something fell before that panel which means probably a start as snow. Once you get to the red doted line, you're likely losing some part of mid levels.
  14. mitchnick
    My 2 cent opinion is that this Nina's last gasp of strong trades (blue on this map for those unfamiliar) is occurring and will remain until the end of February. That will make it difficult, if not unlikely, to squeeze in anything greater than a 2-4" event (if anything) imho. Come March, Niño conditions will finally overpower the Niña. Whether we can get everything to align (cold and qpf) is too early to say.
  15. mitchnick
    Lucky 13 ehh?
  16. mitchnick
    GfsAI has a storm for next Sunday. Looks snow to rain, then back to snow as low travels through N VA.
  17. mitchnick
    We still have another couple weeks of Niña trade winds to fook any chances of getting Niño benefits. That's just the way it works around here unfortunately.
  18. mitchnick
    I'm getting the feeling that is their tendency. Anyone know or remember how they looked during periods where ops and ensembles were void of threats?
  19. mitchnick
    1121222111122211121111221111111122211....
  20. mitchnick
    AI dry too but for the overrunning thing.
  21. mitchnick
    Last night's 0z Euro at 198hrs on top and 12z 186hrs on the bottom. Wtf has happened to the Euro?
  22. mitchnick
    AI ends the run with another trough in the east, but no snow unfortunately.
  23. mitchnick
    2-4"+
  24. mitchnick
    Euro AI is snow. How much?
  25. mitchnick
    Got it. With the Pacific seemingly opening up, the models are going to have their hands full with vorts shooting all over the Conus, so I have low confidence in any model, moreso than usual.
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