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mitchnick

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Everything posted by mitchnick

  1. If you run this 500mb vort prog in motion you can see around the Great Lakes the trough pushing a ridge overtop that's shoving our system SE. I think this is fairly representative of all the models. https://www.tropicaltidbits.com/analysis/models/?model=namconus&region=us&pkg=z500_vort&runtime=2026012812&fh=1
  2. In northern AA County, every once and a while little would would start to fall steadily, then dwindle to flurries, only to rub salt in the wound.
  3. For those of us west of the Bay, Boxing day was even closer than what is depicted here.
  4. Fwiw, if you compare 0z Nam to 6z, you can see that it took has taken on the precip shield as Gfs and Euro at 84hrs vs the "headed north" look of 0z.
  5. This has had Boston's name all over it from the start with the way it extends east.
  6. That's snow depth measuring what's already on the ground that isn't melting.
  7. Just like the Gem, it's got the northern stream system coming out of the Dakotas. Gfs has essentially nothing of consequences on the map.
  8. Could see it coming. That kicker in the upper Midwest came flying south out of Canada.
  9. Surface looks "busy." https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNMPR&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNMPR&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084
  10. 18Z GGEM https://meteocentre.com/numerical-weather-prediction/map-explorer.php?lang=en&map=na&run=18&mod=cmc_gdps&stn=PNM&comp=1&run2=18&mod2=cmc_gdps&stn2=PNM&hh2=000&fixhh=1&stn2_type=prog&mode=latest&yyyy=latest&mm=latest&dd=latest&hh=084
  11. Actually, cut snowfall in half from 12z for mby, BWI, DCA and even SBY.
  12. Height lines are not as far north at 72hrs and trough up north and little east of 12z
  13. Maybe, but the surface map looks like the Gfs and unlike other medium range models. Just sayin'.
  14. Posted that 2 hours ago. He's a copy cat! Lol
  15. Appears to be a kicker coming down near the Dakotas and the Gfs has it further north into Canada, the Gem further south, and the Ukie the furthest south. It's killing the ridge orientation.
  16. Ukie on the road to a total miss unless that trough has a miracle.
  17. You could see it coming instead height lines all backing up.
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